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ACC Report - Week 8

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Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 66% of his college football selections through seven weeks. Don't miss out on Week 8 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
It will be all eyes on the Atlantic Coast Conference, or at least all eyes on Death Valley in the upstate of South Carolina, as Florida State and Clemson clash in a battle of Top 5 powers. The nation's showcase game features two of the ACC's unbeatens, and the winner will have a very good shot at a national title shot if they can run the table after Saturday's game.

The weekend in the ACC gets started early, as it is 'Zero Dark Thursday' in Chapel Hill. The North Carolina Tar Heels will be wearing a fancy black alternate uniform with matte helmets. It is uncertain if that will make any difference slowing down Miami, but it should be a good look on television. These uniform changes is a glorified fashion show for old-school fans, but students and recruits eat this kind of stuff up.
2013 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 3-3 1-2 4-2 2-4
Clemson 6-0 4-0 3-3 3-3
Duke 4-2 0-2 4-2 2-4
Florida State 5-0 3-0 4-1 5-0
Georgia Tech 3-3 2-2 3-3 3-3
Maryland 5-1 1-1 4-2 4-2
Miami (Fla.) 5-0 1-0 4-1 3-2
North Carolina 1-4 0-2 1-4 1-4
North Carolina State 3-3 0-3 3-3 1-5
Pittsburgh 3-2 2-2 2-3 3-2
Syracuse 3-3 1-1 4-2 3-3
Virginia 2-4 0-2 3-3 4-2
Virginia Tech 6-1 3-0 3-3-1 1-5-1
Wake Forest 3-3 1-2 2-4 1-5


Miami, Fl. at North Carolina (Thu. ESPN - 7:30 p.m. ET)
As mentioned, it's 'Zero Dark Thursday' at Kenan Stadium, but the Tar Heels expected a lot better results by this point of the season for their national showcase game. Now, UNC is fighting just to get bowl eligible. Another loss, and they're really be up against it. The Hurricanes have covered nine of their past 11 games on the road, and they are 19-7 ATS in their past 26 games overall. And Miami is a whopping 14-2 ATS in their past 16 ACC games, and they're 4-0 ATS in their past four forays away from Sun Life Stadium. The Tar Heels are 1-4 SU and ATS, and they have covered just two of their past seven against aa team with a winning record. They are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 games at Kenan, but the last time they appeared on their home field, they were hammered by in-state rival East Carolina. The underdog is 7-1-1 in the past nine meetings in this series, and if UNC can find a way to slow down the 'Canes on defense, they could hang around and cover the eight-point number. But the Tar Heels have displayed very little reason to have any confidence that will happen. The 'over' is 4-0 in the past four meetings in this series.

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Syracuse at Georgia Tech (12:30 p.m. ET)
Syracuse had just 74 yards passing, two turnovers and just 15 first downs to 22 for NC State, but Syracuse came away with a 24-10 road victory for its first ACC win ever. The Orange completed five passes to wide receivers in the victory, and that comes one week after managing ZERO completions to wideouts in a loss to Clemson. The Orange offense is a mess, and there is little reason to believe they'll be able to do it with mirrors for a second straight week. Georgia Tech is a much better team than NC State. The Yellow Jackets failed to cover in a 38-20 loss at Brigham Young last week, their third straight non-cover after starting the year 3-0 ATS. However, their past three losses have all been against Virginia Tech, in a hard faught 17-10 game, then a loss at Miami in which they were in it until the very in, and the game in Provo. All quality opponents. Syracuse is a step down, and the Ramblin' Wreck should be able to get back on track.

Maryland at Wake Forest (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Terps scratched out a one-point win at home against Virginia, failing to cover the spread for the second consecutive game. The Deacs bounced NC State 28-13 in their last game Oct. 5, and the 'under' came through for the fifth time in six games. The Terrapins have covered six of their past eight games, but they are just 4-12 ATS in their past 16 ACC games. The Deacs are 1-8 ATS in their past nine games against a team with a winning record, and 2-7 ATS in their past nine games overall, but they are 5-1 ATS in their past six after a bye week, so they have that going for them. The good news for the Terps, and potentially for bettors, will be QB C.J. Brown (concussion) coming back from concussion. Head coach Randy Edsall says Brown is cleared to practice, and 'should' start. Check back just to be sure, as that makes a big difference in the potential result.

Duke at Virginia (3:30 p.m. ET)
The Blue Devils welcome back QB Anthony Boone (collarbone) from a broken collarbone, and he tossed a career-high 295 yards in last week's 35-7 victory against Navy. I can tell you first-hand, as I was at the game, that while Navy isn't particularly good on offense, especially when they get behind and have to go aerial, that the Duke defense looked much improved after a bye. Now, the Blue Devils step back into conference, and they look for their fifth victory in six tries against the Cavaliers. UVA ranks 13th in the ACC in scoring offense with just 22.3 points per game, and QB David Watford hasn't helped his own cause, tossing seven interceptions, which is second-most in the league. The Blue Devils are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight road games against a team with a losing home record, but they just 2-7 ATS in their past nine on the road overall, and 1-5 ATS in their past six ACC games. The Cavaliers are 2-9-1 ATS in their past 12 at Scott Stadium, and 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games at home against a team with a winning road record.

Florida State at Clemson (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Seminoles and Heisman Trophy hopeful QB Jameis Winston invade Death Valley, and they are a three-point favorite against the Tigers. He'll go head-to-head with QB Tajh Boyd, who needs just 164 passing yards to throw for 10,000 yards in his ACC career. The last time a team won with a freshman quarterback at Clemson was during the 2007 season. The Tigers are 11-5 ATS in their past 16 games overall and 10-3 ATS in their past 13 ACC games, but just 1-4 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record. The Seminoles have covered just once in the past eight road games (at Pittsburgh earlier this season), and they are 0-5 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a winning home record. That might explain why the public is rolling to Clemson at nearly a two-to-one clip. The Seminoles are also 0-8 ATS in their past eight trips to Clemson and 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings with the Tigers overall. The home team is also 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings in this series.

Other Games
Old Dominion at Pittsburgh (7:00pm ET)

Byes
Boston College, North Carolina State, Virginia Tech



  
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