Value with Vandals
August 8, 2013
By Lance Blankenship
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In my first college football installment, I offered up my prediction on West Virginia’s win total, which was the ‘under.’ In my second win total prediction, I’m going with the ‘over’ on a school that’s been nothing short of atrocious recently, Idaho.
The play is OVER 1 ½ (+220) – (5Dimes.eu)
This is the lowest total in college football and deservingly so. The last two seasons, Idaho has gone a combined 3-21 and 13 of the losses have been by double-digits.
I don’t expect the Vandals to earn a bowl trip this season but we only need this team to win two of their 12 games and I believe it will happen.
The new head football coach in Moscow is Paul Petrino, who is more known for being the brother of Bobby Petrino. Unlike his brother, he doesn’t have any baggage just a solid approach that has done quite well in both the NFL and big-time programs like Louisville, Arkansas and Illinois. I expect his winning attitude to spread throughout the locker room but it won’t be easy.
I would be surprised to see Idaho earn a win in the first four weeks of the season and fully expect them to go 0-4 with three of the games played on the road and the home game on Sept. 14 is against a quality school in Northern Illinois. The Vandals will be catching double-digit numbers in all of these games.
After the early gauntlet, things begin to look up for Idaho in Week 5 when Temple visits. The 3,000 mile trip will not help the Owls and even though they’ll likely be road favorites, I expect Idaho to compete and possibly win.
The sixth game of the season will be a home loss to Fresno State and the eighth game of the season, a trip to Ole miss, is also a guaranteed loss.
Sandwiched between those matchups is a road trip to Arkansas State. I know the Vandals will be underdogs once again but the Red Wolves have to replace head coach Gus Malzahn and school’s all-time leading quarterback in Ryan Aplin. Idaho could win this one.
After the trip to Arkansas, the team will return for two home games and this is where I expect Idaho to win this bet. The Vandals will host Texas State on Nov. 2 and Old Dominion on Nov. 9.
Texas State has nothing the QB position this season. Idaho will be favored and they will win in Moscow. Old Dominion won’t be an easy out and the program is on the rise, heading to Conference USA in 2014. They have a sound signal caller but I expect the travel to play a factor and give Idaho another win.
If Idaho stands at 1-9 after 10 games, they’ll be 1-10 in late November after a road trip to Florida State.
The final game of the season will be at New Mexico State on Nov. 30. Last season, Idaho beat the Aggies 26-18.
After it’s all said and done, I’m predicting a 3-9 season for Idaho, which is an ‘over’ winner in our pockets!