Week 4 Rewind
September 23, 2013
By Brian Edwards
Editor’s Note: Brian Edwards finished up Week 4 with a 5-1 (83%) record. Don’t miss out on his Week 5 Winners on VegasInsider.com. Click to win!
LSU improved to 4-0 but failed to cover the spread in a 35-21 win over Auburn as a 17-point home favorite. The 56 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 54-point total to improve to 4-0 in LSU games.
Les Miles’s team will put its unbeaten record on the line Saturday at Georgia. The Bayou Bengals are 5-6 ATS in 11 games as a road underdog on Miles’s watch.
Zach Mettenberger will be making his return to Athens, where his college career began. Mettenberger, who transferred from UGA to LSU after an arrest as a freshman, is playing the best football of his career. He threw for 229 yards in the win over Auburn. Mettenberger has a 10/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio through four games.
Florida will be without starting junior quarterback Jeff Driskel for the rest of the season. Driskel suffered a broken fibula during the first quarter of a 31-17 win over Tennessee. The Gators failed to cover as 16 ½-point home favorites.
Former back-up QB Jacoby Brissett transferred to North Carolina St., so the job fell to junior Tyler Murphy, who had just one previous career pass on a two-point conversion at Miami two weeks ago.
But Murphy responded with poise. He completed 8-of-14 throws for 134 yards with one TD and zero interceptions. Most promising, Murphy demonstrated his scrambling skills with 84 rushing yards, including a seven-yard TD scamper.
Trailing 31-10 with 10:20 remaining, Justin Worley threw an 18-yard TD pass to Pig Howard to give UT supporters a backdoor cover. The 48 combined points snuck ‘over’ the 47 ½-point total. UF will go to Lexington in Week 5 in search of a 27th straight win over Kentucky.
Georgia was a victim to a look-ahead spot in its 45-21 non-covering win over North Texas as a 33-point home favorite. The Mean Green actually had the game knotted at 21-21 after blocking a UGA punt for a TD early in the third quarter.
James Franklin helped Missouri improve to 3-0 in a 45-28 win at Indiana as a three-point favorite. Franklin threw for 343 yards and two TDs while also rushing for 61 yards and one score. The Tigers, who are 2-0-1 ATS, host Arkansas St. before back-to-back road assignments at Vandy and at Georgia.
Franklin appears to be back in the form he displayed in 2011 rather than last year’s injury-riddled campaign. He has 873 passing yards and 182 yards rushing.
Arkansas allowed a 24-7 lead to get away in a 28-24 loss at Rutgers. The Razorbacks played without starting QB Brandon Allen, who is ‘questionable’ Saturday vs. Texas A&M. The Hogs, who fell to 3-1 straight up and failed to cover for the third straight week, will be seeking revenge for a 58-10 loss to the Aggies in College Station last year.
Alabama and Vandy never threatened to cover the spread in double-digit wins over Colorado St. and UMass, respectively. The Crimson Tide will take on undefeated Ole Miss on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Notre Dame handed Michigan State its first loss of the season in a 17-13 win as a four-point home favorite. If you took the Spartans early in the week when they were seven-point underdogs, then you cashed a ticket like me. The number dropped down to four late Friday afternoon.
Brian Kelly’s squad will take on Oklahoma this weekend. The Sooners are short favorites in this revenge game after losing 30-13 to the Irish last season in Norman.
Maryland improved to 4-0 both SU and ATS with its 37-0 win over West Virginia as a four-point favorite in Baltimore. The Terrapins have an open date to prepare for a trip to Tallahassee to take on Florida St.
Wisconsin bounced back from its gut-wrenching setback at Arizona St. to pound Purdue by a 41-10 count as a 22-point home favorite. The 51 combined points went ‘over’ the 49-point total. Melvin Gordon leads the nation in rushing after gaining 147 yards and running for three TDs against the Boilermakers. The Badgers are seven-point ‘dogs Saturday at Ohio St.
Georgia Tech (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) remained unbeaten by rallying from a double-digit deficit to beat North Carolina 28-20 as a 6.5-point home favorite. The Yellow Jackets host Virginia Tech on Thursday night.
Va. Tech needed overtime to sneak past Marshall 29-21 in Blacksburg. The Hokies won their third consecutive game but dropped to 0-3-1 ATS with the non-cover as 8.5-point home favorites.
Stanford dominated Arizona State in a 42-28 win that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. The Cardinal raced out to a 39-7 advantage en route to an easy spread cover as a 6 ½-point home favorite.
Utah State is now 17-2 ATS in its last 19 games as a road underdog following its 17-14 loss at USC as a 6 ½-point ‘dog. The Trojans travel to Tempe this weekend for a crucial conference game against Arizona St.
Utah picked up a huge win in a 20-13 triumph at BYU as a seven-point underdog. The Utes got the victory despite converting just one out of 14 third-down plays.
7-2 Saturday, 34-12 L6 Sat, +1,590
4-2 Sat, 11-4 L15, 64% +1,440 TY
17-5 L22 Guaranteed Plays
4-2 Saturday, 10-2 Win Streak
7-3 Saturday, 5-2 L7 Totals
11-3 L14 Picks, 7-2 L9 Guarantees
4 Wins in a Row, 7-3 G-Plays TY
16-6 L22 Picks, 23-9 L6 Saturdays
10-3 L6 Sat, 24-10 Run, 69% TY
10-2 L12 G-Plays, 10-5 L15 Picks
5-2 Saturday, 4-1 L5 Over/Unders
10-4 L14 Picks, 15-5 L4 Saturdays
7-3 G-Plays, 13-8 L2 Sat., +920 TY
6-1 Last 7 CFB Guarantees
14-7 L21 Selections, 3-1 G-Plays
2-0 Thursday, 6-2 G-Play Run
7-2 L9 Totals, 6-3 L9 Guarantees
5-2 L2 Saturdays, 9-4 L13 Picks
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