DFS Bets - Genesis Open
February 13, 2018
By Austin Chen
The PGA Tour makes its final stop in California this week. The Genesis Open will be played at Riviera Country Club. The course is a par 71 that measures out to 7,322 yards. The putting surface is Poa greens which players on the west coast swing have had plenty of experience.
Daily fantasy players will look to long hitters thanks to Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson winning in recent years. There are six Par 4s between 450-500 yards this week. However, James Hahn proved that you don’t have to be a power hitter to win at Riviera if you have excellent course management.
SG: Tee To Green
SG: Around The Green
Par 4 Scoring
Green In Regulation %
Before we break down the players to play for the Genesis Open, everyone should go check out the RotoQL PGA Lineup Optimizer as it is a must when building your daily fantasy golf teams regardless of contest size or site.
Golfers To Consider For The Genesis Open
($9,000 and above on DraftKings)
Phil Mickelson (DK:$9,900, FD: $11,300)
Phil Mickelson is coming into the Genesis Open in excellent form with back to back top 5 finishes. He also has the course history as a multiple winner at this event. Phil Mickelson is 47th in SG: Tee To Green, 5th in Birdie or Better % and 5th in SG: Putting this season. He can win the Genesis Open this week if he just finds a few more fairways than he has the last few weeks.
Other Golfers To Consider: Justin Thomas
Daniel Berger (DK:$9,200, FD: $10,500)
Daniel Berger has finished in the top 15 in his last 5 events. He will try to improve on his 1st attempt here where Berger MC in 2016. This season, Berger is 33rd SG: Tee To Green, 29th in Par 4 Scoring, and 58th in Green in Regulation %. He is a great GPP play as he is cheaper than all the stud plays but has the skill to perform just as well as any of them.
Other Golfers To Consider: Tommy Fleetwood, Rory McIlroy
Dustin Johnson (DK: $11,900, FD $12,900)
Just like last week, Dustin Johnson is the highest priced golfer. This is justified as his course history is unreal here in recent years. Then why is he in my fade column this week you may ask? So last week, I used Jason Day as my anchor instead of DJ at Pebble Beach. Day ended up scoring just 2 fewer fantasy points than DJ but I was able to save $800 which allowed me to not dip into the 6k salary tier. This strategy could work again this week in GPPs. One last note, despite the announcers talking about how great Dustin Johnson’s short game has been, uncharacteristically he hit a lot of bad wedge shots last Sunday. He just looked uncomfortable and was clearly affected by the slow play. It could just be a bad day but it is worth mentioning.
Other Golfers To Consider: Jordan Spieth, Paul Casey
($8,900 to $7,700 on DraftKings)
Marc Leishman (DK:$8,700, FD: $11,000)
Marc Leishman has had a lot of success at this course. Australians, Koreans, and Japanese players have often said how much they enjoy this course. The conditions are very similar to what they are used to playing back home. Leishman is 27th in SG:Putting, 39th in Par 4 scoring, and 67th in SG: Tee To Green. He finished T5 at Riviera Country Club in 2016 and is in great recent form with 3 top 10s in his last 5 events.
Other Golfers To Consider: Chez Reavie, Thomas Pieters
Alex Noren (DK:$8,700, FD: $11,100)
Alex Noren has been impressive this year. We finally get a chance to see him play early in the season on the PGA tour. Tommy Fleetwood maybe the trendy European 1st timer this week but I don’t think we can ignore Alex Noren. He is 10th in SG:Tee To Green, 5th in SG: Approach The Green, and 39th in Par 4 scoring. He can definitely outscore his salary and I think he one of the lowest owned players in the 8k range on DraftKings.
Other Golfers To Consider: Xander Schauffele, Bubba Watson
Tiger Woods (DK: $8,800, FD:$9,300)
Any tournament with Tiger Woods teeing up just changes the entire atmosphere. He creates a buzz unlike any other. The bad news is that Tiger has never won this tournament and I don’t think this will be the week either. Hitting fairways was his biggest weakness at Torrey Pines. He will have to find them at a better rate than 30% to have any success at the Genesis Open. I am more than happy to sit back and just watch everyone who wants to play Tiger because he is Tiger this week.
Other Golfers To Consider: Tony Finau, Charl Schwartzel
(Below $7,600 and below on DraftKings)
Patrick Cantlay (DK:7,600, FD: $10,000)
Even with the deep field, it was surprising to see Patrick Cantlay at $7,600 on DraftKings. $8,600 was the previous low for Cantlay this season. Cantlay has been Mr. Consistent since coming back a year ago. He has made every cut and finished in the top 25 11 times. The only thing holding him back is his putting. He is currently ranked 147th in SG: Putting. But at only $7,600 on DraftKings, he is a safe play with big upside this week.
Other Golfers To Consider: Charles Howell III, Ollie Schniederjans
Charley Hoffman (DK:$7,400, FD: $9,300)
Charley Hoffman withdrew from the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am halfway thru round 3 with back issues. He is currently still planning to play this week but monitor his status. If he plays, I think ownership will low on him thanks to the injury news. The good news is that Hoffman has tremendous course history at Riviera CC missing the cut only once in the past 9 years. His best finish here was last year’s T4.
Other Golfers To Consider: James Hahn, Jason Kokrak, Sangmoon Bae
Adam Scott (DK: $7,400, FD: $10,000)
Despite the great course history at Riviera Country Club, I am taking a pass on Adam Scott this week. His price is very enticing, but his recent form has been terrible. Scott changed to a long putter in December but already changed back to a regular one last week. Despite missing the cut at Pebble, Scott is sticking with the traditional putter because he thinks it is the best decision in the long term. Any time a player is talking about long term prospects of their game, it is a red flag for me.
Other Golfers To Consider: Shane Lowry, Francesco Molinari
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