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Matchup: Florida State vs. Duke
Date: Saturday, Dec. 7
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET - ABC
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
Line, Total: Seminoles -29, 62

On Saturday night at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C., we get one of the most unlikely matchups in the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game. The Florida State Seminoles (12-0 straight up, 10-2 against the spread) look to keep their national championship aspirations on track against the Duke Blue Devils (10-2 straight up, 10-2 against the spread). The Seminoles, No. 1 in the BCS rankings, opened as a 29 1/2-point favorite.

Duke surprised everyone but themselves, claiming the Coastal Division title, thanks in large part to a 5-0 record on the road this season. The Blue Devils are bowl eligible in consecutive years for the first time in school history, and this is their first double-digit wins season, and obviously their first trip to the ACC title game.

Duke ranked 40th in the nation this season with 33.7 points per game, and they racked up 422.2 yards per game, which ranked 58th in the nation. That is the same ranking for their defense, allowing 395.2 yards per game, and the Blue Devils yielded 23.0 points per game which was good for 37th overall in the land. And if you take out a 58-55 loss against Pittsburgh back on Sept. 21, that average tumbles to just 19.8 points per game.

The Blue Devils use a two-pronged quarterback attack with Anthony Boone and Brandon Connette. Boone completed 66.2 percent of his pass attempts for 1,695 yards, 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions, while also running for four scores. Connette rolled up 13 passing touchdowns, and 13 rushing scores. When the Blue Devils are passing, they look for WR Jamison Crowder (88-1,131-7) and TE Braxton Deaver (36-467-4). In addition, WR Max McCaffrey (24-268-4), the son of former NFL star Ed McCaffrey, has emerged as a nice tertiary receiving target.

The two teams did not meet this season, but they did play in Tallahassee last year on Oct. 27, 2012. The Seminoles blasted the Blue Devils by a 48-7 score, and FSU leads the all-time series 18-0.

The Seminoles have a Heisman Trophy candidate in QB Jameis Winston, who threw for 3,490 yards with 35 touchdowns and eight interceptions. So far, an off-field sexual assault allegation and investigation by the Tallahassee Police Department involving Winston has not seemed to be much of a distraction. The Seminoles rank seventh in the nation in total yards (526.1 yards per game), 14th in the nation in passing yards (321.3 yards per game), and second in the nation in points scored (53.7 points per game).

The offense seems to get all of the credit and headlines, but it is the defense that has been perhaps most impressive. The Seminoles rank first in the nation, allowing just 153.0 passing yards per game, and they're also first in the country by allowing just 11.0 points per game. Lastly, the 'Noles rank fourth overall in total yards allowed (271.0 total yards per game). The Seminoles plan to key on Crowder, attempting to take Duke's big-play threat out of the game, forcing someone else to step up and beat them.

When the Seminoles have the ball, Winston will be look for WRs Rashad Greene (61-914-9) and Kelvin Benjamin (45-838-12). The Blue Devils would do well to keep tabs on TE Nick O'Leary (30-509-7), the grandson of golfing legend Jack Nicklaus. The Seminoles are also quite adept at running the football, too, as Devonta Freeman (144-852-12) and Karlos Williams (79-650-10) each totaled double-digit scoring totals. And James Wilder Jr. (73-517-8) also made plenty of waves, averaging 7.1 yards per carry.

Betting Trends to Watch

-- The Seminoles are 10-2 ATS this season, and 5-0 ATS in their past five games overall. They're also 11-2-1 ATS in their past 14 neutral-site games, failing to cover in this game against Georgia Tech last season. The Seminoles are also 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine games in the month of December, 4-0 ATS in their past four against a team with a winning record, 5-1 ATS in their past six ACC games, and 10-1 ATS in their past 11 games on a grass surface.

-- The Blue Devils are 10-2 ATS this season, and they have covered each of their past seven games. Duke has also covered each of their past six games on grass, and they're 4-0 ATS in their past four tilts against a team with a winning record.

-- In head-to-head matchups, the Seminoles have dominated this series. They are 18-0 straight up all-time against the Blue Devils, and they have covered in each of the past five meetings.

-- The total is set at 61 1/2, and the 'over' has been the trend lately for these two sides. However, it remains to be seen whether Duke can move the ball against FSU's vaunted defense. The over is 12-5-1 in Duke's past 18 conference games, and 15-7-1 in their past 23 games on a grass surface. The under is 4-1 in Duke's past five against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in FSU's past four neutral-site games, but 7-1 in their past eight ACC battles, and 5-1 in their past six against a team with a winning record. The over is also 8-2 in their past 10 on grass, and 10-2 in their 12 games overall this season.

ACC Championship History

ACC Championship History
Year Matchup Line Score ATS Result
2012 Florida State-Georgia Tech Florida State -14 (62) Florida State 21-15 Underdog-Under
2011 Virginia Tech-Clemson Virginia Tech -7 (54) Clemson 38-10 Underdog-Under
2010 Virginia Tech-Florida State Virginia Tech -4.5 (51) Virginia Tech 44-33 Favorite-Over
2009 Georgia Tech-Clemson Georgia Tech -1 (56.5) Georgia Tech 39-34 Favorite-Over
2008 Virginia Tech-Boston College Virginia Tech -1 (38.5) Virginia Tech 30-12 Favorite-Over
2007 Virginia Tech-Boston College Virginia Tech -5 (48.5) Virginia Tech 30-16 Favorite-Under
2006 Wake Forest-Georgia Tech Georgia Tech -3 (40.5) Wake Forest 9-6 Underdog-Under
2005 Virginia Tech-Florida State Virginia Tech -14 (44.5) Florida State 27-22 Underdog-Over

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