The Open - DFS Best Bets
July 17, 2017
By Austin Chen
The 146th Open Championship will be played at Royal Birkdale which is a par 70 measuring 7,156 yards. Players with a low ball flight and are accurate will have the best chance at scoring on this course. It is crucial to avoid bogeys and big numbers this week.
The winning score when the Open was last played at Royal Birkdale in 2008 was 3 over by Padrig Harrington. An interesting fact is that the average age of the last 6 Open Championships is 38 and a half years old. Always check the weather as we get closer to Thursday as heavy winds are very common at Open Championships.
Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
Par 4 Scoring Average
Before we break down the players to play for the Open Championship, everyone should go check out the RotoQL PGA Lineup Optimizer as it is a must when building your daily fantasy golf teams.
Players To Consider For The Open Championship
Justin Rose (DK:$10,300, FD: $8700)
I don't have to tell you that Justin Rose is a world class player. I am not worried about his missed cut at the US Open as it is historically his worst major even though he won the US Open in 2013. Rose bounced back with a 4th place finish at the Irish Open and is taking this week off to go to Royal Birkdale to prepare for the Open. He checks the boxes ranking 6th in Par 4 Birdie Or Better %, 10th in SG: Around The Class, and 12th in SG: Tee To Green. Justin Rose is my favorite player priced 10,000 and up on Draftkings. Las Vegas sees him as one of the favorites to win as at 25/1. Rose finished tied 4th as an amateur in 1998 and 70th in 2008 at the two previous Opens at Royal Birkdale.
Tommy Fleetwood (DK:$9,800, FD: $8100)
There may not be a hotter player in the world right now than Tommy Fleetwood. He has finished in the Top 10 in all of his last 4 events including a win at the French Open. Good things happen when Tommy Fleetwood makes the cut. He has finished outside the Top 12 only once out of the 12 cuts he made this season. The current leader of the Race To Dubai is 13th in Driving Accuracy and 2nd in Green In Regulation % on the European Tour. He will be a popular DFS play this week but for good reason.
Other Golfers To Consider: Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, Rickie Fowler
Mid Tier Plays
Phil Mickelson (DK:$8800, FD: $7,600)
Mickelson gave us a show last year at the Open with an opening 63. If not for Henrik Stenson's own 63 on Sunday, the Claret Jug would have belonged to Phil Mickelson. The Open Championship has been Mickelson's most successful major in recent years. He has finished 1st, T23, T20, and 2nd in his last 4 years. He is proof that age and experience is a real advantage at the Open. He may not have Bones on the bag anymore, but a T20 at the Greenbrier proved that Phil had no problem adapting to his brother as his new caddy. Perhaps he even had time for some falconry after a 64 on Sunday. Phil Mickelson is a great cash game target as well as a tournament play this week.
Paul Casey (DK:$8100, FD: $7,800)
After a slow start probably due to the change in equipment from Nike, Paul Casey has finished 26th or better in every tournament dating back to the Masters. Paul Casey finished T7th in 2008 at Royal Birkdale. I think he has a great chance to outperform his price. The season stats line up as he is 9th in SG: Tee To Green, 15th SG: Approach The Green, 7th SG: Around The Green, and 19th in Par 4 Birdie Or Better %. Paul Casey has the same odds as Phil Mickelson to win the Open at 50/1 but is $700 cheaper on Draftkings. Keep an eye on his ownership % predicted as Casey could go overlooked this week.
Other Golfers To Consider: Brendan Grace, Adam Scott, Louis Oosthuizen
Ian Poulter (DK:$7500, FD: $6,200)
Poulter is someone I would not have considered in the spring. His game has sharpened up since then with 7 consecutive cuts made including a T9 at the Scottish Open last week. Surprisingly, he is ranked11th in SG: Tee To Green, 6th SG: Approach The Green, 8th in Bogey Avoidance and 4th in Scrambling this season. Even his low ball flight is a fit for this course. Ian Poulter finished 2nd the last time the Open was played at Royal Birkdale. I think he is a great GPP play this week as other Brits like Rose, Westwood, and Fleetwood will be where the casual fans flock to.
Matt Kuchar (DK:$7200, FD: $7,500)
There are very few players as consistent as Matt Kuchar week in and week out. He has yet to close the deal on a major championship but this maybe the week. Royal Birkdale is a course that really suits his game. Kuchar checks all the key stats one looks for at this course. He is 12th in Bogey Avoidance, 9th in Scrambling, 36th in Driving Accuracy, and 26th in SG: Tee To Green. Matt Kuchar's favorable salary makes him a fantastic cash and GPP play this week.
Other Golfers To Consider: Bernd Wiesberger, Francesco Molinari, Si Woo Kim
Punt Plays (Below $7000)
Brandt Snedeker (DK:$6,800, FD: $7,100)
Snedeker is a real bargain especially on Draftkings for only $6800. He is priced as the 48th best player on Draftkings but has the 30th best odds to win the Open this week. If the weather gets very windy and nasty, there are few players who do better than Snedeker in those conditions. Snedeker has finished inside the top 22 in 3 of the past 5 Open Championships. Brandt Snedeker is having a great season with 5 Top 10 finishes already. He seems to be over the hand injury with a T9 at the US Open and a T14 at the Travelers Championship. The stats that popped for him are 16th SG: Around The Green, 23rd in Par 4 Scoring, 31st in SG: Putting and 51st in SG: Approach The Green.
Stewart Cink (DK:$6,300, FD: $5,500)
Cink is a former Open winner who is having a fantastic year. Cink has made 14 of 17 cuts with 2 Top 10 finishes. He checks the boxes stat wise in multiple categories. Cink is currently 11th SG: Approach The Green, 27th in SG: Putting, 5th in Par 4 Birdie or Better %, and 37th in SG: Tee To Green. Stewart Cink has made the cut in 7 of his last 9 Opens with 5 finishes inside the Top 30. He is the perfect player to take if you are trying to fit in multiple high dollar golfers. Taking Cink and Snedeker would leave you with an average salary of $9,150 per player on Draftkings.
Other Golfers To Consider: Jason Dufner, Brendan Steele, Bill Haas
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