Big Ten Report - Week 1
August 30, 2013
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Illinois vs. Southern Illinois – 12:00 PM EST, BTN/BTN2Go
Illinois is 3-0 vs. Southern Illinois all-time. They last met in 2010 and the Illini won 35-3. The Fighting Illini have won 15 straight home openers by an average of 26 points per game. They are 9-0 over the last 10 seasons against FCS opponents – winning by an average of 32 points per game.
Ohio State (-34.5) vs. Buffalo – 12:00 PM EST, ESPN2
This is the first meeting between the two schools. Ohio State has won 34 straight home openers by an average of 23 points per game. OSU is also 6-0 when playing its season opener the season after not playing in a bowl game (Buckeyes weren’t eligible for the postseason last season). Buffalo is 1-5 all-time vs. Big Ten schools (last win was in 1900). Buffalo has played on the road at BCS schools the last two years and covered against both. They traveled to Pittsburgh (+30, lost by 19) and Georgia (+38, lost by 18).
Purdue (+10) at Cincinnati – 12:00 PM EST, ESPNU
Purdue is just 1-6 in its last seven road openers, dropping five straight by 7 PPG. These two have only met once before in 2001. Purdue won 19-14 and that was the last time that Cincinnati has dropped a home opener. Since then the Bearcats’ only BCS home opener was a win over Pittsburgh last season. The Boilers will be issuing in a new head coach against a Cincinnati school that won 10 games last season. The Bearcats are also playing their first game under new head coach Tommy Tuberville.
Wisconsin (-44.5) vs. UMass – 12:00 PM EST, BTN/BTN2Go
The Gary Anderson era begins in Wisconsin as the Badgers take on the Minutemen of Massachusetts for the first time ever. UW has won 17 straight home openers by an average of 19 points per game. The Badgers have also won 28 of 29 regular season non-conference games against FBS teams by an average of 20 points per game (only loss was last year against Oregon State). Last year was the first year in the FBS for UMass. UMass is 0-5 all-time vs. Big Ten teams, losing by an average of 35 PPG. They were outgained by two Big Ten foes last year (Indiana and Michigan) by 334 YPG.
Michigan (-31.5) vs. Central Michigan – 3:30 PM EST, BTN/BTN2Go
Michigan is 20-3 in its last 23 home openers, which includes losses in 2007 and 2008. The Wolverines are 3-0 against Central Michigan with the last meeting coming in 2006 (W 41-17). They are 13-0 the last four years at home vs. non-conference foes. Central Michigan coach Dan Enos coached at Michigan State for four years prior to taking the CMU job. CMU is 4-2 ATS in the last five years against Big Ten schools, including two SU wins at Michigan State (’09) and at Iowa (’12).
Nebraska (-30.5) vs. Wyoming – 8:00 PM EST, BTN/BTN2Go
Nebraska hasn’t lost a home opener since 1985. The 27 game winning streak is the longest such streak in the nation. They’ve won the last five home openers by 34 points per game. Nebraska traveled to Wyoming in 2011 and won 38-14. Wyoming runs a wide-open spread offense that gave Nebraska fits a season ago.
16-7 L23 Picks, +1,758 This Year
6-2 Sat., 26-11 L37, +1,630 TY
16-6 L22, 23-7 L4 Sat., +1,628 TY
5-1 Saturday, 17-8 Totals TY
18-10 Record L4 Saturdays
20-10 Record L8 Saturdays
6-2 L8, 9-4 Guarantees TY
60%, +971 Overall This Year
9-5 Last 14 NCAA Guarantees
10-4 L3 Saturdays, 17-9 L26 Picks
5-2 Last 7 NCAA FB Totals
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