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Friday Night Lights
 

Editor's note: Brian Edwards is No. 1 on VI in NCAAFB guaranteed picks (29-17, 63%, +1,054), including three straight winners this week with East Carolina (Sunday), Central Michigan (Wednesday) and Colorado last night. Brian is locked and loaded with tonight's pay-if-it-wins-only selection!

Gamblers have a trio of college football games to wager on Friday night. The action starts at 5:30 Eastern and will go until past midnight. Let’s take a look at all three matchups.

**Akron at Bowling Green**

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Bowling Green (5-5 straight up, 5-5 against the spread) as a 13-point favorite with a total of 53. As of late Thursday afternoon, most books had the Falcons as 10 ½-point ‘chalk’ with the total adjusted to 52. The Zips are plus-325 on the money line (risk $100 to win $325).

--After winning its opener 31-14 against Troy, Dave Clawson’s squad lost four in a row. Since then, however, Bowling Green has won four of its last five games to get back to .500. The Falcons return home in this spot after winning back-to-back road contests at Buffalo (30-29) and at Miami (OH.) (35-14).

--Akron (2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS) took woodshed treatment last week when Temple came to town and clubbed the Zips 56-17 as a six-point road favorite.

--J.D. Brookhart’s team is 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS on the road this season. The Zips have lost four of their five road games by 14 points or more.

--Bowling Green senior quarterback Tyler Sheehan has completed 64.1 percent of his passes for 3,189 yards with a 19/6 touchdown-interception ratio. Sheehan has one of the nation’s premier wideouts in senior Freddy Barnes, who has 117 receptions for 1,285 yards and 12 touchdowns. Barnes leads the nation in catches and is second in both receiving yards and TD grabs.

--Bowling Green owns a 1-3 record both SU and ATS at home but we should note that two of those defeats came to Boise State and Central Michigan, two of the country’s premier non-BCS programs.

--ESPNU will have the telecast at 5:30 p.m. Eastern.

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**Eastern Michigan at Toledo**

--LVSC opened Toledo (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS) as a 17-point favorite with a total of 65. As of late Thursday afternoon, most spots had the Rockets favored by 18 with the total in the 62-63 range.

--Toledo has lost three in a row both SU and ATS, including last Wednesday’s 56-28 loss at Central Michigan as a 17 ½-point underdog. Senior QB Aaron Opelt returned to the lineup for the first time in a month, only to be intercepted three times. He is clearly still bothered by a shoulder injury and his status for Friday is “questionable.” Opelt has a 16/9 TD-INT ratio this year.

--Eastern Michigan (0-10 SU, 3-7 ATS) is still looking for its first win under first-year head coach Ron English, who was formerly the defensive coordinator at Michigan and Louisville. The Eagles have lost eight of their 10 games by double-digit margins.

--Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS on the road, while the Rockets are 2-2 both SU and ATS at home.

--This is Toledo’s first double-digit ‘chalk’ situation since losing 35-16 to Florida International last season as a 19 ½-point home favorite.

--Toledo is 6-1 both SU and ATS in its last seven head-to-head meetings against the Eagles.

--The ‘over’ is 7-3 overall for the Rockets, 3-1 in their home games.

**Boise State at Utah State **

--LVSC opened Boise State (10-0 SU, 7-2 ATS) as a 24-point favorite with a total of 59. As of late Thursday afternoon, most books had the Broncos listed as 23-point road ‘chalk’ with the total adjusted to 61 ½.

--Chris Petersen’s team rolled to a 63-25 win over Idaho on the smurf turf last week. BSU took the cash as a 31 ½-point home favorite. Kellen Moore enjoyed another stellar performance, connecting on 22-of-33 throws for 299 yards and five touchdowns without an interception. For the season, Moore now has an amazing 32/3 TD-INT ratio that would make it a crime if he’s left out of the Heisman finalists that go to New York City in a few weeks.

--Boise St. junior WR Austin Pettis had four TD catches against the Vandals last week, bringing his season total to an NCAA-best 14. Pettis had eight receptions for 123 yards vs. Idaho, while Titus Young had six catches for 101 yards. Jeremy Avery carried the load on the ground with 110 rushing yards on 14 carries.

--Utah St. (3-7 SU, 7-2 ATS) owns a 4-0 spread record as a double-digit underdog this season. Dating back even further, the Aggies are 6-1 versus the number in their last seven spots as double-digit ‘dogs.

--Gary Andersen’s team is 3-1 SU and 3-0 ATS at home this year. The Aggies’ lone home loss came to Nevada by a 35-32 score as eight-point puppies.

--Utah St. has an outstanding QB in junior Diondre Borel, who can hurt opponents with his passing and scrambling. Borel has an excellent 13/3 TD-INT ratio and has also rushed for 433 yards and six scores.

--Utah St. RB Robert Turbin is enjoying a brilliant sophomore campaign. Turbin has 1,122 rushing yards and nine TDs. That’s good for a 6.6 yard-per-carry average.

--Boise St. is undefeated in five road games this year with a 3-2 spread leger. Two Fridays ago, the Broncos won 45-35 at La. Tech but failed to hook up their backers as 20 ½-point favorites.

--When these WAC rivals met in 2008, BSU collected a 49-14 home win at Bronco Stadium. However, the Aggies covered the spread, albeit barely, as 35 ½-point underdogs.

--Kickoff is slated for 9:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--After destroying USC 55-21 last week as a 10 ½-point road underdog, Stanford returns home to host a Jahvid-Best-less California squad. Most books have the Cardinal as a seven-point ‘chalk.’ Jim Harbaugh’s squad is 5-0 both SU and ATS at home, winning each game by eight points or more.

--Speaking of the Trojans, who have an open date this week, they have burned the pockets of their backers at a 1-8 ATS clip in their last nine games.

--Ohio St. is a 12 ½-point road favorite at Michigan this week. Although the Buckeyes never threatened to cover their inflated number in last week’s overtime win over Iowa, they still are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 outings. Meanwhile, the Wolverines are in the midst of 0-4 and 1-6 ATS slides. They have given up 35, 38, 38 and 45 points in their last four games.

--During Rich Rodriguez’s two-year tenure at Michigan, the school has lost 14 of 22 games. I’m having a hard time identifying the Wolverines’ best win under R-Rod. The choices are as follows: vs. Miami (OH.), vs. Wisconsin, at Minnesota, vs. Western Michigan, vs. Notre Dame, vs. Eastern Michigan, vs. Indiana and vs. Delaware St.

--Did you know that La. Tech had the lead at LSU last week at halftime? For the game, the Bulldogs had more first downs (23-15) and yards (322-246) than the Tigers in Baton Rouge. Nevertheless, LSU won a 24-16 decision. Fortunately for Les Miles and Co., Jordan Jefferson will be back under center this week after sitting out against La. Tech with an ankle sprain. The guess here is that Jarrett Lee has played his final down in a Tiger uniform after last week’s abysmal performance (7-of-22 for 105 yds.).

--The story of former Ole Miss OT Michael Oher is one of the more inspiring tales you’ll ever hear in life (much less sports). Now at this point, we’re all thinking Sandra Bullock is getting a little too much air time in the relentless promotion of the movie based on Oher’s life, The Blind Side. However, it would be cold and borderline ruthless to be critical of anything related to the movie that’ll be released Friday. Nevertheless, that’s exactly what CBSsports.com’s Dennis Dodd did earlier this week in this column. Instead of thinking about the positives of such a story/movie/whatever, Dodd opts to play ‘the SEC card’ and talk about how the movie is “free recruiting” for the SEC.

Brian Edwards can be reached at briane@vegasinsider.com.

If you wish, you can follow Brian Edwards on twitter at Vegasbedwards.

  
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