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Pac-12 Report - Week 13
November 21, 2012
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 13 from Joe Williams. Click to win!
· Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
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This game should be very entertaining, as it is one of two weekend matchups featuring a battle of Top 20 teams. Stanford is 7-2 ATS in their past nine games against teams with a winning record, and they are coming off a huge upset last week at Eugene, shocking Oregon on the road. UCLA thumped their cross-city rivals, USC, moving to 5-1 ATS in their past six games against teams with a winning record. The Bruins are 7-2 ATS in their past nine home games, so something has to give. In the past six matchups, the favorite is 5-1 ATS. In the past nine matchups, the home team is 7-2 ATS. Lastly, Stanford is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall. Looking to the total, the under is 5-0 in Stanford's past five road games, and 5-1 in their past six overall. However, the over is 4-0 in UCLA's past four, and 5-1 in their past six games against a team with a winning record. You might want to shy away from a total play. |
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The new No. 1 team in the land, Notre Dame, will play for all the marbles if they can get by a wounded, yet still dangerous, USC team at the Coliseum. However, QB Matt Barkley will not play for the Trojans due to injury, so all signs point to the Irish. Notre Dame is just 1-4 ATS in its past five battles with Pac-12 teams, including a failure to cover earlier in the year in South Bend against Stanford. USC is 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games, and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 battles against Independents. Of course, all of that can be thrown out the window with Barkley sidelined. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their past six games against a team with a winning record. Notre Dame is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings, and the Irish are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings at the Coliseum. Still, ND looks primed and ready to buck each of those trends. They're favored by just five in a game they could potentially win by blowout with no Barkley on the other side. |
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It's time for the latest installment of the 'Civil War', and this is always an entertaining game. This had national implications until a couple of weeks ago. Oregon State had legitimate national title hopes until QB Sean Mannion (knee) went down to injury last month, and then rushed to come back too soon at Washington. That game in Seattle was disastrous, and knocked the Beavs from the ranks of the unbeaten. Since, they lost again, and now are simply fighting to hang onto a top-tier bowl invite. The Ducks also had their national championship hopes dashed by Stanford, who has beaten each of these teams. The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a winning home record, and 7-1 ATS in their past eight road games. In addition, UO is 5-1 ATS in their past six overall, and 5-1 ATS in their past six Pac-12 games. The Beavers are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight battles, and 5-1 ATS in their past six at Reser Stadium. In addition, OSU is 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 games overall. If you're looking for a trend, as the info above doesn't seem to favor one team or the other. The following trends don't offer any help, either. The road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the past six meetings, but the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS during the same span. Maybe steer clear of this one, or put a little cheddar on Oregon State to keep it close. |
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In the best game of the Pac-12 undercard, we get the battle of Arizona. The Sun Devils limp in, going 1-4 ATS in their past five games (and conference games), and 0-4 ATS in their past four battles against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Arizona is 5-0 in their past five appearances on Friday. In this season, the dog is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, while the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven. Lastly, the Sun Devils are 6-2 ATS in their past eight trips down Interstate 10 to Tucson. The head-to-head trends seem to favor AZ State, a slight three-point dog, although the public is on the homestanding Wildcats by nearly a two-to-one margin. Hmm. |
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I've watched many an installment of the 'Apple Cup', going back to the days when Drew Bledsoe, Mark Brunell, Jason Gesser, Ryan Leaf, Warren Moon, Mark Rypien and Jack Thompson were under center for each of the sides. All, a 'Throwin' Samoan' reference. Gotta love ol' Jack Thompson. The days have brightened from U-Dub after an ugly past few years, as the Huskies are back in the Top 25 and on the come. There is still an overcast sky in Pullman, as the sun is not yet shining on the Palouse. With the hiring of Mike Leach, one figured a quick turnaround might be in order, but there are questions from a departed Marquess Wilson about player abuse, something which hastened Leach's departed at Texas Tech. We'll see what happens. This game doesn't figure to be too close. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their past four Pac-12 games, and 4-0 ATS against a team with a losing record. However, WaZu is 4-0 ATS in their past four games against a team with a winning record, rising to the occasion when a more talented team is on the other side. In addition, visitors with a winning road record are just 5-12 ATS in the past 17 trips to Pullman. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in the past six installments of the Apple Cup, and 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings. However, the underdog is 12-5 ATS in the past 17 meetings. |
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The two most recent additions to the Pac-12 wrap up their disappointing seasons in Boulder. The Utes are 4-0 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a losing record, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their past five road games overall. Colorado is 2-5 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record, and just 8-23-1 ATS in the past 32 overall. In addition, Colorado is just 7-21 ATS in their past 28 conference battles. While Colorado has been horrendous, not quite sure a four-win Utah squad is worthy of a 23-point spread on the road. Still, might be best to shy away from this one. One thing is for certain, a lot of bad football will be played Friday afternoon at Folsom Field. |
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