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Pac-12 Report - Week 3
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Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
For the second straight week, there was a shocker in the Pac-12. Perhaps just for one week, the Washington State Cougars and their fans can say they held sole possession of first place in the Pac-12. Washington State won an ugly, low-scoring game at Southern California by a 10-7 margin. It was completely unexpected in that Wazzu won outright, but also combined with USC for just 17 total points in what is usually a wide-open, high-octane offense league.

What surprises might we see this weekend? There are quite a few games worth keeping an eye on in the Pac-12. Stanford, UCLA and Washington all head east, while Arizona State, California and Oregon all welcome opponents from the eastern time zone. It will be interesting to say the least.

Last weekend, the league went 9-1 straight up and 6-4 ATS. The home teams were 6-1 straight up and 3-4 ATS, while road teams were 3-0 straight up and ATS. The 'over' went 6-4 in Week 1, with the 'over' going 4-3 for the home teams.

Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Arizona 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
Arizona State 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
California 1-1 0-0 0-2 2-0
Colorado 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
Oregon 2-0 0-0 2-0 2-0
Oregon State 1-1 0-0 0-2 1-1
Southern California 1-1 0-1 0-2 0-2
Stanford 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
UCLA 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Utah 2-0 0-0 2-0 2-0
Washington 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-1
Washington State 1-1 1-0 2-0 0-2

UCLA at Nebraska (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
UCLA stunned Nebraska by a 36-30 score Sept. 8, 2012, and you know fans of Big Red have had this game circled on the calendar for a while. The Huskers will be looking for redemption when QB Brett Hundley and the Bruins invade Lincoln Saturday. It will be interesting to see how the Bruins handle what will be, to them, a 9am kickoff time. It wouldn't be surprising to UCLA get off to a bit of a slow start, and that time difference situation should not be ignored. The total is set around 70 points, and all trends point to a high-scoring affair. The over is 7-1 in UCLA's past eight, and 5-1 in their past six against a team with a winning record, while the over is 4-0 in Nebraska's past four, and 4-0-1 against a team with a winning record, remember that early kickoff time. The teams might be playing catch-up to make the game go over t

Boston College at Southern California (Pac-12 Network, 3:00 p.m. ET)
USC head coach Lane Kiffin is feeling an intense white-hot heat in L.A. following an uninspired 10-7 setback against Washington State last weekend. The Trojans look like they still have plenty of talent at the skill positions, but WR Marqise Lee has had a case of the dropsies on more than one occasion, and USC is not playing anywhere near their capabilities. USC is just 1-6 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record, they're 0-5 in their past five non-conference games and 0-5 in their past five games overall dating back to last season's stumbling down the stretch. BC looked solid last week against Wake, with RB Andre Williams running hot. The Eagles have offensive weapons in QB Chase Rettig and WR Alex Amidon, too, so it would be wise for USC not to write them off. However, over the years, Boston College has been a completely different animal on the road, failing to cover their past six road contests. This will be interesting to watch, if nothing more than to see what happens if USC loses another game at home when they enter play as a double-digit favorite. The boobirds will be out early if QB Cody Kessler doesn't get off to a hot start.

Tennessee at Oregon (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Tennessee Volunteers head west trying to corral the high-flying Oregon Ducks. It will be an interesting measuring stick game for the Vols, who are 2-0, but haven't really been tested in wins over Austin Peay and Western Kentucky. Oregon rolled up huge numbers in their opener against Nicholls State, and they hammered Virginia on the road by a 59-10 score. There might be no slowing down the Ducks offense, who have nearly caused the total to go over themselves in each of their first two contests. With Tennessee averaging 48.5 ppg, and Oregon averaging 62.5 ppg, the 'over' is looking like a very tempting play. Also keep in mind that Tennessee is 3-9-1 ATS in their past 13 against a team with a winning record, and Oregon is 7-1 ATS in their past eight against a team with a winning record. Will the Ducks win by four touchdowns or more, though?

Washington at Illinois (Big Ten Network, 6:00 p.m. ET)
Personally, the Washington-Illinois game is the one Pac-12 game I am looking forward to the most. Washington whipped Boise State 38-6 in their opener back on Aug. 31, while Illinois has shown amazing offense in their first two games, both victories. The Illini was particularly impressive in hammering Cincinnati 45-17, and they have averaged 43.5 ppg through two games. The 'over' has cashed in each of their games thus far. It will be interesting to see if Illini QB Nathan Scheelhaase can continue his effective play. Washington RB Bishop Sankey rolled up 161 rushing yards with two scores against Boise State, and he'll now test the Illini defense. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS over their past seven games, and 4-1 ATS in their past five againts a team with a winning record. Illinois is 4-0 ATS in their past four neutral site games, but they are just 2-9 ATS in their past 11 overall, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight games against a team with a winning record.

Ohio State at California (FOX, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Ohio State QB Braxton Miller (knee) suffered a sprained knee in last weekend's blowout win over San Diego State, but QB Kenny Guiton came on and performed admirably. Still, playing on the road against a quality opponent might be a different story if Guiton is thrust into action again. The Buckeyes are 28-10-1 ATS in their past 39 road games, and 8-2-1 ATS in their past 11 against Pac-12 opponents. Cal kept it surprisingly close last season in Columbus, falling just 35-28 in the Horseshoe. RB Brandon Bigelow torched the Buckeyes for 160 yards and two touchdowns on just four carries, and he will be a secondary story to the Ohio State QB situation. The spread for this game hinges on the knee of Miller.

Wisconsin at Arizona State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
The Badgers hit the road for the first time in 2013, and this will obviously be their biggest test of the season. The Badgers have covered a pair of 44 1/2-point spreads against Massachusetts and Tennessee Tech, and they have yet to yield a point this season. That has caused each of their first two games to go 'under'. They'll get a much sterner test against AZ State. The Sun Devils also have yet to be scored upon this season, blanking Sacramento State 55-0 in their only game Sept. 5. There are a lot of unknowns in this game, making it a bit difficult to handicap. How good are the defenses for these teams? We'll find out in the first quarter. The total is rather low at 52 1/2. The 'over' has cashed in 20 of Arizona State's past 28 games, and is 4-1 in their past five non-conference tilts. The 'over' is also 11-4 in their past 15 home games, while the 'over' has cashed in four of Wisconsin's past five road games. The 'over' is also 15-6-1 in Wisconsin's past 22 games against a team with a winning record.

Other Games
Stanford at Army (CBS SN, 12:00 p.m. ET )
Fresno State at Colorado (2:00 p.m. ET )
Southern Utah at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 6:30 p.m. ET)
Oregon State at Utah (10:00pm ET)
Texas-San Antonio at Arizona (10:30 p.m. ET)

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