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Inside the Stats
Editor's Note: Don't miss out on Marc Lawrence's pro football and college football selections on VegasInisder.com this season!

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards. 
 
Here is this week’s report.  Enjoy the games.
 
High Expectations
 
When Alabama defeated Florida, 28-21, to win the first ever SEC championship game in 1992, it signaled the start of Division-1 college football conference title games.
 
This week finds a total of seven FBS conference championship games on tap, with no less than two undefeated teams – Northern Illinois and Ohio State, along with four other squads each owning one loss on the season, namely Auburn, Fresno State, Michigan State and Missouri, dotting this year’s itinerary.
 
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The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least.
 
Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games.
 
This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds.
 
Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles. 
 
The Huskies and the Buckeyes expectations may be as high as a Benjamin Franklin kite this week, but the likelihood of rewarding their backers is akin to catching lightning in a bottle.
 
Exxon Valdez
 
Football teams who have been out gained in each of their last three games are considered to be ‘leaking oil’ when installed as favorites.
 
These ‘leaking oil’ favorites now stand at 25-32 ATS overall this season, including 20-22 in CFB and 5-10 in the NFL.
 
This week’s plays would be against…
 
NCAAFB: Memphis and Rutgers
NFL: Kansas City, N.Y. Jets and Tampa Bay
 
Absolutely Overwhelming
 
A 2-0 sweep last week moves the record on these non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) to 41-13 OVER on season, including a mind-blowing 19-3 OVER the last seven weeks.
 
This week’s OVER achievers include:
 
Kansas City at Washington
Minnesota at Baltimore
Buffalo at Tampa Bay
N.Y. Giants at San Diego
 
Stat of The Week
 
Fresno State is 1-15-1 ATS in games after losing straight-up as a favorite.

  
HEADLINES
BetOnline.ag: Books adjust to Returnees
Marshall: 2017 College Hot Seat
BetOnline.ag: Tide made 2017 favorite
Jackson added to Purdue staff
Tebow's high school coach, dies at 64
Oregon assistant Reaves to be terminated
QB Barrett said changes were needed
Continuity follows EWU and its success
Former FCS players off to Super Bowl LI
MORE HEADLINES
 
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Scott Rickenbach + 2051
Joe Williams + 1909
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Micah Roberts + 1239
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