Daily Doubles - Thursday
April 17, 2014
By Daniel Dobish
Editor's Note: Daniel Dobish, an award-winning writer and veteran in the Fantasy industry, has joined the VegasInsider.com team. Be sure to check out his Daily Fantasy Analysis throughout the entire MLB season! BIG-TICKET ITEM (Salaries $10,000 and Above)
Thursday, April 17, 2014 - TV schedule
1:05 p.m. - Atlanta at Philadelphia (MLB Network)
1:08 p.m. - Cleveland at Detroit (MLB Network)
7:05 p.m. - Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (MLB Network)
7:05 p.m. - St. Louis at Washington (MLB Network)
-- On Thursday, Daily Fantasy providers split the available players from 'EARLY games (1:05p ET-3:45p ET) and 'LATE' games (7:05pm ET and after). Below, next to the names, the players have 'EARLY' or 'LATE' indicated in parentheses.
-- Each day we'll provide a look at MLB cities with outdoor venues which have a 30 percent or more chance of precipitation. It's rather risky to insert guys into your Daily Fantasy lineup in games with a good chance of delay or postponement.
1:08 p.m. - Cleveland at Detroit (0 percent chance of precipitation, 18-20 mph wind straight in from CF to home)
3:45 p.m. - L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco (0 percent chance of precipitation, 13-16 mph wind to straightaway CF)
Madison Bumgarner, SP, San Francisco (vs LAD - EARLY): Bumgarner already has a win against the Dodgers this season on the road, now he'll try his hand against the rivals at home. Since the start of the 2011 season, Bumgarner has eight victories against L.A., most against any team in the majors. While there is a little bit of worry with the wind blowing out at AT&T Park, Bumgarner is still a solid pick against a team he fares well against.
Yovani Gallardo, SP, Milwaukee (at PIT - LATE): Gallardo has fared very well over the years against the Pirates. In his first start against Pittsburgh this season, he allowed just two earned runs over six innings with six strikeouts in a no-decision April 12. Since the start of the 2011 season, he is 5-2 with a 3.08 ERA in 10 starts against the Bucs, and he is 2-1 with a 0.92 ERA in three starts with 16 strikeouts over 19 2/3 innings at PNC Park. He is well worth the money until the Pirates learn to solve him.
David Price, SP, Tampa Bay (vs NYY - LATE): When Price sees pinstripes on the other side, he is usually bringing his 'A' game. Price is 6-3 with a 3.81 ERA with 69 strikeouts over 82 2/3 innings over 13 starts against the New York Yankees since the start of the 2011 season. The fact the opposing pitcher, Yankees SP CC Sabathia, is 3-8 with a 4.53 ERA in 14 starts against the Rays during the same span, Price looks like an awfully strong play.
Justin Verlander, SP, Detroit (vs CLE - EARLY): As mentioned above, there will be a stiff wind blowing in from center field. That bodes well for Verlander at spacious Comerica against a Cleveland Indians team he has mastered over the years. Since the start of the 2011 season, Verlander is 7-3 with a 2.96 ERA over 11 starts with two complete games and 82 strikeouts over 76 innings. Unless the Tribe nickel and dime him to death, it's unlikely they'll push across many runs in a potential pitcher's duel.
MID-LEVEL VALUES (Salaries between $8,000 and $9,999)
If you spend big up top, you’re going to need some fillers to bring down your average per player salary. Check out these steals from the bargain bin:
Evan Longoria, 3B, Tampa Bay (vs NYY - LATE): Longoria has owned Carsten Charles Sabathia over the years, going 21-for-53 (.396) with six doubles, six homers, 13 RBI and a 1.364 OPS. That's a big enough sample size to trust the batter vs. pitcher numbers. Longo has managed just one homer this season, and none over his past 11 games. Facing Sabathia might be just the perfect elixir to snap him out of his funk.
Angel Pagan, OF, San Francisco (vs LAD - EARLY): Pagan has been one of the hottest hitters in black and orange, posting a .383 batting average so far this season. With a stiff wind blowing to straightaway center field, Pagan has a little bit of upside and is a better play than teammate OF Hunter Pence, who is generally at the same price level but with a much worse batting average.
Alexei Ramirez, SS, Chicago White Sox (vs BOS - LATE): Ramirez cracked a homer in Wednesday's extra-innings loss against the Red Sox, pushing his hitting streak to 15 games, longest active run in the majors. He is a marginal hitter against Boston Red Sox SP Jon Lester over the years, going 6-for-25 (.240) with a .616 OPS, but he has been hot and is worth a play at a mid-level salary.
THE BARGAIN BIN (Salaries less than $7,999)
Ryan Hanigan, C, Tampa Bay (vs NYY - LATE): Hanigan is expected to get the starting nod against Sabathia, as C Jose Molina is hitless in 19 career at-bats against the Yankees' starter. If Hanigan makes the start, he isn't the greatest play, but he has a Daily Fantasy minimum salary which will help you to squeeze in plenty of studs at other positions, especially high-priced talent at the pitcher spots.
Wil Nieves, C, Philadelphia (vs ATL - EARLY): Nieves might draw the start with a day game after C Carlos Ruiz played in the night game Wednesday. In his last start, Nieves posted three hits and two RBI April 13. He could be a decent cheap Daily Fantasy option, and he'll save you plenty of salary to allocate elsewhere.
ONES TO AVOID
Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pittsburgh (vs MIL - LATE): While you certainly don't want to base all of your decisions on batter vs pitcher numbers, sometimes the numbers are just too hard to avoid. Alvarez is 1-for-22 (.045) with 10 strikeouts all-time against Gallardo.
Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Colorado (at SD - LATE): CarGo hasn't fared very well against San Diego Padres SP Ian Kennedy over the years. He has managed just four hits in 29 at-bats (.138) with 13 strikeouts and a subpar .477 OPS over his career against Kennedy. You can certainly do better elsewhere.
Bryce Harper, OF, Washington (vs STL - LATE): Harper (quadriceps) was out of the starting lineup Wednesday due to a strained quadriceps, and he is considered day to day. Even if he is able to return, he is a rather risky play, especially in a tough matchup against St. Louis Cardinals SP Adam Wainwright.
Hanley Ramirez, SS, L.A. Dodgers (at SF - EARLY): Ramirez (hand) was hit on the hand by a pitch, and while X-rays were negative, it's hard to see Ramirez playing with such a short turnaround.
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