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ACC Report - Week 13

Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 58% of his college football selections through 12 weeks. Don't miss out on Week 13 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12

The Atlantic Coast Conference has some real dogs on the schedule this week, and I don't mean underdogs. This weekend's schedule of games looks like what we might see in late August or early September, with lower-tier FBS teams, or FCS teams, playing against the league's powerhouses. In fact, the best game, as far as competitveness, might be Boston College-Maryland or Pittsburgh-Syracuse, and that's not making anyone's toes tingle.

The Florida State Seminoles, currently No. 2 in the BCS rankings, will face the lowly Idaho Vandals in out-of-conference action. For now, QB Jameis Winston is expected to play, although the ever-evolving story about some misdeeds off the field are sure to follow the star quarterback around this week, and until the case's resolution. The Seminoles are favored by 57 points, and with the Vandals 5-17 ATS in their past 22 non-conference tilts, and 0-5 ATS in their past five against winning teams, there might be a lot of takers on Florida State. FSU is 6-1 ATS in their past seven home games, and 9-4 ATS in their past 13 non-conference tilts.

Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 6-4 3-3 6-4 5-5
Clemson 9-1 7-1 5-5 7-3
Duke 8-2 4-2 8-2 5-5
Florida State 10-0 8-0 8-2 9-1
Georgia Tech 6-4 5-3 4-5-1 6-4
Maryland 6-4 2-4 6-4 6-4
Miami (Fla.) 7-3 3-3 4-6 5-5
North Carolina 5-5 4-3 6-4 3-7
North Carolina State 3-7 0-7 4-6 4-6
Pittsburgh 5-5 2-4 4-6 4-6
Syracuse 5-5 3-3 6-4 5-5
Virginia 2-8 0-6 3-6-1 8-2
Virginia Tech 7-4 4-3 4-6-1 4-6-1
Wake Forest 4-6 2-5 4-6 2-8

Duke at Wake Forest (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Blue Devils are enjoying their first rankings in The Associated Press Top 25 since 1994. Duke is looking to match the program record with a ninth victory, but Wake Forest will be anything but a pushover. Just ask Miami, who had trouble with Deacs recently. Of course, Miami isn't playing so well, either. Just ask the Blue Devils. Duke is 4-1 ATS in their past five meetings at Wake Forest, and 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings overall, and that includes a stretch of some lesser Duke teams, and better Wake clubs. The dog is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series, but the road team is also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 battles. Most signs appear to point to Duke, especially since Wake is just 4-9 ATS in their past 13 overall, and 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against a team with a winning record. Duke is 5-0 ATS in its past five ACC games, and 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight road games against a team with a losing home record.

Virginia at Miami, Fl. (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Cavaliers and Hurricanes both can use a win. Virginia limps in with just two wins in their first 10 tries, so they need something good heading into the offseason. Miami, who once appeared in the Top 10 of the BCS standings, has dropped three straight after being thrashed at Duke last weekend, 48-30. Miami is simply looking for a season-saving win, and they should get it against UVA. The Hurricanes are a 20-point favorite despite their three-game slide. The Cavaliers head in 5-16-2 ATS in their past 23 on grass, and 5-17-2 ATS in their past 24 games overall. They're also 0-3-1 ATS in their past four ACC contests, and 6-20-1 ATS in their past 27 against a team with a winning record. Miami is 0-5 ATS in their past five games, but 8-3 ATS in their past 11 home contests, 4-1 ATS in their past five against teams wth a losing record, and 4-1 ATS in their past five home games against a team with a losing road record. The way both teams have been playing, though, there isn't a lot of confidence on either side of the betting fence.

East Carolina at North Carolina State (12:30 p.m. ET)
The Pirates stroll into Carter-Finley Stadium looking to show the state of North Carolina that this is THEIR state. A couple of weeks ago, the Wolfpack created quite a stir in the Tar Heel state by feature an outline of North Carolina with the Wolfpack logo. The only problem, ECU has been using this logo for years, but with Pee Dee the Pirate inside the borders. There was plenty of derision from Wolfpack rivals, and Pirate Nation was up in arms about the copycat job. There is no word if the logo returns this weekend, but it will be an interesting side note. ECU enters this game as a six-point favorite, and frankly, it is surprising not to be more. ECU is 4-1 ATS in their past five against teams with a losing record. Perhaps the line is low because the Pirates are 4-9 ATS in the past 13 against ACC opponents, 2-5 ATS in their past seven out of conference, and 1-5 ATS in their past six road games. Of course, they did buck these trends as a 13-point dog earlier this season at North Carolina, winning outright by a 55-31 score. NC State is just 1-5 ATS in the past six overall, but 16-4-1 ATS in their past 21 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Pittsburgh at Syracuse (12:30 p.m. ET)
Call this one the 'Bowl Eligibility Bowl'. The two new kids on the ACC block are battling for their sixth win of the season, and a chance to go bowling. The Panthers come in 1-4 ATS in their past five road games, while the Orange are 7-1-1 ATS in their past nine games. Syracuse is also 10-4 ATS in the past 14 overall. However, in their pre-ACC days, Pittsburgh is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and the favorite (presumably Pitt) is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings overall. One historical trend going for 'Cuse is that the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings.

Boston College at Maryland (3:30 p.m. ET)
The Eagles have been one of the bigger surprises in ACC play, led by QB Chase Rettig, RB Andre Williams and WR Alex Amidon. This dynamic trio gives the Eagles a chance more often than not. Boston College is now 4-0 ATS in their past four against a team with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS in their past six conference tilts. The Eagles have covered just once in their past 10 road contests, so it will be interesting to see if they can turn that around. Maryland, on the other hand, is 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games, and 5-1 ATS in their past six against a team with a winning record. Both of these teams get up for clubs on the positive side of the ledger. In head-to-head battles, it is the home team covering five of the past seven meetings. This game is a pick 'em, and rightly so. Even the total trends are all over the board. The under is 36-15-1 in BC's past 52, while the over is 6-2 in Maryland's past eight conference games, and 5-2 in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record. In other words, this game screams, "Stay away!"

Other Games
Old Dominion at North Carolina (12:00pm ET)
The Citadel at Clemson (12:00pm ET)
Alabama A&M at Georgia Tech (1:30pm ET)
Idaho at Florida State (ESPN U, 3:30pm ET)

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