Week 7 Rewind
October 15, 2013
By Brian Edwards
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Where do we start after an outstanding slate of games that included quite a few upsets? I think we have to begin with Missouri’s 41-26 win at Georgia as a seven-point underdog.
Over the summer, I talked about how I was giving Missouri a mulligan for last year’s disappointing debut in the SEC. When a team loses three starters on the offensive line to season-ending injuries in August like the Tigers did in 2012, you know that squad is going to struggle. Not only that, but star QB James Franklin was coming off of shoulder surgery and then injured his foot in Week 2. Franklin was never healthy and RB Henry Josey missed the entire season.
With a healthy Franklin returning to his 2011 form, Gary Pinkel’s squad went into Athens with a 5-0 record to face a Georgia team that was decimated by injuries in a win at Tennessee the previous week.
With Franklin doing his thing, the Tigers raced out to a 28-10 second-quarter lead and withstood a late charge by the Bulldogs to collect the win. However, Franklin suffered a separated shoulder and will miss 3-5 weeks. Unfortunately for Missouri, that means it won’t have Franklin in two key home games against Florida and South Carolina.
Franklin threw for a touchdown pass and ran for another. Josey’s seven-yard TD run with 2:18 remaining put the game on ice. The Tigers improved to 5-0-1 against the spread.
LSU bolstered its resume with a 17-6 win over Florida as a seven-point home favorite. Jeremy Hill became the first play to run for more than 100 yards against the Gators with a 121-yard effort on 19 carries. Most important, Les Miles’s team held UF to only 240 yards of total defense.
Florida held its 13th consecutive SEC opponent to 20 points or less, but Will Muschamp’s squad couldn’t overcome yet another anemic offensive performance. With that said, the Gators still control their own destiny to win the SEC East for the first time since 2009.
LSU doesn’t get any rest with a tough road game looming at Ole Miss.
Speaking of the Rebels, they lost for the third straight time when Texas A&M got a walk-off field goal to win a 41-38 decision in Oxford. Hugh Freeze’s team took the cash as a seven-point home underdog. The ‘over’ improved to 5-1 overall for the Aggies after the 79 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 77 ½-point total.
Johnny Manziel completed 31-of-39 passes for 346 yards. Last year’s Heisman Trophy winner also ran for a team-high 113 yards and two touchdowns, including a six-yard TD dash to tie the game with 3:07 remaining.
Ole Miss freshman sensation Robert Nkemdiche suffered a hamstring injury and is ‘out’ vs. LSU. Also, the Rebels’ other starting DE C.J. Johnson is ‘questionable’ this weekend.
South Carolina was one of the biggest Week 7 winners. For starters, the Gamecocks smashed Arkansas 52-7 as 5 ½-point road ‘chalk.’ Connor Shaw threw for 219 yards and three TDs without an interception, and the senior QB ran for 37 yards and one score. Bruce Ellington hauled in six receptions for 96 yards and two TDs, while Mike Davis ran for 128 yards and one TD on 19 carries.
But the main reason why South Carolina was a winner is because Georgia went down. The Gamecocks’ lone defeat came at UGA so they were essentially two games behind the Bulldogs until they fell to Missouri.
Oregon is the nation’s only team with a 6-0 record both straight up and ATS. The Ducks captured a 45-24 win at Washington to take the cash as 12-point road favorites.
Marcus Mariota threw for 366 yards and three TDs without a turnover. He also rushed for 88 yards and one TD. The sophomore signal caller has 17 TD passes without an interception. Mariota also has eight rushing TDs and averages 10.4 yards per carry.
Stanford lost for the first time when it got upset 27-21 at Utah as a 7 ½-point road favorite. The Utes had lost a pair of nail-biters at home to UCLA and Oregon St. in previous weeks, but they wouldn’t be denied against the Cardinal.
UCLA is 5-0 both SU and ATS following its 37-10 win over California, the nation’s only 0-6 team ATS, as a 26-point home ‘chalk.’ Brett Hundley connected on 31-of-41 throws for 410- yards and three TDs and zero interceptions.
Penn State handed Michigan its first loss by winning 43-40 in quadruple overtime as a two-point home underdog. Bill Belton’s two-yard TD run was the game winner.
Wisconsin took Northwestern behind the woodshed at Camp Randall, cruising to a 35-6 win as a 10 ½-point home favorite. The Badgers got 172 rushing yards from Melvin Gordon and 101 out of James White. Both RBs had a rushing TD apiece.
Joel Stave threw three TD passes and the Wisconsin ‘D’ forced a pair of Northwestern’s best players (RB Venric Mark and QB/WR Kain Colter) out of the game with injuries. Mark and Colter are ‘questionable’ Saturday vs. Minnesota.
Texas improved to 3-0 in Big 12 play by thumping Oklahoma 36-20 as a 13 ½-point underdog. Johnathan Gray and Malcolm Brown ran for 123 and 120 yards rushing, respectively, while Chase McCoy threw a pair of TD passes.
Baylor failed to cover the number for the first time in a 35-25 win at Kansas State as a 17-point road favorite. Bryce Petty threw for 342 yards and three TDs without a pick.
Virginia Tech has quietly won six in a row following its season-opening loss to Alabama at the Ga. Dome. The Hokies beat Pitt 19-9 as seven-point home favorites. They have covered the spread in three straight and have seen the ‘under’ go 5-1-1 overall.
Clemson fell victim to a look-ahead spot with FSU looming. The Tigers still won 24-14 over Boston College, but they never threatened to get the money as 24-point home favorites. BC led 7-3 at halftime, creating a lot of value for a Clemson second-half wager. As it turned out, Dabo Swinney’s squad barely covered for halftime plays (-13, -9 adjusted) by a mere point.
Have you noticed which school is sporting a 5-2 SU record and a 3-0 mark in Conference USA? That would be Tulane, a 36-33 winner over East Carolina as a 13 ½-point home underdog in triple overtime. The score was 19-19 at the end of regulation, so ‘under’ supporters had been looking great for the first 60 minutes. However, 31 points in the extra sessions sent the 69 points ‘over’ the 53 ½-point tally.
Most impressive, the Green Wave was playing without starting QB Nick Montana, who was out with an injury.
11-5 L16 Picks, +1,758 This Year
6-2 Sat., 26-10 L36, +1,740 TY
15-6 L21, 23-7 L4 Sat., +1,528 TY
5-1 Saturday, 17-8 Totals TY
18-10 Record L4 Saturdays
17-9 L26 Picks, 20-10 L8 Saturdays
6-1 L7, 9-3 Guarantees TY
35-21 L56 Picks, +1,086 TY
9-4 Last 13 NCAA Guarantees
10-4 L3 Saturdays, 17-8 L25 Picks
5-2 Last 7 NCAA FB Totals
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