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ACC Report - Week 14

Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 57% of his college football selections through 13 weeks. Don't miss out on Week 14 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
Hello everyone, and Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours. Hopefully you're thankful to be on a winning streak heading into the final weekend of Atlantic Coast Conference action.

The Duke Blue Devils are thankful to be sitting atop the Coastal Division standings, and they can punch their ticket to Charlotte with a victory in Chapel Hill this weekend against the North Carolina Tar Heels. If not, there is a scenario where we could have a five-way tie for first place in the Coastal. In other words, we won't know until about 7pm ET who will be playing the Florida State Seminoles next weekend.

We say good-bye to the Maryland Terrapins, who will be playing their final ACC game before heading off for the Big Ten. They meet NC State at Carter-Finley Stadium, and the home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in that series. Neither team has been great against the number lately, with the Terps going 2-5 ATS in their past seven, and NC State failing to cover in each of their past four.

In other action, Syracuse has its hands full if they are to become bowl eligible. They face a quality Boston College team, but at least it is in the Carrier Dome. The Orange can cap off its first ACC season in style with a win. The Eagles are 2-9 ATS in their past 11 road games, and 8-22 ATS in their past 30 against teams with a losing record, but 6-1 ATS in their past seven ACC games this season. The Orange is 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 home games, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record. Something has to give, and we'll find out what that is at 3:30pm ET.

Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 7-4 4-3 7-4 6-5
Clemson 10-1 7-1 6-5 7-4
Duke 9-2 5-2 9-2 5-6
Florida State 11-0 8-0 9-2 10-1
Georgia Tech 7-4 5-3 5-5-1 7-4
Maryland 6-5 2-5 6-5 7-4
Miami (Fla.) 8-3 4-3 4-7 6-5
North Carolina 6-5 4-3 7-4 4-7
North Carolina State 3-8 0-7 4-7 5-6
Pittsburgh 6-5 3-4 5-6 4-7
Syracuse 5-6 3-4 6-5 5-6
Virginia 2-9 0-7 4-6-1 9-2
Virginia Tech 7-4 4-3 4-6-1 4-6-1
Wake Forest 4-7 2-6 4-7 2-9

Miami, Fl. at Pittsburgh - FRIDAY - (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes hit the road for the Steel City in the only action on Friday from the ACC. Miami put the brakes on a three-game losing skid against Virginia last weekend, but yet again failed to cover. They are now 0-6 ATS in their past six ACC games, and they have failed to cover each of their past four against teams with winning records. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games in the month of November, and 16-7 ATS in their past 23 games against a team with a winning record. The Panthers are also 9-1 ATS in their past 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Pitt has covered each of its past three, and won two of their past three overall, including wins against Notre Dame at home, and on the road in Syracuse last weekend. The public is rolling with the 'Canes at nearly a two-to-one clip.

Duke at North Carolina (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
All eyes will be on Chapel Hill Saturday afternoon, as the Blue Devils look to punch their ticket to Charlotte for the ACC Championship Game. But a funny thing happened along the way to this game. Suddenly, UNC has become relevant again -- very relevant. Duke is 6-0 ATS in their past six ACC games, and 4-0 ATS in their past four road contests, including an impressive cover at Wake Forest last weekend. Overall, Duke has covered six straight. North Carolina started the season 1-5, but they have rattled off five consecutive victories. They have covered six straight games, and each of their past four home contests. UNC is 17-5 ATS in their past 22 home games against a team with a winning road record, and the home team has covered four straight meetings. The total will be the number to watch here, as the under has cashed in four of the past five meetings at Kenan Stadium. And the under is 4-1-1 in Duke's past six road games, and 5-2 in UNC's past seven conference tilts.

Florida State at Florida (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
This game used to be a marquee game, but has long since lost its luster with the Florida Gators already eliminated from bowl contention. In fact, Florida is coming off one of their most embarrassing losses ever, suffering a 26-20 setback against Georgia Southern, an FCS opponent. And video surfaced of two Gators actually blocking each other this past week, which has everyone outside of Gainesville chortling. In Tallahassee, the Jameis Winston sexual assault accusation has no one chuckling, but that situation does not appear to be wrapping up until at least after the ACC title game. How convenient? Anyway, it's good news for bettors, who have been riding the over wave with the Seminoles. The over has cashed in a Denver Broncos-like 10 out of 11 games for FSU this season. As far as the number is concerned, FSU is 4-0 ATS in their past four, and 5-1-1 ATS in their past seven road games against a team with a losing home record. Florida is 5-12 ATS in their past 17, 4-9 ATS in their past 13 against a team with a winning record, and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 home games. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference battles. In this series, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings. The Seminoles are installed as a nearly four-touchdown favorite in the Swamp.

Wake Forest at Vanderbilt (12:21 p.m. ET)
These are two programs headed in opposite directions. Wake rolls in already ineligible for a bowl, and they are 3-10 ATS in their past 13 games against a team with a winning record. They're also 3-14 ATS in their past 17 road games against a team with a winning home record, and just 4-10 ATS in their past 14 overall. Vanderbilt is coming off its seventh victory of the season, a win at in-state rival Tennessee last week. The 'Dores are 10-1 ATS in their past 11 games in the month of November, and 7-2 ATS in their past nine against sub-.500 teams. Vandy is also 15-6 ATS in their past 21 games in Nashville, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven non-conference gridiron battles.

Georgia at Georgia Tech (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Bulldogs head over to Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta looking for their eighth victory. I wish I were there, as I'd slip over to The Varsity for a few slaw dogs before the game. Speaking of fattening up, Georgia is 9-4-1 ATS in their past 14 games against ACC opponents, although they failed to cover in its only game vs. the ACC this season, a loss at Clemson in the opener. The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their past nine stepping out of conference, and they're 1-7-1 ATS in their past nine overall. UGA has also failed to cover in each of its past five road contests. Georgia Tech is 7-2 ATS in their past nine home games, but 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight overall, and 0-5 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs have dominated this series lately, going 8-3-1 ATS in their past 12 meetings, including 6-0 ATS in their past six trips to Georgia Tech. The road team is also 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10.

Virginia Tech at Virginia (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Hokies still have a chance at representing the Coastal Division in Charlotte, and they'll likely know where they stand right around kickoff. A Duke victory in Chapel Hill could take the wind out of their sails as they prepare for UVA at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville. It would be wise for head coach Frank Beamer and the Hokies coaching staff to ban Twitter, and all social media from the visitors locker room, and keep their focus on the Cavaliers. Va. Tech has dominated the day lately when it comes to this rivalry, going 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in Charlottesville, and 7-2 ATS in their past nine overall against the Wahoos. The road team is also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

Clemson at South Carolina (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Clemson wrapped up its ACC schedule two weeks ago at home, and they punished The Citadel last weekend in non-conference play. They'll play another in-state, out-of-conference opponent this week, but this one will certainly give them a stiffer challenge. This will be the 111th meeting in this series, and the Tigers are looking to snap a four-game losing streak against the 'Cocks. South Carolina has the nation's longest current home winning streak, successfully defending the turf at Williams-Brice Stadium in 18 straight games. South Carolina is installed as a five-point favorite. Clemson is 7-2 ATS in their past nine road games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning record. Carolina is 6-1 ATS in the past seven against ACC opponents, and 11-4 ATS in their past 15 against teams with a winning record. South Carolina is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings against Clemson, something Dabo Swinney and QB Tajh Boyd are dying to change. Will they? It remains to be seen.

Other Games
Maryland at North Carolina State (12:30pm ET)
Boston College at Syracuse (3:30pm ET)

Bookmaker: Bowl Notebook - Day 1
Williams: Saturday's Early Bowl Tips
Edwards: Saturday's Late Bowl Tips
Rogers: College Bowl Pick'em
Marshall: Bowl Tech Trends - Week 1
BetDSI: Saturday's Bowl Best Bets Saturday's Bowl Outlook
Bookmaker: CFP Betting Notes
Marshall: Bowl Tech Trends - Week 2
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