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Pac-12 Report - Week 13

Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 58% of his college football selections through 12 weeks. Don't miss out on Week 13 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12

These final two weekends in the Pac-12 should be very spirited. All but California has something to play for, as 11 of the league's 12 teams could still qualify for bowl eligibility, even Colorado.

Next week we'll get the USC-UCLA game, the Apple Cup between Washington-Washington State, the Civil War between Oregon-Oregon State and the battle of the Grand Canyon State between Arizona-Arizona State. But this weekend we get a rivalry game, too. While Cal-Stanford certainly loses a lot of fanfare because of Cal's atrocious record, and Stanford's loss to USC last weekend, not one person sees this game on the schedule and doesn't picture a trombone player getting knocked over in the end zone after the most amazing set of laterals ever filmed. If you think of anything else, then something is wrong.

Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Arizona 6-4 3-4 4-6 3-7
Arizona State 8-2 6-1 5-5 7-3
California 1-10 0-8 2-9 4-6-1
Colorado 4-6 1-6 5-5 7-3
Oregon 9-1 6-1 7-3 6-4
Oregon State 6-4 4-3 5-5 5-5
Southern California 8-3 5-2 6-5 3-8
Stanford 8-2 6-2 5-5 4-6
UCLA 8-2 5-2 7-3 4-6
Utah 4-6 1-6 5-5 3-7
Washington 6-4 3-4 5-5 5-5
Washington State 5-5 3-4 7-3 5-4-1

Oregon at Arizona (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Oregon was given a gift last weekend from their 'friends' in Southern California, knocking off Stanford and giving the Ducks new hope of an appearance in the Pac-12 Championship Game. The Ducks, 12-2 ATS in their past 14 road games, need to take care of business in Arizona first. The Ducks are 11-3 ATS in their past 14 against a team with a winning record, and 9-1 ATS in their past 10 road games against a team with a winning home record, so things are looking up for UO. The Wildcats, on the other hand, are still a team on the rise, but not quite there. They are just 2-6 ATS in their past eight home games, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven against winning teams. They need a signature win to prove they're back, but will it be this weekend? Stanford certainly hopes so.

California at Stanford (FOX Sports 1, 4:00 p.m. ET)
It's the 116th version of 'The Big Game', and with most rivalry games, you can throw trends, past results, etc. right out the window. The line for this game opened at 28, and has already shot up to 31 and 32 at most shops. It will be interesting to see how much pride the Bears, who have been a mess most of the season, can generate to try and stay in this game. The Cardinal will likely be an angry group after having a victory slip away at USC last weekend, and with it their chances at a BCS Bowl and chance at a national title fade in one fell swoop. The point spread is believed to be the largest in the history of this rivalry game, and Stanford very well might cover. Although, keep in mind, Cal is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings in Palo Alto, and the road team has covered four straight in this series. Of course, this is, by far, the worst Cal team during any of that stretch, and maybe ever. The under could be the play, as it has cashed in four straight road games for Cal, and is 6-1-1 in Cal's past eight. The under is 5-0 in Stanford's past five, and 21-6-1 in the past 28 against a team with a losing record. The total sits at 55 currently.

Arizona State at UCLA (FOX, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Sun Devils are looking to turn around some ugly trends against the Bruins lately. AZ State is 2-8 ATS in the past 10 meetings in this series, and 0-5 ATS in their past five trips to Pasadena. The Sun Devils are trying to turn around some ugly trends recently, too. They're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games, 2-8 ATS in their past 10 contests in the month of November, and 4-9 ATS when following up an ATS loss. The Bruins, on the other hand, have been dominant lately. UCLA has covered four of their past five home games, and seven of their past 10 overall. And they're 5-1 ATS in their past six following a cover in their previous game. UCLA is actually a 2.5-to3-point underdog at home.

Southern California at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 9:30 p.m. ET)
The USC Trojans went from a laughing stock under Lane Kiffin to one of the most feared teams in the nation under Ed Orgeron, leaving many Trojans fans wondering what could have been if Orgeron started the season as the head man. The Trojans have covered five in a row in the conference, four straight overall, and they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven road outings against a team with a losing home record. However, one thing they need to show they can do more consistently is cover on the road. USC is just 2-10 ATS in their past 12 road games. Colorado is 5-11 ATS in their past 16 at home, and 10-22 ATS in their past 32 games overall. The Buffs have covered just nine of their past 32 against a team with a winning record, and eight of their past 29 conference tilts, as well. That 23-point number doesn't look too terribly formidable the way USC has been playing.

Washington at Oregon State (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m. ET)
This contest features a couple of teams looking to save their seasons with a seventh win. While both are already bowl eligible, another loss might mean a lesser paying bowl game played in mid-December rather than a more favorable game later in the month with a bigger paycheck. The Huskies are just 4-11 ATS in their past 15 road games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five conference tilts. If they can get RB Bishop Sankey going, and keep him going, they should be tough. However, they lost QB Keith Price (shoulder) in the last game, and QB Cyler Miles might be forced into his first-ever start. The Beavers have dropped three in a row, and their offense has gone south in a hurry. They were a finely tuned machine until USC came to town and trounced them. Ever since, they Beavers have been in a tailspin. Playing a rival with a backup QB could be the thing to snap them out of their funk. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to Corvallis, and 1-8 ATS in the past nine meetings overall. Due to Price's uncertain status, this game is currently off the board.

Other Games
Utah at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 3:30pm ET)

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