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Finding the Traps - Week 9
 

Editor's Note: Lawrence Prezman has won six of his last 10 selections in college football. He's locked and loaded with even more winners this week. Click to win!

Perhaps we should just pick against Florida every Saturday in our weekly trap game story. For the second straight week UF was fortunate to avoid a straight-up upset to one of the worst teams in the SEC West Division. Two weeks ago it was Arkansas nearly winning in the Swamp, while last week Mississippi State was +23 and lost by just 10 in Starkville in a game that was there for the taking. That was unfortunately one of just two correctly predicted trap game covers I hit for the underdog last week. The other was Oregon State getting 20.5 points at USC. The three misses last week were Baylor +9.5 against Oklahoma State, Washington +10 against Oregon and Louisville +18 against Cincinnati. That makes me 10-11-1 on the year.

Let’s get that above .500 this week. Remember, I only take the big underdogs in these potential trap situations:

Ohio State (-44) vs. New Mexico State: Why on earth are the Buckeyes even playing this game in the middle of Big Ten play? Well, the answer is money of course. I am not sure how oddsmakers can give OSU a 44-point cushion. Have they not seen this offense? Don’t get me wrong, this game shouldn’t be close, as the Aggies rank last in the country in offense. But the Buckeyes’ real season starts next week at Penn State – so look for coach Jim Tressel to pull the plug on some key starters fairly early this week, likely ensuring that New Mexico State stays within 35 points or so.

Iowa (-17.5) vs. Indiana: The Hawkeyes lost two starting Robinsons for the rest of the regular season this week: running back Adam and top offensive lineman Dace. The Hawkeyes aren’t a very good offensive team as it is, rankings 86th in the country in scoring. These losses may make them even more conservative. This just smells like that Arkansas State game from earlier this year that Iowa escaped from. The Hawkeyes will win here, but after playing big-time teams Michigan, Wisconsin and Michigan State in a row, there just has to be a letdown this Saturday.

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Notre Dame (-28) vs. Washington State:
OK, this one is a bit of a trap for the Irish not because of who they play next week (Navy), but because of where this game is: San Antonio’s Alamodome. Now, it takes some getting used to when playing in a dome. And in my opinion, unfamiliar surroundings for both teams usually helps the underdog. And remember that Notre Dame is the king of the close game: its past six games have been decided by a TD or less. Frankly this will feel like a Notre Dame home game fan wise (it technically is) but I think Wazzu hangs close.

LSU (-35.5) vs. Tulane: OK, Tulane is a lousy team. The program has lost 37 straight games to ranked teams and 17 straight in this series. But this is also the last time the Green Wave will get a chance against their big brothers in the state. Earlier this year, LSU paid Tulane $700,000 to essentially go away, voiding the remaining six years on the contract for this series. LSU basically said it didn’t feel it should have to play at Tulane any longer (in the Superdome). I am thinking the Green Wave are motivated by this. And LSU is at Alabama next week for the lead in the SEC West. I don’t care how good of a coach Les Miles is, there’s no way the Tigers are really focused on the game this week.

  
HEADLINES
Edwards: Week 12 Rewind
David: LVSC Rankings - Week 12
Oregon wins 2-OT thriller at Arizona, 44-41
Cal ruins Stanford's Rose Bowl hopes, 34-28
Ohio St. prevails, but Michigan covers
Clemson beats Cavs, wins ACC Atlantic
Texas Tech trounces Oklahoma, 41-13
Ole Miss holds off LSU, 25-23
UConn wins at Notre Dame in 2 OTs
MORE HEADLINES
 
 Jim Kruger
 4-0 Sat., 33-13, +1,870 on Sat. TY
 Mark Fox
 7-2 L9, 54-30 (64%) +2,110 TY
 Jimmy Rotunda
 6-0 Sat., 27-11 L32, +1,580 TY
 Judd Hall
 14-4 L6 Saturdays, 4-1 L5
 Chip Chirimbes
 9-3 L2 Sat., 11-3 L14, 15-5 L20
 Joe Nelson
 15-7 L2 Sat., 20-9 +1,015 L29
 Dave Cokin
 22-13 L8 Sat., 32-21 (60%) YR
 Brian Gabrielle
 8-3 L11, 10-4 L14, 11-5 L16
 Scott Pritchard
 30-15 L45, 36-18 L54, +1,434 TY
 Joe D'Amico
 3-0 Saturday, 4 Wins In A Row
 ASA
 7-2 L2 Saturdays
 Andy Iskoe
 6-2 L2 Saturdays, 10-5 L3 Sat.
 Lawrence Prezman
 12-5 L17, 14-7 This Month
 Jason Johnson
 16-6 L22 NCAA Selections
 Jamie Tursini
 13-6 L6 Saturdays
 Barry Holthaus
 7-1 L8 Guarantees
 Alf Musketa
 23-11, +1,092 on Totals TY
 
 
2009-10 CFB SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mark Fox + 2110
Jimmy Rotunda + 1580
Jim Kruger + 1495
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Jimmy Rotunda + 600
Joe Nelson + 450
Joe D'Amico + 400
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Jim Kruger 64 %
Mark Fox 64 %
Scott Pritchard 64 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Brian Edwards + 1154
Scott Pritchard + 1011
Bryan Leonard + 670
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Alf Musketa + 1092
Scott Pritchard + 849
Jim Kruger + 800
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Dave Cokin + 740
Lawrence Prezman + 391
Gary Olshan + 390
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
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