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Tech Trends - Week 11
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NFL Trends

Tuesday, November 7
Matchup Skinny Edge
AKRON at MIAMI-OHIO...Four straight wins and two straight covers for Bowden vs. Miami-O. Zips 6-2 vs. line last eight TY, RedHawks only 1-3 at Yager Stadium TY.
Akron, based on team and series trends.
BOWLING GREEN at BUFFALO... Rare win and cover last week for BG, now just 2-7 vs. line TY, Jinks 6-15 vs. line since LY. Buff has covered last three in series.
Buffalo, based on team and series trends.
Wednesday, November 8
Matchup Skinny Edge
KENT STATE at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Painful Kent State on 3-8 spread skid since late LY. WMU, however, only 1-4 vs. line at Waldo TY and 3-6 vs. spread post-Fleck.
Slight to WMU, based on recent Kent woes.
TOLEDO at OHIO...Solich on 7-2 spread surge TY, also 8-3 last 11 vs. line in MAC. Solich 9-3 as dog since 2015 (1-1 TY). Rockets now four straight covers after 3-10-1 spread slump previous 14.
Ohio, based on team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN... EMU still rock ‘n roll vs. spread, 7-2 TY, now 16-4 last 20 since early LY, now 11 straight covers away from Ypsilanti! Covered last two vs. CMU. Chips recovering a bit but still just 6-13 vs. spread last 19 on board.
EMU, based on team trends.
Thursday, November 9
Matchup Skinny Edge
BALL STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS....Ball really falling, no covers last five TY, now 0-6-1 last seven on board. Though NIU on 1-4 spread skid itself, has covered last 5 and won last 8 SU vs. Cards. Huskies 9-3 last 12 laying DDs.
NIU, based on team and series trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at APP STATE...GSU 2-501 vs. line TY, 5-14-1 vs. spread since 2016. Overrated App, however, just 2-7 vs. spread in 2017, 4-12 last 16 as Boone chalk.
Slight to App State, based on GaSo woes.
NORTH CAROLINA at PITTSBURGH... Fedora 1-8 SU, 2-7 vs. line TY, on 2-8-1 spread skid since late LY. Narduzzi only 5-13 vs. spread at Heinz Field since 2015, however.
Slight to Pittsburgh, based on UNC woes.
Friday, November 10
Matchup Skinny Edge
TEMPLE at CINCINNATI...Owls have won and covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 in series. Temple has recovered from slow start with covers in 4 of last 5. Bearcats just 2-10 vs. line last 12 at Nippert.
Temple, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON at STANFORD...Petersen 8-4 last 12 on board. Tree only 7-11-1 last 19 on board and was drilled in Seattle LY, though hadn’t lost to Huskies previously since 2012.
Slight to Washington, based on recent trends.
BYU at UNLV...Cougs were on 9-game spread skid before San Jose win. UNLV 3-7 last ten as chalk.
Slight to UNLV, based on team trends.
Saturday, November 11
Matchup Skinny Edge
MICHIGAN at MARYLAND...Harbaugh 5-10-1 last 16 on board. Durkin 2-5 as visiting dog since LY.
Slight to Maryland, based on team trends.
FLORIDA at SOUTH CAROLINA...Gators 2-7-2 last 11 vs. spread since late LY, Muschamp on 7-2-1 spread uptick.
South Carolina, based on recent trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA TECH... Road team has covered seven straight in series. VPI 5-2 vs. points last 6 away from Blacksburg, Paul Johnson, however, on 10-1-1 spread run, and is 12-6-1 as dog since 2014.
Slight to Georgia Tech, based on team trends.
TULANE at EAST CAROLINA...ECU on 3-15-1 spread skid for Montgomery since early 2016.
Tulane, based on ECU woes.
NC STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE...Surging BC on 6-game spread win streak, five of those as an underdog. Road team has covered last three meetings, NCS 5-2 vs. line last seven as visitor.
Slight to Boston College, based on recent trends.
UCONN at UCF...Frost 14-7 vs. spread at UCF (if counting Cincy as a W earlier TY), and 6-3 as DD chalk (if counting Cincy). Edsall as covered 3 of last 4 TY but Huskies still on 3-11 spread skid since mid 2016.
UCF, based on team trends.
WAKE FOREST at SYRACUSE...Wake on 13-4 spread run since mid 2016, 5-2 last seven away from Winston-Salem. Cuse had won and covered three straight in series into last year. Babers has covered 6 of last 7 TY but only 3-7 vs. spread last 10 at Carrier Dome (2-3 TY).
Slight to Wake Forest, based on team trends.
RUTGERS at PENN STATE...‘Gers actually 6-2 vs. line TY, 3-0 vs. line away. But James Franklin on 16-3 spread uptick since early 2016 and has covered 9 of last 10 at Happy Valley.
Penn State, based on team trends.
DUKE at ARMY... Cutcliffe has won and covered last two years in series. Blue Devils, however, on 1-4 spread skid after preceding 13-5 spread uptick. Army 1-4 vs. spread at Michie this season.
Slight to Duke, based on team and series trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at OHIO STATE...Dantonio 206 in role since 2011. Spartans have also covered 3 of last four vs. Urban Meyer. Urban 1-4 vs. line at home TY, now 6-15 vs. spread last 21 at Big Horseshoe.
Michigan State, based on team and series trends.
INDIANA at ILLINOIS...Lovie just 3-9 last 12 on board since late LY, and 3-8 vs. line last 11 at Champaign-Urbana. Hoosiers just 1-5 last six vs. number on Big Ten road, and 5-10-1 vs. points last 16 since mid 2016.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.
TROY at COASTAL CAROLINA...Troy 3-1-1 vs. spread last five away from home though just 2-6-1 vs. line overall in 2017.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE at CHARLOTTE...Charlotte 4-1 vs. line last four TY, but did same LY before late fade.. MTSU has won and covered last two meetings.
Slight to MTSU, based on recent series trends.
WYOMING at AIR FORCE...Bohl on 6-game cover streak TY and now 11-3 last 14 as dog. Wyo has also covered 8 straight vs. Force. Calhoun 2-10 vs. points last 12 as chalk.
Wyoming, based on team and series trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at NEVADA... Pack 6-1 last seven vs. spread at Reno vs. Spartans. SJSU 2-9 vs. line last 11 as visitor.
Nevada, based on team and series trends.
TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (at Jerry Jones Stadium, Arlington)...Tech on 0-4 skid after 5-0-1 mark previous six, but 6-3 last 9 vs. line away from Lubbock. Bears only 6-10 vs. spread last 16 on board.
Slight to Texas Tech, based on team trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS STATE...Bill Snyder 5-0 vs. line against Holgorsen since Mounties entered Big 12 in 2012.
Kansas State, based on Snyder vs. WVU trends.
TCU at OKLAHOMA... Patterson 10-4 as dog since 2013. Sooners just 2-4 vs. line last five TY.
TCU, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at IOWA STATE...ISU has covered last two in series and now 6-2-1 vs. line TY. Matt Campbell 20-11-1 as dog with Toledo and Cyclones. OSU 3-5-1 vs. line last nine on Big 12 road.
Iowa State, based on recent and Campbell as dog trends.
VIRGINIA at LOUSIVILLE...Cavs have covered all three vs. Cards since 2014. ‘Ville 2-7 vs. line TY, Petrino now on 2-11 and 4-14 spread skids dating to mid 2016.
Virginia, based on series trends and recent Petrino woes.
NOTRE DAME at MIAMI-FLA...Richt teams at Georgia and Miami just 1-3 as dog since 2013. Richt, however, on 14-0 SU run since mid 2016. Irish 7-2 vs. line TY.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on recent trends.
SMU at NAVY...Mids have abused SMU, blowouts past two years by 130-45 total score! Though Navy only 3-4-1 vs. line TY and 0-3-1 vs. spread at Annapolis after 9-3 spread mark previous 12 at home.
Slight to Navy, based on recent series trends.
WASHINGTON STATE at UTAH...Leach only 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from Pullman, though is 15-6 as visiting chalk since 2013. Utah 11-3 last 14 as dog.
Slight to Utah, if dog, based on team trends.
PURDUE at NORTHWESTERN...Boilermakers 2-0 as road dog TY and 14-3 in role since late 2013. Road team has also covered last three years in series. Pat Fitz 6-1 vs. line last seven TY, but 9-13 as Evanston chalk since 2013 (2-1 in role TY).
Slight to Purdue, based on team trends.
ULL at OLE MISS... Ole Miss 4-12 last 16 vs. spread since mid 2016. Also 1-6 last seven vs. spread non-SEC and 1-8 last nine as chalk. ULL just 2-6 vs. spread TY and 1-3 as road dog after 3-0 mark in role LY.
Slight to ULL, based on Ole Miss negatives.
NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA...Note that road team has covered all nine Huskers games in 2017 (Riley 3-0 vs. spread away!). Riley now 7-2 vs. points last 9 as visitor and has won and covered last two years vs. Gophers. Fleck only 3-5-1 vs. points in Gopher debut and 2-3 vs. spread as host.
Nebraska, based on team and recent series trends.
ALABAMA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Dan Mullen 3-5 vs. spread against Saban, with Ls the past two years. Though MSU is 4-1 vs. line at home in 2017. Bama is 9-2 vs. number last 11 as SEC visitor.
Alabama, based on team trends.
FAU at LA TECH...FAU had covered 4 in a row and 6 of 7 before gifting a cover to Marshall. Kiffin 3-1 vs. line away TY. Skip just 1-3 vs. line at home TY and 4-5 vs. line at Ruston since LY.
FAU, based on recent trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at RICE...Owls just 2-7 vs. line TY. Road team has covered last three years in series. Golden Eagles have covered last four away from home and 8-2 vs. points last ten on board.
USM, based on team and series road trends.
USC at COLORADO...Trojans 4-11 vs. points last 11 away from Coliseum. CU has covered three of last four in series.
Colorado, based on team and series trends.
IOWA at WISCONSIN... Hawks only 4-6 vs. spread last ten away from Iowa City (1-2 TY). Iowa 8-4-1 vs. points last 13 Big Ten games, however. Chryst just 3-4-1 vs. spread last 8 as Big Ten host, though 17-7-1 last 25 overall vs. spread.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on team trends.
GEORGIA at AUBURN...Dawgs have won and covered last three meetings after Auburn miracle win in Malzahn Tiger debut year of 2013. Kirby Smart has covered last six away from Athens. Malzahn on 3-1001 spread skid since late 2016, and just 6-13 vs. line last 19 at Jordan-Hare.
Georgia, based on team and series trends.
TENNESSEE at MISSOURI...Butch has won and covered last two vs. Mizzou after Tigers had won three previous in series. But Voles 5-11-2 last 18 on board. Tigers on 5-game cover streak TY.
Mizzou, based on recent trends.
NEW MEXICO at TEXAS A&M... Sumlin on 5-19-1 spread skid at Kyle Field and 7-23-1 vs. points since 2013 after facing Bama. Bob Davie 13-7 vs. spread last 20 as dog for Lobos.
New Mexico, based on team trends.
ARIZONA STATE at UCLA...Mora on 6-16-1 spread skid, 4-8 last 12 at Rose Bowl. Also 1-3 vs. line last four vs. ASU. Sun Devils 5-1-1 vs. spread last seven TY, Graham 2-0-1 vs. spread away in 2017.
ASU, based on team trends.
KENTUCKY at VANDERBILT...Dores have won and covered last three at home in series and have covered 5 of last 6 vs. Cats.
Vandy, based on series trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Ark State rolling with wins and covers four in a row TY. Red Wolves on 12-4 spread uptick since mid 2016. Also covered last four and won last 5 SU vs. USA. Jags 7-16-1 vs. points as host since 2014.
Arkansas State, based on team and series trends.
GEORGIA STATE at TEXAS STATE...GSU 4-1-1 vs. line last 5 TY, and 12-3-1 vs. spread last 15 on Belt road. Panthers also won and covered big vs. Bobcats last 2 years. Withers just 2-7 vs. spread last 8 at Bobcat Stadium.
Georgia State, based on team trends.
UTEP at NORTH TEXAS...UTEP has won and covered last three meetings, though Miners just 6-13-1 last 20 on board and 1-4-1 last six away from Sun Bowl vs. points.
North Texas, based on recent UTEP woes.
KANSAS at TEXAS...KU beat Charlie Strong LY. But Jayhawks just 1-7-1 vs. line TY and Tom Herman 6-1-1 last seven on board.
Texas, based on recent trends.
WKU at MARSHALL...Tops just 1-7-1 vs. line TY for Sanford, Jr. Brohm won and covered his last three vs. Herd as WKU scored over 55 ppg in process. Herd, however, has recovered to 7-2 spread mark TY after FAU miracle.
Marshall, based on recent trends.
ODU at FIU...Butch Davis won and covered last 3 TY, and Monarchs just 1-5 as visiting dog since LY.
FIU, based on recent trends.
UAB at UTSA...UAB has covered 6 of last 7 TY and last four as dog, and 8-3 as dog since 2014. UTSA only 1-4 last four vs. spread TY, no covers in three tries at Alamodome.
UAB, based on team trends.
FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON...Jimbo 0-8 vs. line TY. Dog has covered last three in this series and Dabo just 0-4-1 last five as ACC host at Death Valley.
Slight to Clemson, based on recent FSU negatives.
ARKANSAS at LSU...Arkansas had won 2 in a row and covered 4 straight vs. LSU prior to LY’s 38-10 loss. Bielema on 5-13-1 spread skid since early LY and only 6-8 last 14 in once-profitable dog role. Orgeron just 1-4 last five vs. line at Baton Rouge but overall 10-6-1 vs. spread since taking over midway LY.
LSU, based on recent trends.
OREGON STATE at ARIZONA...Beavs have covered 3 of last 4 TY, note OSU also began to cover numbers midway and late in 2016. They’re now 10-7 last 16 on board. Zona has won 4-1 SU last five TY but Cats were just 4-14 vs. line in 18 previous games. Rich-Rod is 11-6 last 17 laying DD, however.
Slight to Arizona, based on team trends.
BOISE STATE at COLORADO STATE...Boise 4-0 vs. line away TY. Broncos now 13-4 vs. spread last 17 as visitor. CSU no covers last four TY and just 1-3 vs. line in new stadium. Broncos 6-0 SU in series since 2011.
Boise State, based on team trends.
FRESNO STATE at HAWAII...FSU 6-2-1 vs. line TY, and 11-4-1 last 16 vs. line. UH no covers last 7, 1-13 vs. line last 14 as MW host.
Fresno State, based on team trends.

· Nelson: Baylor at West Virginia
· Marshall: Tech Trends - Week 9
· Games to Watch - Week 9
· Bookmaker: Power 5 Top Wagers - Week 9
· Bookmaker: Texas A&M at Miss State
· BetDSI: Early Line Moves - Week 9
· BetDSI: Notre Dame vs. Navy
· Nelson: 4th Quarter Covers - Week 8
· Williams: Betting Recap - Week 8
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