Tech Trends – Week 4

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NFL Trends - Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 20
Matchup Skinny Edge
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TULSA at TEMPLE...Tulsa 10-3 as visiting dog since 2015. Collins 0-5 as home chalk for Owls.
Tulsa, based on team trends.
Friday, Sept. 21
Matchup Skinny Edge
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FAU at UCF...Kiffin just 1-3-1 vs. line in reg season vs. FBS-lvel non-CUS A foes. UCF has won more than it has covered, just 8-8-1 last 17 on board since late 2016, and 4-5 laying DD since LY.
Slight to UCF, based on team trends.
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PENN STATE at ILLINOIS...Franklin on 6-2 run as visiting chalk. Lovie only 3-7 as home dog since 2016, and 5-12 vs. spread last 17 against FBS foes.
Penn State, based on team trends.
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WASHINGTON STATE at USC...Helton on 4-14 spread skid since late 2016. Only 2-6 last 8 as home chalk. Leach 14-5 as visiting dog since 2013.
Washington State, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 22
Matchup Skinny Edge
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AKRON at IOWA STATE...Bowden 2-8 last 10 as DD dog vs. vs. spread against non-MAC. ISU 9-3-1 vs. spread at Ames since 2016.
Iowa State, based on team trends.
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NC STATE at MARSHALL...Herd spread marks better lately on road than at home, where Doc is just 5-8 vs. line since 2016. Herd 6-0 as dog LY but only one of those at home. Pack 1-5 as home chalk since LY but NCS 6-2 as road chalk since 2015.
Slight to NC State, based on team trends.
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CHARLOTTE at UMASS...Charlotte 2-6 vs. line last 8 away since late 2016. Mass 1-4 as chalk LY but did cover vs. Duquesne in opener. Minutemen 3-6 as single-digit chalk back to 2015.
Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.
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MICHIGAN STATE at INDIANA...Dantonio just 1-9 as visiting chalk since 2015. Home team has covered last three in series.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.
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MINNESOTA at MARYLAND...Road dog has won outright last two years in this series. Fleck however just 1-3-1 vs. spread away LY.
Slight to Minnesota, based on recent series trends.
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WESTERN KENTUCKY at BALL STATE...Sanford in process of burying WKU, just 6-10 vs. spread since his arrival LY, 3-6 vs. line away.
Ball State, based on team trends.
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BOSTON COLLEGE at PURDUE...Brohm 6-2 as dog since LY. BC, however, now 6-1 last 7 vs. spread as visitor, and has covered 12 straight reg-season games.
Boston College, based on recent trends.
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UCONN at SYRACUSE...Edsall only 5-10 vs. line in his return to UConn. Cuse was only 1-4 as chalk in 2017 but has started 3-0 vs. line TY.
Slight to Syracuse, based on UConn negatives.
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FIU at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Butch on 8-3 spread uptick sicne mid 2017 and is now 7-4 as dog with Golden Panthers. Canes only 4-8 vs. line last 12 on board and Richt 2-4 laying DD vs. FBS foes since LY.
FIU, based on team trends.
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PITT at NORTH CAROLINA... Narduzzi is 8-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor, and road team has covered 3 straight in series. Fedora only 2-6 vs. spread last 8 at Chapel Hill.
Pitt, based on team and series trends.
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NORTHERN ILLINOIS at FLORIDA STATE...Noles 0-3 vs. line for Taggart. NIU 10-4 as visiting dog since 2015. Huskies also 5-1 vs. line last six in reg season vs. non-MAC.
NIU, based on team trends.
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MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN...RedHawks just 2-5 vs. line last seven away from Yager Stadium. But Jinks only 7-19-1 vs. spread for Falcs since 2016 and just 1-11 vs. points at Doyt-Perry Stadium!
Miami-Ohio, based on BGSU negatives.
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TULANE at OHIO STATE...Fritz 5-2 vs. line last 7 as dog for Greenies and on 11-5 spread run since late 2016. As DD dog since 2016, however, Fritz only 5-5. Urban returns here for Bucks, now 5-1 vs. line last six as Big Horseshoe chalk vs. non-Big Ten.
Slight to Ohio State, based on team trends.
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CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH...GT last beat Clemson SU in 2014. Paul Johnson 5-1 vs. line last six at home vs. FCS-level foes. Also 13-6-1 as dog since 2014. Dabo just 7-9 as visiting chalk since 2015.
Slight to Georgia Tech, based on team trends.
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OHIO at CINCINNATI...Fickell has started 3-0 TY but if chalk here note was 0-4 in role in 2017. Cincy 3-11 vs. line last 14 at Nippert. Solich 9-3 vs. spread last 12 as visitor and 10-4 last 14 as dog.
Ohio, especially if dog, based on team trends.
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EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH FLORIDA... USF 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series. ECU 1-9-1 away vs. line for Montgomery since 2016.
USF, based on team trends.
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NOTRE DAME at WAKE FOREST... Irish 5-8 last 13 as visiting chalk (though 3-2 in role LY). Deacs were 10-2-1 as dog past two seasons though failed to cover in role vs. BC.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.
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NEVADA at TOLEDO...Rockets only 5-5 as Glass Bowl chalk vs. FCS teams since 2016. UT 1-4 vs. line non-MAC LY though cover was at Reno. Pack only 4-8 as road dog since 2016 (2-5 under Jay Norvell).
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
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LOUISVILLE at VIRGINIA...Petrino on 5-15 spread skid since late 2016. Cavs 3-0 vs. line TY.
Virginia, based on team trends.
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at GEORGIA STATE...GSU just 2-4 vs. line at home since moving into the old Turner Field. Panthers on 2-5-1 spread skid since late LY. WMU just 5-8-1 vs. line for Lester since LY.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.
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BUFFALO at RUTGERS...UB on 11-3-2 spread run for Leipold. Bulls 4-2-1 vs. line away since LY after 1-5 mark away in 2015.
Buffalo, based on team trends.
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ARIZONA at OREGON STATE...Sumlin on 25-43-4 spread skid since late in 2013 (0-2 with Arizona). Cats 1-6-1 last 8 vs. line since late 2017. Beavs were 6-3 as home dog past two seasons.
Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.
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STANFORD at OREGON...ree has buried Ducks past two years by combined 101-34. Ducks only 8-14-1 vs. line since 2015 at Autzen. Shaw was 1-3 as road chalk LY but was 4-0 in role in 2016.
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.
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FLORIDA at TENNESSEE...UT had lost 11 in a row vs. Fla before winning in 2016. Last three Gator wins in series have been by 1 point (twice) or on last play of game (as a year ago). Vols 4-10 vs. line last 14 at Knoxville.
Florida, based on team trends.
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MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY...Note Dan Mullen’s MSU was 8-1 SU vs. UK the past nine seasons. Stoops just 2-9 vs. line last 11 at Lexington. Joe Moorhead 3-0 SU and vs. line with MSU.
Miss State, based on team and series trends.
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NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN...Harbaugh just 2-6 last seven as Ann Arbor chalk, also 2-5 last 7 as Big Ten home chalk. Frost 7-3 vs. spread as visitor while at UCF.
Nebraska, based on team trends.
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KANSAS STATE at WEST VIRGINIA...Snyder has been tough on Holgorsen, as KSU 5-1 vs. line against Mounties since WVU joined Big 12 (though WVU has won SU close last two years). Snyder 7-1 as away dog past two years, 28-13 overall as dog since 2011.
Kansas State, based on team and series trends.
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KENT STATE at OLE MISS...Golden Flashes covered first two for Lewis after 4-10 spread mark previous 14 entering 2018. Rebs have covered 5 of last 7 in game immediately following Bama.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.
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RICE at SOUTHERN MISS...Owls have covered last two and 4 of last 5 vs. USM, which is just 5-8 vs. line at home since 2016.
Rice, based on team trends.
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ARKANSAS at AUBURN...Malzahn on 18-34-2 spread run. Though Gus has destroyed his home-state Hogs the past two years (combined score 108-23) and has covered vs. Porkers 4 of last 5 years.
Auburn, based on series trends.
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TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE...Kingsbury has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Gundy, and these teams have gone at least 72 points in their last seven meetings. Red Raiders 9-4 last 13 as visiting dog. OSU just 10-13-1 as DD chalk since 2014.
Texas Tech, based on team and series trends.
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NAVY at SMU...Sonny Dykes 1-3 SU and vs. spread since taking over at SMU. Niumatalolo 7-3 as visiting chalk since 2015 and has beaten Mustangs SU last three years (2-1 vs. line).
Navy, based on team trends.
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COASTAL CAROLINA at ULL... ULL no covers last six vs. non-Belt BCS opposition (0-1 for Napier). Coastal was 3-1-1 as road dog LY before losing opener at Gamecocks.
Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.
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UNLV at ARKANSAS STATE...Sanchez 12-4 as road dog for UNLV since 2015. Rebs also 10-4 last 14 overall as dog and Sanchez 6-1 vs. points as non-MW visitor. Red Wolves 3-11 vs. spread last 13 vs. non-Belt.
UNLV, based on team trends.
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TCU at TEXAS...Frogs have owned Horns lately, won and covered big the last four (total score 153-33!). Tom Herman teams are 10-1 last 11 as dog. Patterson 6-2 last 8 vs. points as visitor.
Slight to TCU, based on recent series trends.
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ARMY at OKLAHOMA...Army just 1-4 vs. line last five as visitor and 1-3 last 4 as DD dog. Though 8-6-2 last 14 as visitor vs. line overall. Lincoln Riley 4-1 vs. line reg season non-Big 12 (3-1 laying DD in those).
Slight to Oklahoma, based on team trends.
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LA TECH at LSU... Skip 12-5 as dog since 2014, Orgeron no covers last 4 vs. non-SEC at Baton Rouge.
La Tech, based on team trends.
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KANSAS at BAYLOR...KU 3-2-1 vs. line last six on big 12 road. Though have been beaten like a drum by Bears who have covered last six in series. Matt Rhule 0-3 as home chalk with Bears.
Slight to Kansas, based on team trends.
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SOUTH CAROLINA at VANDERBILT...Cocks have won last 9 SU vs. Vandy and covered last 3, though had some trouble vs. line in previous meetings (2-4 preceding six). Muschamp yet to be visiting chalk with Gamecocks, but has covered 7 straight away from Williams-Brice.
South Carolina, based on team and recent series trends.
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SOUTH ALABAMA at MEMPHIS...Tigers now 5-1 vs. line last six as host after GSU romp. Tigers 7-2 laying DD since 2017.
Memphis, based on team trends.
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AIR FORCE at UTAH STATE...Force now 14-6 as dog since 2014, 8-2 last ten as visiting dog. Falcs have won and covered last 3 in series. Utags 6-2 as Logan chalk since 2016.
Slight to Air Force, based on team and series trends.
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NEW MEXICO STATE at UTEP...Home team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings. NMSU no covers last 7 in reg season.
Slight to UTEP, based on series home trends.
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TEXAS STATE at UTSA...UTSA no covers last 7 or 10 of last 11 since early 2017.
Slight to Texas State, based on UTSA negatives.
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TROY at ULM...Troy is 12-3 vs. spread away from home since late 2015. ULM only 2-3 as home dog for Matt Viator since 2016.
Troy, based on team trends.
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VIRGINIA TECH at ODU... Monarchs no covers first 3, now on 3-10 spread skid since early 2017.. Also just 2-6 last 8 as Norfolk dog. Fuente has now covered 7 of last 8 in reg season vs. non-ACC foes.
Virginia Tech, based on team trends.
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NORTH TEXAS at LIBERTY...Seth Littrell 5-3 last 8 as chalk, 5-1 last 6 vs. line reg season vs. BCS non-CUSA foes.
Slight to North Texas, based on team trends.
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GEORGIA at MISSOURI... Mizzou has covered last 3 in series and is 9-2 vs. points last ten in reg season. Kirby Smart however is 6-2 as visiting chalk since taking over Bulldogs and has covered 7 straight vs. FBS.
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.
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TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA...Jimbo lost opener vs. Bama LY when still at FSU. Jimbo 5-4 last 9 as dog. But he’s 3-0 vs. line with Ags. Saban 4-1-1 vs. spread last six at Tuscaloosa.
Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.
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WISCONSIN at IOWA...Badgers no covers first 3 TY. Ferentz 4-1 last 5 as Iowa City dog.
Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.
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ARIZONA STATE at WASHINGTON... Sun Devils have actually covered last three years in series. Huskies just 8-9 last 17 on board though have covered 5 of last 8 in Seattle. U-Dub 4-1 vs. line as Pac-12 host LY.
Slight to Arizona State, based on series trends.
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EASTERN MICHIGAN at SAN DIEGO STATE...EMU 16-3-1 last 20 as dog, 12-2 last 14 as road dog. SDS 2-7 last 9 as home chalk.
Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.