ACC Report – Week 11

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

Wake Forest at North Carolina (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The Demon Deacons have had some major issues on the defensive side of the football, but they can score plenty of points, too. N.C. State was cruising along until they arrived in Clemson a few weeks ago, then they were blown out there and lost a tough one in Syracuse, too, before rebounding at home against Florida State last week. The Deacs limp in 2-9 ATS over the past 11 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in the past six conference battles and 0-6 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record. While the Pack is 2-5-1 ATS over the past ACC battles, the home team has covered 18 of the past 22 meetings, while going 5-0 ATS in their past five home games vs. Wake. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

Louisville at Syracuse (Fri. - ESPN2, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals got trucked last week at Clemson, which has been the case for most. They head up to Syracuse to battle the Top 25 Orange, who are three-touchdown favorites. 'Cuse is already bowl eligible, too, and they have higher bowl expectations than just making it. Louisville is a dismal 6-20 ATS over the past 26, and they're 3-13 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams and 0-5 ATS in their past five road outings. The Orange are 1-5-2 ATS over their past eight against teams with a losing record, and they're 3-1-1 ATS in the past five at home and 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine games overall. The Cardinals have covered the past four in this series, but that was as the favorite. The over is 5-0 in 'Ville's past five in the ACC, but the under is 5-2 in their past seven against winning teams. The under is 15-5-1 in Syracuse's past 21 in the ACC, 11-4-1 in their past 16 at home and 19-8-1 in the past 28 overall.

 North Carolina at Duke  (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Victory Bell is up for grabs between UNC and Duke at Wallace Wade. As of Tuesday evening the Blue Devils are favored by 10 1/2, which might be a bit much in a rivalry game. The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS over the past five. Of course, it isn't a long road trip, just a quick jaunt up US 15-501 from Chapel Hill to Durham. The Blue Devils are just 2-5-1 ATS over the past eight at home, and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home against teams with a losing road record. The underdog has cashed in five of the past six meetings, and the under is 4-1 over the past five in this rivalry.

Liberty at Virginia (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)
The Flames have been able to pile up plenty of numbers on offense, but they struggle defensively. Virginia isn't a prolific offense, but they have a solid defense. This will be an interesting battle, with the Hoos favored by more than three touchdowns. Liberty has posted a 4-0 ATS mark in their past four against ACC foes, and they're 15-3 ATS in the past 18 non-conference battles. They're also 13-4 ATS in the past 17 road games, 6-2 ATS in the past eight against winning teams and 15-6 ATS in the past 21 games overall. UVA is 5-0 ATS in the past five against indies, and they're 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall. The over is a number to watch, as Liberty has hit the over in four of the past five road games and 4-1 in the past five overall. The over is 5-1 in the past six for UVA outside of the conference, too.

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
The Hokies are skidding hard. The Panthers picked up a giant win at Virginia last week, pushing themselves into great shape in their bid for a spot in the ACC Championship Game. It's absolutely vital to protect their home field and win over the Hokies on Saturday to vanquish another challenger. Someone is leaving this game with five losses, which would be devastating to their bowl chances, particularly for Virginia Tech. The Hokies have failed to cover in four stragiht, while Pitt is 4-0 ATS in their past four overall and 6-1 ATS in the past seven inside the ACC. The under is 5-1 in the past six road games for the Gobblers, while going 9-2 in their past 11 against winning teams. Pitt has had the under go 15-6-1 in the past 22, and 9-4 in the past 13 conference tilts. In this series the 'dog is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. The Hokies are 1-10 ATS in the past 11 meetings, while going a dismal 0-7 ATS in the past seven trips to the Steel City.

Miami-Florida at Georgia Tech (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
The Hurricanes had lofty expectations earlier in the season, but things have devolved quickly and now they're just trying to hang on and gain bowl eligibility. A loss at Georgia Tech would be devastating, and they're slight underdogs against the Ramblin' Wreck. Like Va. Tech-Pitt, someone is leaving with a fifth loss. The Canes are just 1-6 ATS in their ;ast seven on the road, while going 0-5 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. They're also 0-4 ATS in the past four ACC battles. Ga. Tech is just 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning sides, but they have covered four of the past five overall. UM is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, but the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 battles.

Florida State at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)
The Seminoles are in a lot of trouble and need a huge upset to save their season. A loss here is their sixth setback after another loss at N.C. State last weekend. Notre Dame is trying to keep its record unblemished and help the Irish stay on the road for the playoffs. The Seminoles are just 2-5-2 ATS in the past nine road games, and 2-8-2 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning record, but the 'Noles are 5-1 ATS in their past six non-conference battles. For the Irish, they're 4-1-1 ATS in the past six overall, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven home outings. The over is 5-1 in FSU's past six games overall, and 4-1-1 in their past six road games. The over is 5-1 in the past six overall for Notre Dame, too, but the under is 5-1 in their past six in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus.

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