Big 12 Report – Week 4

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Akron at Iowa State (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
Akron went to Northwestern last week and picked up their first victory against a Big Ten team since 1894. Meanwhile, Iowa State came up short against Oklahoma, although they did pick up a cover in a narrow loss. The 2-0 SU Zips head to Ames with a lot of confidence, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight games on the road while going 9-4 ATS in the past 13 games overall. Akron is also 5-2 ATS in the past seven following a straight-up win, but just 3-9 ATS in the past 12 games on a grass surface. Iowa State has posted a 5-1 ATS mark in their past six games against non-conference teams, while going 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams. They're also 19-6-1 ATS in the past 26 games overall, while going 5-0-1 ATS in their past six against the MAC, too. As far as the total, the 'under' is 9-0 in Akron's past nine against teams with a losing record, and 6-1 in the past seven non-conference games while going 9-3 in the past 12 road outings. The under is 8-2 in the past 10 for the Cyclones, while going 6-2 in their past eight against winning teams and 7-3-1 in their past 11 outside of the conference.

Kansas State at West Virginia (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
The Wildcats awakened from their early-season slumber with a convincing win last weekend over Texas-San Antonio. Meanwhile, West Virginia received an unwanted rest, as their non-conference showdown in Raleigh with N.C. State was cancelled by Hurricane Florence. The Wildcats have posted a 3-1-1 ATS mark in their past five road games, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games against teams with a winning overall record. The Mountaineers haven't fared well against the number lately, going 7-16-1 ATS in the past 24 against teams with a winning overall record, and 1-3-1 ATS in the past five home games. West Virginia is also a dismal 3-10 ATS in their past 13 games following a bye week, and 1-4-1 ATS in their past six outside of the conference. The under is 4-1 in K-State's past five overall, and 5-2 in their past seven against winning sides. The under is 10-4 in West Virginia's past 14 against winning teams and 24-11 in the past 35 conference tilts. In addition, the under has connected in six straight meetings in this series.

Kansas at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
The Jayhawks have won two in a row, and they have won in rather impressive fashion, too. Still, this is a team which opened with a loss against FCS Nicholls State. Baylor had their meager two-game winning streak snapped at home by visiting Duke. The Bears will be angry as they enter conference play. While Kansas smashed Central Michigan two weeks ago by winning straight-up as a road 'dog, they're still 15-35-1 ATS in the past 51 road games. They're also just 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning sides. Baylor hasn't been much better, going 1-4-1 ATS in the past six overall, and 0-5 ATS in their past five at home. In this series, the favorite is 6-0 ATS in the past six, with the Jayhawks 0-6 ATS in the past six and 0-4 ATS in the past four visits to Waco. The 'under' is also 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

Texas Christian at Texas (FOX, 4:30 p.m.)
TCU hung tough against Ohio State last week, but eventually fizzled in the second half at Jerry World. They look to rebound, but face a tough assignment on the road against the Longhorns. Texas has been a Jekyll and Hyde team early on, getting smashed by Maryland on a neutral-site field, barely edging Tulsa and then crushing USC last week. Which team will show up against TCU? The Longhorns haven't had a lot of success in recent seasons, going 1-4 ATS in the past five home games in Austin, while failing to cover four straight in the series. The 'under' has connected in five of the past six, too. In addition, the under is 13-3 in the past road games for TCU and 20-7 in their past 27 inside the conference. The under is also 10-4 in the past 14 at home for Texas and 37-14 in their past 51 inside the Big 12.

Army at Oklahoma (No national TV, 7:00 p.m.)
The Black Knights of Army picked up an impressive win at home against road-weary Hawaii last week, slowing down the run and shoot offense of the Warriors. Now, they'll be tasked with trying to slow QB Kyler Murray and the Sooners, a team averaging 49.7 PPG. As such, the 'over' has connected in three in a row for the Sooners. While Army is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record, they're a dismal 13-27-1 ATS in the past 41 on the road, including 6-14 ATS in the past 20 road outings against a team with a winning home mark. The Sooners are 12-2 ATS in their past 14 against teams with a winning record, and 12-3 ATS in their past 15 in Norman. They're also 5-2 ATS in the past seven non-conference games, including a throttling of Florida Atlantic in their opener.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (FOX Sports 1, 7:00 p.m.)
The Red Raiders and Cowboys open the conference schedule in Stillwater, and the scoreboard operator better be on his/her toes. Vegas expects a total of 77 1/2 points, or more than 11 touchdowns. Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the conference, while OK State is 3-7 ATS in their past 10 inside the league. Something's gotta give. Well, the Pokes are 4-1 ATS in their past five at home, and they're 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings in this series. However, the road team has cashed in four of the past five meetings. As mentioned, this is certainly to be a high-scoring game. The over is 4-0 in Texas Tech's past four, and 20-7 in their past 27 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-2 in OK State's past nine and 19-7 in their past 26 inside the conference. In addition, the over is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Stillwater and 5-1 in the past six overall in this series.

VegasInsider Staff

More from VegasInsider Staff