DFS Best Bets - Week 6
October 10, 2017
By Austin Chen
Week 6 Contrarion Picks
Week 5 is over and no matter how much research you do, you can’t fix stupid. Yes, I am looking at the Pittsburgh Steelers and L.A. Rams. The Steelers threw 55 times despite having a rushing success rate over 70%. The Rams also tried to beat the Seahawks thru the air despite having a great running back versus a suspect run defense. Hopefully the coaches get it together this week.
Before I break down the players to play in Week 6, everyone should go check out the RotoQL NFL Lineup Optimizer as it is a must when building your daily fantasy football teams.
Deshaun Watson (Draftkings:$6,700, FanDuel: $7,900)
After Deshaun Watson’s first start he did not look like a NFL ready quarterback. Fast forward a few weeks later and Watson is coming off of back to back weeks with the highest quarterback score. Sure we can expect some regression soon as 9 touchdowns in 2 weeks is unsustainable. However, this is not the week to get off the Deshaun Watson bus. He has a great match up versus the Cleveland Browns who give up an average of 20 pts a game to quarterbacks which is 4th worst this season. Deshaun Watson’s price is also very playable as it is still under $7,000 this week. Watson will be popular but his high upside and rushing floor makes him a week 5 top play.
Case Keenum (DK:$5,000, FD: $6,700)
If you are looking to save money at quarterback, Case Keenum is a player to consider this week. The Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers game has the look of a shoot out with a total of 47 points. The Minnesota offensive line is a lot better than last year which has lead to a better offense. Keenum has already flashed 30 point upside this year at the same salary, but the good news is that he doesn’t have to score 30 to pay of the low price tag. I would stack Case Keenum with Kyle Rudolph or Adam Thielen.
Other QBs To Consider: Matt Ryan, Carson Palmer, Kirk Cousins
Kareem Hunt (DK:$8,200, FD: $9,300)
Kareem Hunt is still averaging a ridiculous 126.3 yards from scrimmage a game thru 5 weeks. In week 6, Hunt will take on a very vulnerable Pittsburgh Steelers run defense. The Steelers have given up 522 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns in the past 3 weeks. Fellow rookie Leonard Fournette ran for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns at Pittsburgh last week. Hunt is in a great position at home to smash and hit 30+ fantasy points as his passing game involvement is always a bonus.
Doug Martin (DK:$5,800, FD: $6,800)
Doug Martin looked like the player we always fall in love with last Thursday night. He saw no ill effects from the 4 game layoff as Martin was able to average 5.7 yards a carry. He played like a 3 down back and Doug Martin still has a very affordable price tag of $5,800 on Draftkings. He is a player with double digit fantasy point floor and 20+ point upside.
Other RBs To Consider: Leonard Fournette, Devonta Freeman , Elijah McGuire
Keenan Allen (DK:$7,900, FD: $7,200)
Hopefully, people are off Keenan Allen after his disappointing week 4. He is priced right below Julio Jones and Deandre Hopkins on DraftKings. Allen is also priced above Michael Thomas and Mike Evans. I think a lot of people will just overlook Allen and pay up or down for one of the wide receivers I just mentioned. Keenan Allen is still seeing a little over 10 targets a game. He will be facing off against David Amerson who only has a Pro Football Focus grade of 64.7 which is good for 62nd best among all cornerbacks.
Pierre Garcon DK:$6,300, FD: $6,800)
This is a Pierre Garcon revenge game alert. The Washington Redskins will be without Josh Norman so Garcon will be seeing a lot of his old teammate Bashaud Breeland. Breeland only has a Pro Football Focus grade of 44.7 which is 87th best among cornerbacks. This game has a over under of 46.5 which is tied for the 2nd most this week so plenty of scoring is expected from both teams. Pierre Garcon is averaging 105 yards and 7 catches in games where he sees 1o or more targets this year. This is looking like another one of those weeks especially with the uncertainty at the running back position for the 49ers.
Other WRs To Consider: Julio Jones, Golden Tate, Ricardo Lewis
Jordan Reed (DK:$5,000, FD: $6,500)
Jordan Reed is underpriced on DraftKings at $5,000. He should be as healthy as he will be all year. Reed is still the focal point of the Washington Redskins offense as none of the wide receivers have stepped up this year. He can even be a flex play this week as Reed’s upside as a high as anyone else in the $5k range.
Austin Hooper (DK:$3,500, FD: $4,800)
Mohamed Sanu is not expected to play this week which will open up targets. Austin Hooper seemed to be the one who benefited from the Sanu injury 2 weeks ago. Hooper was targeted a season high 7 times for 5 catches and 50 yards. It makes a lot of sense that he would be the middle of the field receiving replacement instead of Taylor Gabriel. Starting Hooper is one way to get a piece of the high flying Falcon offense without paying top dollar.
Other TEs To Consider: Austin Seferian Jenkins, Ryan Griffin, Kyle Rudolph
Atlanta Falcons (DK:$3,500, FD: $5,000)
The Miami Dolphins offense can be compared to a dead man walking. Jay Cutler is averaging a horrific 56.25 passing yards in the first half this season. The Falcons are a 11 point favorite and should be ahead all day. Atlanta is my favorite defense of the week.
New Orleans Saints (DK:$2,700, FD: $4,200)
Coming off a bye, I like the New Orleans Saints defense at home versus the Detroit Lions. They are a sneaky tournament GPP play. The Saints defense have given up only 13 points the last two games after giving up 65 points in the first two weeks of the season. They have also forced 8 sacks and 4 inteceptions in the last 2 games.
Other Defenses To Consider: Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans
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