Washington at UCLA
November 14, 2013
By Brian Edwards
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Matchup: Washington at Stanford
Venue: Rose Bowl (Grass) from Los Angeles, California
Date: Friday, Nov. 15, 2013
Time/TV: 9:00 pm. ET - ESPN2
Line: UCLA -3, Over/Under 61
Last Meeting: 2010, Washington (-3) 24 vs. UCLA 7
In order to maintain control of its own destiny in the Pac-12 South race, UCLA (7-2 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) needs a win when it plays host to Washington on Friday night.
As of early Thursday evening, most betting shops had the Bruins favored by three (at even money) with a total of 61. Gamblers can back the Huskies to win outright for a +125 return (risk $100 to win $125). For first-half bets, UCLA is favored by one with a total of 30 or 30.5.
Jim Mora Jr.’s team returns home after going on the road and capturing a 31-26 win at Arizona last weekend. UCLA took the cash as a 1.5-point underdog, while the 57 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 60.5-point total.
Brett Hundley threw for 227 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. The sophomore signal caller also rushed for 56 yards and one TD. Myles Jack moved over from his linebacker position to play running back and responded with 120 rushing yards and one TD on just six carries. Jack played both ways and recovered a key fumble in the third quarter.
Jack, a true freshman, probably won’t have to play on offense this week. That’s because junior RB Jordon James will get the starting nod after sitting out last week. James has missed four of the last five games with an ankle injury.
James missed three games and then gave it a go in a 45-23 non-covering home win over Colorado two weeks ago. But he was ineffective with just eight rushing yards on six totes. The word out of SoCal is that James has looked 100 percent at practice this week. In the team’s first four contests, he ran for 471 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.9 yards per carry.
Hundley is completing 68.5 percent of his throws for 2,225 yards with an 18/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has rushed for a team-high 471 yards and seven scores. With OT Simon Goines ruled ‘out’ Thursday, Hundley will play without three starters on the offensive line for the fourth consecutive game.
Washington (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) has won back-to-back games since suffering through a three-game losing streak during a murderous stretch of the schedule. In a three-week span, UW played at Stanford, vs. Oregon and at Arizona St.
Steve Sarkisian’s team ended the slide with a 41-17 non-covering win over California before an open date. When the Huskies returned off the bye last weekend, they trounced Colorado 59-7 as 30-point home favorites.
Senior QB Keith Price torched the Buffaloes by throwing for 312 yards and two TDs without committing a turnover. Price also had a pair of rushing scores. Bishop Sankey rushed 23 times for 143 yards and one TD.
Sankey is third in the nation in rushing with 1,305 yards and 13 TDs. He is averaging 5.9 YPC. Price has connected on 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,481 yards with an 18/4 TD-INT ratio. He’s also rushed for four TDs.
Washington owns an 8-12 spread record in 20 games as a road underdog during Sarkisian’s five years at the helm. Meanwhile, UCLA has compiled a 5-3 spread record as a home favorite on Mora’s watch.
The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for UCLA, but the ‘over’ has hit at a 3-1 clip in its four home games. The Bruins’ game have averaged a combined score of 59.4 points per game.
The ‘under’ is 5-4 for Washington, but the ‘over’ is 2-1 in its three road assignments. The Huskies have seen their games average a combined score of 59.0 PPG.
These schools haven’t faced each other since 2010 when Washington ended a three-game losing streak to UCLA by collecting a 24-7 win as a two-point home ‘chalk.’ The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these long-time adversaries.
Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
-- Miami is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite under Al Golden. The Hurricanes are 3.5-point favorites Saturday at Duke. The Blue Devils are 10-11 ATS as home underdogs during David Cutcliffe’s tenure.
-- Louisville is favored by 16 for Saturday’s home game vs. Houston. The Cardinals have limped to a 7-12 spread record as double-digit favorites under Charlie Strong. The Cougars have taken the cash in both of their games as double-digit ‘dogs in 2013.
-- Virginia Tech is an atrocious 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games as a double-digit favorite. The Hokies are favored by 16 Saturday at home vs. Maryland.
-- Indiana has seen the ‘over’ cash at an 8-1 overall clip this year. The Hoosiers play at Wisconsin this weekend with a total of 70 at most books.
-- Vanderbilt is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite under James Franklin. The Commodores are 12.5-point home ‘chalk’ Saturday vs. Kentucky. The Wildcats are 2-0 ATS as road ‘dogs this season.
-- Boston College is a perfect 4-0 ATS at home this year. The Eagles are favored by 7.5 on Saturday vs. visiting North Carolina St.
-- The ‘over’ is 9-1 for the Troy Trojans, who visit The Grove this weekend to take on Ole Miss. The total is 69 at most spots.
2-0 LN, 10-4 G-Plays, +1,805 TY
7-3 Saturday, 30-10 L40, +1,659 TY
5-0 Streak, 13-5 L18 Totals
2-0 LN, 12-3 G-Plays, +1,563 TY
14-5 L4 Saturdays, 58% +1,251 TY
2-0 Y'day, +2,875 Over/Unders TY
5-1 L6 Picks, 12-4 L16 G-Plays
35-12 L4 Saturdays, 44-22 Streak
17-6 L3 Saturdays, 28-13 L41 Run
18-7 L25 G-Plays, +2,073 Totals TY
27-11 L5 Saturdays, 30-12 Streak
11-4 CFB Record L15 Picks
12-6 L18 Guaranteed Plays
11-4 L15 G-Plays, 17-8 L25 Picks
4-1 Last 5, 9-3 Last 12 Picks
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