Wake Forest at Boston College
September 4, 2013
By Brian Edwards
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Brian Edwards has been the best college football handicapper on VegasInsider.com the past two years in the first quarter of the season. His documented records (47-21, 69%) prove that fact and he’s already locked and loaded for Week 2 in 2013. Click to win!
Match-up: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Boston College Eagles
Venue: Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts (FieldTurf)
Date: Thursday, September 5, 2013
Time/TV: 8:00 PM ET - ESPN2
Line: Boston College -3, Over/Under 48.5
Last Meeting: 2012, Wake Forest (-3.5) 28-14 vs. Boston College
There are not many wordsmiths around that can write a lede to get the casual football fan fired up for Friday's ACC showdown in Chestnut Hill between Boston College and Wake Forest. All I can say is there's a side and a total and, well, isn't that all we need?
As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Boston College (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) installed as a three-point home favorite with the total ranging from 48.5 to 50. Gamblers can back the Demon Deacons on the money line for a +135 return (risk $100 to win $135).
Wake Forest (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) opened the season with a 31-7 win over Presbyterian but failed to cover the number as a 38-point home favorite. The 38 combined points fell 'under' the 51-point total.
Senior quarterback Tanner Price threw for 219 yards and one touchdown without an interception. He also had a three-yard TD run. Price didn't have his favorite target, WR Michael Campanaro, due to a hamstring injury.
Campanaro was a second-team All-ACC selection last season despite missing a pair of games and parts of another. He finished 2012 with 79 catches for 763 yards and six TDs. Campanaro has been upgraded to 'probable' Thursday and is expected to start.
Jim Grobe's team produced 408 yards of total offense and limited Presbyterian to just 151 yards. The Deacs coughed up a pair of fumbles, but the defense created six turnovers and had three interceptions, including a 29-yard pick-six for sophomore linebacker Brandon Chubb.
The Steve Addazio Era at BC got off to a rough start as the Eagles trailed Villanova 14-7 at halftime in their opener last Saturday. But senior QB Chase Rettig led his team on a pair of third-quarter TD drives and BC eventually captured a 24-14 win in a non-covering victory as a 15-point favorite. The 38 combined points remained 'under' the 47.5-point total.
Rettig connected on 23-of-30 throws for 285 yards and two TDs without an interception. Senior WR Alex Amidon, a first-team All-ACC selection in 2012, hauled in 13 receptions for 146 yards, including a 49-yard scoring strike from Rettig. Senior RB Andre Williams rushed for 114 yards and one TD on 23 carries.
BC had 413 yards of total offense compared to 355 for 'Nova. The Eagles won the turnover battle 4-1, intercepting the Wildcats three times.
Since 2010, BC has limped to a 3-7 spread record in 10 games as a home favorite. Since 2007, Wake Forest has been abysmal as a road underdog, going 7-15 ATS.
From 2007-2010, BC won four in a row over Wake both SU and ATS. But the Deacs have won the last two encounters, including last year's 28-14 win as 3 ½-point home 'chalk.' The 42 combined points stayed below the 52.5-point total to produce the third consecutive 'under' in the head-to-head series.
Price torched the Eagles last year by completing 39-of-57 passes for 293 yards and three TDs. Campanaro had 16 receptions for 123 yards and three TDs.
Rettig threw for 357 yards and one TD in the losing effort, but he was intercepted three times. Amidon made 10 catches for 130 yards and one TD.
ESPN2 will provide television coverage at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**
--BC finished 2012 with a 2-10 SU record and a 4-8 ATS mark. The Eagles brought back eight starters on offense and 10 on defense.
--Wake went 5-7 both SU and ATS last season. The Deacs returned seven starters on offense and eight on defense.
--BC has lost WR Bobby Swigert to a season-ending injury. Swigert had 23 receptions for 268 yards and one TD last year. He had four catches for 56 yards in last year's loss to Wake. Swigert also had a 12-yard TD pass on a trick play.
--Florida starting OG Jon Halapio has officially been declared 'out' at Miami. RB Matt Brown will start but his cardio is a major question mark after he missed nearly all of August with a viral infection. The heat is obviously going to be major issue with the noon Eastern kickoff. Therefore, expect to see Mack Brown get the bulk of the carries for UF. Will Muschamp has indicated that true freshman Kelvin Taylor will see increased playing time. 'Baby Fred,' the son of the Gator legend, had fumbling issues during training camp and that's why he didn't play until late in the fourth quarter vs. Toledo. Taylor rushed five times for 43 yards against the Rockets, demonstrating an explosive burst through the hole similar to how his Pops used to do it at The Swamp from 1994-97.
--Kent St. RB Dri Archer has been upgraded to 'probable' vs. Bowling Green. He left last week's game with an ankle injury after rushing just three times for 10 yards. Archer rushed for 1,429 yards and 16 TDs last season, averaging 9.0 yards per carry.
--Middle Tennessee QB Logan Kilgore has been upgraded to 'probable' at North Carolina.
--Coaches on the Hot Seat:
1-Lame Chafin' (Southern Cal)
2-Bobby Hauck (UNLV)
3-Paul Pasqualoni (UConn)
4-Kirk Ferentz (Iowa)
5-Tim Beckman (Illinois)
6-1 Sat., 14-2 Run, +1,061 TY
4-1 L5 Picks, 9-3 L3 Saturdays
7-1 Guarantees, 14-7 Picks TY
6-1 Last 7 College FB Picks
7-1 Over/Unders This Year
6-2 L8 Picks, 7-1 Guarantees TY
2-0 Y'day, 5-0 Fridays This Year
7-3 L2 Saturdays, 11-3 L14 Picks
3-1 Saturday, 4-0 Guarantees TY
3-1 L4 G-Plays, 4-1 Fridays TY
7-0 L7 G-Plays, 5-2 Totals TY
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