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Handicapping Mich. State (8.5)
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The Michigan State Spartans are coming off an impressive 10-win season that included wins over Michigan and Penn State. The Spartans return a lot of talent from last year’s squad, so head coach Mark Dantonio should have a team capable of challenging for the Big Ten East title this season.

Michigan State’s season will once again come down to games against Michigan and Penn State in addition to a huge home game against Ohio State.

Let’s look at the schedule for the Spartans for 2018 to see if they will go over or under their win total of 8.5.

Michigan State 2018 Regular Season Win Total - per
Over 8.5 (-115)
Under 8.5 (-115)

2018 Michigan State Schedule Analysis

Aug. 31 vs. Utah State

The opener for the Spartans takes place on a Friday night and it should be an easy win, as the Aggies are no threat to win on the road against a quality team.

Sept. 8 at Arizona State

This will be the first meeting between the teams since 1986. It will likely be a rude awakening for new ASU head coach Herm Edwards, as the Spartans have far more talent on both sides of the ball than the Sun Devils.

Sept. 22 at Indiana

The Spartans are coming off an early bye week. They should have no trouble on the road against an Indiana team that they have dominated through the years.

Sept. 29 vs. Central Michigan

The Spartans get another easy game, as they host Central Michigan. This series has been controlled by Michigan State since 2009 when they were shocked by the Chippewas. Michigan State has won the last three meetings by a combined 116-24.

Oct. 6 vs. Northwestern

The Wildcats have given Michigan State trouble, winning three of the last four meetings. That success should end here, as Michigan State is playing at home and has more talent than the Wildcats.

Oct. 13 at Penn State

The first of the three key games this season for Michigan State is on the road at Penn State. The Nittany Lions will be looking for revenge, as they lost at Michigan State on a last second field goal a year ago. Michigan State has won two of the last three games at Penn State.

Oct. 20 vs. Michigan

The Spartans get another huge test in East Lansing, as they host the Wolverines. This two week stretch will determine whether or not Michigan State is going to contend for a division title.

Oct. 27 vs. Purdue

This is a letdown spot for the Spartans, but the game is at home and Michigan State has won the last seven meetings in this series.

Nov. 3 at Maryland

The Terrapins beat Michigan State two years ago, but this year’s Spartan team is much better than the one two years ago. The Spartans have been held to 17 points in each of the last two games against Maryland but that shouldn’t be the case this time around.

Nov. 10 vs. Ohio State

This game might decide the Big Ten East title if the Spartans can take care of business earlier in the season. Ohio State had no trouble winning at home last season against the Spartans, but this game is at East Lansing.

Nov. 17 at Nebraska

This is a dangerous game for Michigan State, as it comes after a huge game against Ohio State and it comes against a Nebraska team that should have new head coach Scott Frost’s system fully in place. Nebraska won the last meeting by a score of 39-38 in 2015.

Nov. 24 vs. Rutgers

The regular season finale should not be any problem, as Michigan State is 4-0 against Rutgers since they joined the Big Ten. Michigan State has won the last two games by a combined margin of 89-7.

2018 Michigan State Spartans Regular Season Win Total Prediction

When you look at the schedule for the Spartans there are eight games that they should win and then four toss-up games. If the Spartans win the games they are expected to win, and win just one of those other four they will go over their win total of 8.5. That seems very likely, so over the total is the way to go with the Michigan State Spartans for 2018.

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