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Tech Trends - Week 3
Editor's Note: Bruce Marshall's college football selections can be purchased weekly on Click to win!
Thursday, Sept. 12
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at TCU at TEXAS TECH...TCU now 4-11-1 vs. line last 17, but Gary Patterson is 5-1 as a visiting dog since 2011. TT only 8-10 vs. line at home the past three years for Tuberville. TCU, based on team trends.
at TULANE at LA TECH...La Tech (no covers last 7) and Skip Holtz (0-7 last 6 and 4-18-1 last 23 vs. line at USF & LT) both slumping badly of late. Tulane, based on LT negatives.
at TROY at ARKANSAS STATE...ASU 20-8 vs. line since 2011. Red Wolves also 10-4 as Jonesboro chalk since 2010. ASU also won and covered last two vs. Troy after losing and failing to cover previous four. ASU, based on team trends.
Friday, Sept. 13
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at AIR FORCE at BOISE STATE (Friday, September 13)...Boise 2-10 vs. line against FBS at Bronco Stadium in 2011-12 as the old blue carpet magic has disappeared lately. But AFA only 3-12 vs. line since 2012. Slight to AFA, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 14
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at EASTERN MICHIGAN at RUTGERS...EMU only 4-8 as dog LY after encouraging 2011 when Eagles covered 5 of 6 as DD dog. Eagles also just 1-5 vs. points last six vs. non-MAC foes. RU 10-4 vs. line non-conf. since 2011. Rutgers, based on non-conf. marks.
at STANFORD at ARMY...Tree has been dynamite visiting chalk past few years recording a 12-2 spread mark in role since 2010. Tree also 14-3-1 vs. line as visitor since 2010 and 9-4 laying DD the past two years. Army just 1-4 as 20-point or more dog since 2011. Stanford, based on team trends.
at GEORGIA STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...Holgorsen 1-4 last five vs. spread against non-Big 12. WVU also just 4-7 laying DDs since 2011 and 2-4 laying 20 or more that span. Slight to GSU, based on WVU negatives.
at LOUISVILLE at KENTUCKY...'Ville has won and covered last two vs. UK. But note Cards were only 1-3 as road chalk LY. Cats were just 1-6-1 as dog for Joker LY, however, and are 3-8-1 as DD dog since 2011. 'Ville, based on team and recent series trends.
at MARSHALL at OHIO...Solich 15-10 as dog since 2008, 4-2 as home dog that span. Since 2011, Solich 10-2 vs. pts. against non-MAC. Dog has covered 3 of past 4 years in this series between nearby rivals. If Doc road chalk note 0-3-1 mark in role since 2010. Ohio, based on team trends.
at AKRON at MICHIGAN...Note Mich is 6-2 vs. line last 8 in games following Notre Dame. Hoke also now 4-1 last five laying 20 or more and 9-5 vs. spread as host since taking over in 2011. Michigan, based on team trends.
at BOWLING GREEN at INDIANA...Falcs 14-7 as road doggie since 2008, and 21-10 overall vs. spread as visitor since 2008. BGSU also on 9-1 spread run last nine reg.-season games. BGSU, based on team trends.
at VIRGINIA TECH at EAST CAROLINA...Beamer in slump, 8-20-2 last 30 on board since late in 2010. Beamer 0-5 vs. line as visitor LY. ECU just 1-7 last 8 vs. spread against non-CUSA. Slight to ECU, based on recent Beamer woes.
at MARYLAND at UCONN...Hard to gauge Terp spread marks past few years with all of the past injuries and such. But UM was still 4-2 vs. line away LY. Huskies just 6-8 vs. spread at Rentsch since 2011. Maryland, based on team trends.
at NEW MEXICO at PITT...Bob Davie 2-5 vs. line last seven since late LY. Pitt was 5-2 as chalk for Paul Chryst LY. Slight to Pitt, based on team trends.
at UL-MONROE at WAKE FOREST...Wake now no covers last five since late LY. ULM 6-2 last 8 as dog for Todd Berry, Warhawks also 9-5 vs. points away since 2010. ULM, based on team trends.
at WESTERN KENTUCKY at SOUTH ALABAMA...Petrino 55-32-1 vs. line last seven + years as a college coach. Tops 11-1 vs. line as visitor since 2011. Note USA is 6-1 as DD dog since 2011. WKU, based on extended and Petrino trends.
at FRESNO STATE at COLORADO...Big revenge for CU after 69-14 loss at Dog House LY in the low point of the Embree years. Mike MacIntyre now 15-2-1 last 18 on board, also 12-1 last 13 as dog. Fresno now no covers last 3 after 11-1 run first 12 for DeRuyter. CU, based on MacIntyre marks.
at NEVADA at FLORIDA STATE...Jimbo 4-2 as home chalk LY. Pack just 2-7 vs. line last 9 as visitor. Slight to FSU, based on recent Nevada road woes.
at UCLA at NEBRASKA...Nebraska was 11-20 as Lincoln chalk from 2007-11 before covering 6 of 7 LY, then Huskers failed to cover Wyo opener. So extended home chalk mark not great. Mora 4-1 as dog LY including home win over Nebraska. UCLA, based on team trends.
at GEORGIA TECH at DUKE...Tech has only dropped one of last five vs. spread vs. Duke. Blue Devils 2-7 as dog in 2012. GT, based on team trends.
at TENNESSEE at OREGON...Butch Jones teams at Cincy covered their last 4 as a dog. Ducks only 8-8 lying 20 or more since 2011 and 6-8-1 as home chalk since 2011. Slight to UT, based on team trends.
at OLE MISS at TEXAS...Mack Brown rolled to 66-31 win at Oxford LY but is only 4-8 as single-digit chalk the past three seasons. Hugh Freeze teams 21-5 vs. line since 2011 at Ark State & Ole Miss and 6-2 as dog that span, also 6-1 vs. line away from home since 2012 with Rebs. Ole Miss, based on Freeze trends.
at BOSTON COLLEGE at SOUTHERN CAL...Lane Kiffin just 3-12 vs. line since LY and has dropped last five vs. spread. Eagles have been historically a good road dog before LY, 18-7 in role 2003-11. BC, based on team trends.
at IOWA at IOWA STATE...ISU has won and covered 3-point verdicts past two years. Ferentz 10-21-1 last 32 on board. ISU, based on Iowa negatives.
at ALABAMA at TEXAS A&M...Big revenge for Nick (2-2 last 4 in role). Nick 11-2 last 13 vs. spread away from home. Ags were 1-1 as dog for Sumlin LY. Alabama, based on team trends.
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS at IDAHO...NIU was 4-1 as visiting chalk LY, and Huskies now 11-5 last 16 on board for Doeren & Carey. Vandals 2-13 last 15 on board and no covers all 5 at Kibbie Dome LY. NIU, based on team trends.
at MISSISSIPPI STATE at AUBURN...Auburn had won 4 straight and covered 3 in a row vs. MSU prior to LY's 28-10 Maroon win. Malzahn 8-4 vs. line at Ark State LY. MSU on 2-6 spread skid since late LY and Dan Mullen no covers last six as road dog. Auburn, based on MSU negatives.
at WASHINGTON vs. ILLINOIS (at Solider Field, Chicago)...Illini now 4-10 vs. line for Beckman after Cincy win, and Illini were 0-5 vs. line away from Champaign-Urbana LY. Sarkisian 9-5 last 14 on board after Boise win. UW, based on team trends.
at UCF at PENN STATE...O'Leary has opened quickly with a pair of wins and covers and Knights now have three wins and covers in a row to late LY, also 5-2 last 7 vs. line against non-conf. foes since LY. Nittany Lions have covered six of last seven at Happy Valley for O'Brien but most covers vs. suspect opposition. Slight to UCF, based on recent O'Leary marks.
at BALL STATE at NORTH TEXAS...Pete Lembo now 16-5 last 21 on board for Ball State after Army win. Cards 9-4 vs. line as visitor since 2011 for Lembo (2-2 as road chalk). Ball, based on recent Lembo marks.
at MEMPHIS at MTSU...MTSU 5-0-1 last six as chalk vs. FBS foes. Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.
at SOUTHERN MISS at ARKANSAS...USM 3-11 last 14 on board (and 0-14 SU). Bielema had been 12-7 as home chalk 2009-11 before faltering to 2-5 in role at Wiscy LY (1-1 vs. line early TY). Arkansas, based on USM negatives.
at VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA...Note easy "under" last four meetings with teams combing for 30 or fewer in each game. Spurrier 7-2 last 9 as home chalk. "Under" and slight to SC, based on "totals" and team trends.
at TULSA at OKLAHOMA...Tulsa 7-3 as road dog since 2010 (though 0-1 TY). Stoops just 16-17 as DD chalk since 2009 but is 12-2 vs. line against non-Big 12 since 2010. OU, based on team trends.
at OHIO STATE at CAL...Sonny Dykes now no covers his last 7 on board after 17-3 mark previous 20. Cal 2-8 last 10 as dog, and Bears 1-5 as home dog since 2011. Bucks only 2-6-1 as visiting chalk since 2009 (0-1 for Urban) after excelling in role during most of the Tressel years. Slight to OSU, based on team trends.
at UMASS at KANSAS STATE...Mass now 4-10 vs. line since LY. Snyder 7-2 as home chalk since LY. KSU, based on UMass negatives.
at FAU at SOUTH FLORIDA...Carl Pelini now 8-1 last nine as road dog for FAU. USF no covers last ten as chalk since late 2011! FAU, based on team trends.
at KANSAS at RICE...Owls 10-4-1 last 15 on board since late 2011 and Bailiff 2-0 as home chalk LY. KU 6-14 vs. line away since 2009 (2-4 for Weis LY). Slight to Rice, based on team trends.
at KENT STATE at LSU...Les Miles just 9-11 as Baton Rouge chalk since 2010. Also just 10-14 vs. line non-SEC since 2008 and 4-7 vs. spread last 11 at home vs. non-SEC. Kent State, however, is 0-3 vs. line since Darrell Hazell left before LY's Bowl. Slight to LSU, based on KSU negatives.
at NOTRE DAME at PURDUE...Purdue an unimpressive 0-2 vs. line for Hazell. Brian Kelly 7-8 as DD chalk since 2011 but ND has covered last four trips to Ross-Ade. Notre Dame, based on Purdue negatives.
at UTEP at NEW MEXICO STATE...Though road chalk role has not been good lately for UTEP (2-7 since 2006), Miners have won and covered the past four meetings vs. NMSU. Ags 3-10-1 last 13 on board after loss in Texas opener, and 7-16 as Las Cruces dog since 2008. UTEP, based on NMSU negatives.
at WESTERN MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN...Pat Fitzgerald now 14-1 vs. line since LY and has covered last eight at home. Cats also 3-0 as DD chalk LY and 7-0-1 last 8 as favorite. Broncs were only 1-5 as dog LY in Cubit's final season but covered as dog for Fleck in opener vs. MSU. NU, based on recent Fitzgerald numbers.
at UTSA at ARIZONA...Coker 2-0 vs. line TY after getting cover vs. Ok State, and UTSA 9-3 vs. line since LY! Rich Rod only 1-4 as UA home chalk vs. FBS foes. UTSA, based on recent trends.
at OREGON STATE at UTAH...Surging Utes now 2-0 SU and vs. line TY after Weber State romp. Utah has also covered 6 of its last 7 games at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Utah, based on recent trends.
at CENTRAL MICHIGAN at UNLV...Formful Rebs 7-15 as home chalk since 2003 although a better 2-2 in role for Bobby Hauck since 2010. Hauck, however, 2-6 overall as chalk since 2010. Slight to CMU, based on extended UNLV chalk negatives.
at WISCONSIN at ARIZONA STATE...Gary Andersen now 13-2 last 15 on board at USU & Wiscy (2-0 TY). But prior to facing the two lightweights to open 2013, Badgers were 0-5-1 last six vs. line against non-Big Ten. ASU 5-1 as home chalk for Todd Graham and 9-5 vs. line since LY, and his teams are 14-7 vs. line as host since 2010. Slight to ASU, based on team trends.

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