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Tech Trends - Week 7
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NFL Trends

Wednesday, Oct. 11
Matchup Skinny Edge
at
SOUTH ALABAMA at TROY...USA now 7-19 last 26 on board. Though Jags are 3-0-1 vs. line last four vs. Troy. Trojans only 4-8-1 last 12 on board since mid 2016.
Slight to Troy, based on USA negatives.
Thursday, Oct. 12
Matchup Skinny Edge
at
TEXAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...Cajuns have won and covered big last four meetings. TSU 4-8 last 12 vs. line since mid 2016. Though ULL 1-5 vs. line last six since late LY.
ULL, based on series trends.
Friday, Oct. 13
Matchup Skinny Edge
at
CLEMSON at SYRACUSE (Friday, October 13)...Dabo 7-2 vs. line last nine away from Death Valley. Tigers also on 7-2 spread uptick since late 2016. Babers 2-7 vs. spread last 9 at Carrier Dome.
Clemson, based on team trends.
at
WASHINGTON STATE at CALIFORNIA (Friday, October 14)...Leach covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 vs. Sonny Dykes' Cal. Cougs 16-7 vs. spread as visitor since 2013.
Washington State, based on team and series trends.
Saturday, Oct. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge
at
GEORGIA TECH at MIAMI-FLA...Bad matchup lately for GT, which has lost and failed to cover 7 of last 8 vs. Canes. Jackets 8-2 last 10 as dog away but Miami 8-3-1 last 12 vs. spread as host.
Miami, based on series trends.
at
PURDUE at WISCONSIN...Brohm 2-1 as dog with Purdue, his teams at WKU & Purdue are 24-12-1 last 37 on board since late 2014. Badgers have covered 7 of last 8 in series, however Chryst only 2-4-1 vs. line last 7 at Camp Randall.
Slight to Purdue, based on Brohm trends.
at
NORTHWESTERN at MARYLAND...Durkin 3-5 as dog since LY. Pat Fitz 11-4 vs. spread last 15 away from Evanston.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
at
MIAMI-OHIO at KENT STATE...Miami has covered four straight on MAC road, while Kent State on 2-6 spread skid since late LY.
Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.
at
OHIO at BOWLING GREEN...Jinks 1-5 vs. line TY, 5-12 since taking over Falcs LY. Though BGSU does have string of six straight covers in series. Solich 4-2 vs. line TY, 7-2 last nine vs. points as visitor.
Ohio, based on team trends.
at
AKRON at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Zips just 4-10 last 14 as DD dog. WMU 28-18 vs. line since 2014 though 2-4 TY for Lester.
Western Michigan, based on team trends.
at
TOLEDO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Toledo has covered six of last seven in series. CMU just 4-12 last 16 vs. line since early 2016. Though Rockets only 3-10-1 their last 14 on board.
Toledo, based on series trends.
at
EASTERN MICHIGAN at ARMY... EMU on 13-3 spread uptick since early LY, covered nine in a row away from Ypsilanti! West Point just 2-4 vs. line last six at Michie.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.
at
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at BUFFALO... NIU won and covered meetings past two years and Huskies on 10-2-1 spread uptick. Bulls, however, have covered six of last seven since late 2016.
Northern Illinois, based on team trends.
at
UCONN at TEMPLE...Edsall 0-5 vs. line TY and Huskies now no covers last ten since mid 2016! Rhule destroyed UConn the past three seasons, but Temple just 2-5 vs. spread post-Rhule.
Slight to Temple, based on UConn negatives.
at
VIRGINIA at NORTH CAROLINA...NC has owned this series for a while, covering six of last seven with no SU losses since 2009 (Butch Davis vs. Groh). But Heels tanking, just 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 vs. line last eight since late LY, while Mendenhall’s Cavs have won and covered three in a row.
Virginia, based on recent trends.
at
RUTGERS at ILLINOIS...Ash was only 1-4 as away dog LY but did cover at Nebraska on Sept. 23. Lovie pounded Ash 24-7 LY but Illini on 1-7 spread skid since late LY.
Slight to Rutgers, based on Illini negatives.
at
TEXAS TECH at WEST VIRGINIA...Holgorsen covered LY but had dropped previous four vs. line against Tech. Kingsbury 4-0-1 vs. line TY, 11-3-1 last 15 on board, 7-2 as visiting dog since 2015.
Texas Tech, based on team and series trends.
at
NC STATE at PITTSBURGH...Pack 4-1 vs. line as visitor since LY. Pitt 4-12 vs. spread at Heinz Field since Narduzzi arrived in 2015.
NC State, based on team trends.
at
MICHIGAN at INDIANA...Harbaugh just 15-16 vs. spread since taking over the M in 2015. Just 4-4 vs. spread last eight as visitor. Indiana has covered last two years vs. Harbaugh.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.
at
EAST CAROLINA at UCF..ECU on 2-13-1 spread skid, 0-6-1 vs. spread since LY as visitor. Scott Frost 11-5 vs. spread with UCF.
UCF, based on team trends.
at
TULANE at FIU...Wave 5-1 vs. line since late LY. Fritz teams (GSU & Tulane) 9-4 vs. points last 13 as visitor. Fritz teams 11-4 last 15 as chalk. FIU 3-6-1 last ten vs. line at home (0-1 TY for Butch).
Tulane, based on team trends.
at
BOSTON COLLEGE at LOUISVILLE...Road team has covered last three years in series. Addazio 8-2-1 vs. spread last 11 as road dog. After loss to NCS, ‘Ville 1-9 last ten vs. line.
BC, based on team and series road trends.
at
KANSAS at IOWA STATE... Beaty 4-8 as road dog with KU. Matt Campbell 6-3-1 vs. line at Ames with Cyclones, 3-2 as chalk.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
at
TCU at KANSAS STATE...Bill Snyder has covered last two in series, if home dog note 8-2 mark in role since 2011. Snyder 33-17 as dog since return in 2009. Patterson just 6-13 as visiting chalk since 2011.
Kansas State, based on team and Snyder dog trends.
at
ODU at MARSHALL...Herd off quick 4-1 vs. line TY, though just 2-3 as Huntington chalk since LY. ODU entered this season 11-5-1 last 17 vs. line but Monarchs just 1-7 as road dog since 2015.
Marshall, based on recent trends.
at
FLORIDA STATE at DUKE...Cutcliffe 5-2 last 7 as home dog , 37-19-1 vs. line same span. Noles 3-5 vs. line last 8 on ACC road.
Duke, based on team trends.
at
HOUSTON at TULSA...UH on 4-9-1 spread slump, also just 2-5 last seven vs. line against Tulsa. Hurricane 8-6 last 14 vs. line.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.
at
MTSU at UAB...MTSU 10-6 as road chalk since 2011. UAB, however, 5-1 last six vs. line at Legion Field.
Slight to UAB, based on team trends.
at
GEORGIA STATE at ULM...GSU 20-6 vs. spread last 26 as visitor (1-1 TY), also 6-1 last seven vs. line on Belt road. ULM just 6-11 last 17 as home chalk (2-2 for Viator), but is 7-2 last 9 on board since late 2016.
Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.
at
CHARLOTTE at WESTERN KENTUCKY...WKU 0-4-1 vs. line post-Brohm, and Charlotte has covered last 2 after 0-7 spread skid.
Slight to Charlotte, based on Charlotte negatives.
at
WYOMING at UTAH STATE...Wyo only 2-7 vs. spread last nine as visitor. Utags have covered 3 of 5 after 4-14 spread skid previous 18 vs. line.
Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.
at
UNLV at AIR FORCE...Sanchez 2-5 vs. spread last seven on MW road. Though Rebs are 8-3 as road dog overall since 2015. Force 13-6-1 last 20 vs. line as host.
Slight to Air Force, based on team trends.
at
NEVADA at COLORADO STATE...Pack had covered 5 of previous 7 on MW road before Fresno loss. Bobo on 11-3 spread run since early 2016, and Rams 16-7 as home chalk since 2012.
Colorado State, based on team trends.
at
APP STATE at IDAHO...App 9-3 last 12 vs. points on Belt road. Road team has covered last three years in series. Vandals just 5-9 vs. line at Kibbie Dome since 2015.
App State, based on team and series road trends.
at
UTAH at SOUTHERN CAL...Home team has covered all six in series since Utes entered Pac-12 in 2012. Though Utes on 9-2 spread uptick since mid 2016 and 8-2 as visiting dog since 2014. SC just 1-6 vs. spread last seven since late 2016.
Slight to Utah, based on recent trends.
at
COLORADO at OREGON STATE...Beavs 1-5 vs. line TY, no covers last three vs. Buffs. CU has covered seven straight as a visitor.
Colorado, based on team and series trends.
at
UCLA at ARIZONA...Mora has owned Rich-Rod, wins and covers for UCLA in all five meetings since 2012. Cats just 4-9 vs. spread last 13 at Tucson, though Mora just 2-7-1 vs. spread last 10 away from Rose Bowl.
UCLA, based on series trends.
at
VANDERBILT at OLE MISS...Rebs 1-4 vs. line TY for Matt Luke, 2-10 last 12 vs. line since mid 2016. Dores have covered last 2, 5 of 7, and 7 of last 10 meetings.
Vanderbilt, based on team and series trends.
at
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Horns have covered four straight in series, and Tom Herman 3-1 vs. line TY. Herman teams at UH and Horns 6-0 as dog since 2015.
Texas, based on series and Herman dog trends.
at
OHIO STATE at NEBRASKA...Mike Riley 5-5-1 as dog with Huskers, destroyed 62-3 at OSU LY. Urban Meyer 6-3 vs. line last nine on Big Ten road.
Ohio State, based on team trends.
at
BYU at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Sitake no covers last seven since late 2016. Dan Mullen 7-4 vs. line last 11 at Starkville, covered first two as DD chalk TY after 0-4 mark in role LY.
Miss State, based on BYU negatives.
at
ARKANSAS at ALABAMA...Hogs haven’t won SU vs. Tide since 2006, Mike Shula’s last year in charge at Bama. Bielema 6-2 as visiting dog since 2015. Saban 5-1 vs. spread last six as SEC host.
Alabama, based on team and series trends.
at
BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA STATE...Rhule still winless SU with Bears but has covered two in a row, note his teams are 12-2 as dog since 2015. Gundy just 2-5 vs. spread last seven as Big 12 host.
Baylor, based on team trends.
at
MISSOURI at GEORGIA...Tigers on 3-10 spread skid since early 2016. Though Mizzou has covered last two years vs. Dawgs. Kirby Smart 6-1 vs. line last seven since late LY, though just 2-5 as Athens chalk.
Georgia, based on recent trends.
at
NAVY at MEMPHIS... Navy has bludgeoned Memphis the past two years, Mids 8-4 vs. spread last 12 as visitor. Tigers just 2-5 vs. points last 7 at Liberty Bowl.
Navy, based on team and recent series trends.
at
NEW MEXICO STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...NMSU 4-1-1 vs. line TY, 8-3-1 last 12 on board since mid 2016. Ags have covered last three years vs. GSU. Eagles 4-12 vs. spread since Summers took over LY.
New Mexico State, based on team trends.
at
UTEP at SOUTHERN MISS...Miners 5-9-2 last 16 as road dog. USM 6-1 vs. line last 7, though only 1-6 last 7 as home chalk.
Slight to Southern Miss, based on team trends.
at
COASTAL CAROLINA at ARKANSAS STATE...Red Wolves 13-6 vs. line at Jonesboro since 2014. No covers last four TY for CC.
Arkansas State, based on team trends.
at
UTSA at NORTH TEXAS... Home team has covered last three in series, but UTSA 7-1 alst eight vs. line. UNT 8-5 last 13 as dog.
UTSA, based on team trends.
at
TEXAS A&M at FLORIDA...Sumlin 6-22 vs. spread after facing Bama since 2013. Ags 3-11 vs. points last 14 as SEC visitor.
Florida, based on A&M negatives.
at
SOUTH CAROLINA at TENNESSEE...Five straight covers for series dog. Muschamp has now covered four straight away from home (3-0 TY). Butch Jones 0-4-1 vs. line TY, 3-9-2 last 14 on board since early LY.
Muschamp and South Carolina, based on team trends.
at
AUBURN at LSU...Auburn 2-1 vs. line last three after dropping previous eight vs. spread. Tigers had covered five in a row prior to that, and has had two other double-digit spread streaks (13 win, 10 loss) earlier in Malzahn era. Orgeron no cover last five at Baton Rouge.
Auburn, based on team trends.
at
MICHIGAN STATE at MINNESOTA...MSU no letdowns lately after Michigan, 6-2 vs. spread last 8 in games following Wolverines since 2009. Though Spartans only 3-7 vs. spread as visitor past since 2015. Gophers only 6-11 vs. spread at TCF Bank Stadium since 2015.
Slight to Michigan State, based on team trends.
at
OREGON at STANFORD... Dog team has covered 4 of last 5 in series. Tree only 2-6 as Farm chalk since LY. Ducks 2-5-1 vs. line last 8 as visitor.
Slight to Oregon, based on series dog trends.
at
WASHINGTON at ARIZONA STATE...ASU has covered 3 of last 4 in series, though Huskies now 5-1 vs. spread last six on Pac-12 road. Petersen 6-3 last nine as visiting chalk. Graham 4-3 last seven as Tempe dog.
Washington, based on team trends.
at
NEW MEXICO at FRESNO STATE...Tedford 4-0-1 vs. line TY, Fresno 9-2-1 vs. points last 12 since mid 2016. Davie, however, on 8-3 spread uptick since mid 2016, and 14-7 as road dog since 2013.
Slight to New Mexico, based on team trends.
at
BOISE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Boise 13-6 vs. spread as visitor since 2014. SDSU 4-7 last 11 as home chalk.
Boise State, based on team trends.
at
SAN JOSE STATE at HAWAII...SJSU no covers last five TY, now 3-15 as road dog since 2014. Road team has covered last four in series, however, and UH no covers last 9 as Aloha Stadium chalk.
Slight to Leahey and Hawaii, based on SJSU negatives.
at
CINCINNATI at SOUTH FLORIDA...USF 20-10-1 vs. line since 2015, and has won and covered big last two vs. Cincy. Bearcats 2-2-1 vs. line for Fickell but just 5-12-1 last 18 on board since late 2015.
USF, based on team and recent series trends.

  
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