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BMW Championship
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FedExCup Playoffs
BMW Championship
Conway Farms Golf Club – Par 71

After taking last week off, the FedEx Cup playoffs continue this week and we've really hit crunch time. After this week's BMW Championship it's the Tour Championship and one of the 70 remaining players in this week's field will be $10 million richer.

Guys will need to be in the Top 5 or so of the FedEx Cup standings to control their own destiny (for the most part) in next week's Tour Championship, and right now those five prestigious spots belong to Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama, and Jon Rahm.

All five of those guys are among the favorites to win this week according to oddsmakers and will likely see some support from bettors across the globe.

Conway Farms is hosting the BMW Championship for the third time, as it was the host for this event in 2013 and 2015. Weather conditions played a roll in both of those years as Zach Johnson (2013) and Jason Day (2015) claimed the title. In fact, Day finished T4 back in 2013 as well, so bettors looking for a true “horse for the course” guy should be looking the Australian's way.

At the top of the odds chart are Spieth (+600)and Dustin Johnson (+700), and while I do believe both are great bets this week, it's quite tough to get behind those odds. Granted, a bad first round is about the only scenario where those odds would worsen and in turn making it harder for that guy to come back and win, so if +600 and +700 are good enough for you to take two of the best golfers in the world right now who are both in terrific form – especially Spieth – by all means go ahead and fire. I do prefer backing Spieth over DJ simply from the perspective of approach shots being critical at this course and Spieth should have the edge there.

Aside from those two guys at the top, it's not hard to make a case for many of the guys in this stacked field, so let's get right to a few of them that present a bit more value in terms of lucrative price tags this week.

Odds per -

Golfers to Watch

Jon Rahm (+1200) – Spieth may be coming into the BMW with the best form after back-to-back runner-up finishes in these playoff events, but Jon Rahm isn't far behind. The young Spaniard has a T3 and T4 to his credit in these two playoff tournaments and would love to find himself in contention again this week. His length should be a plus over most of the field at this course, and the fact that he led this field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-tee and putting two weeks ago bodes well for his chances this week. If he can continue that play at both ends of each hole and dial in his approach game even more, we could see Rahm get his 3rd win of 2017.

Louis Oosthuizen (+4000) – Oosthuizen has been the mark of consistency for the better part of this year as he's always found a way to get into contention in the big events. At 24th in the FedEx Cup race, he's no lock to make it to the Tour Championship next week and needs a strong performance here to lock up his tee time. A T19 at this course in 2015 was his best result here, but he's got a T30, T10, and T2 the last three times he's teed it up on Tour and he'd love to put it all together and get back in the winners circle for the first time in awhile. His smooth stroke can handle any condition and any length of golf course and it would be shocking to not see Oosthuizen be in the mix come Sunday.

Sergio Garcia (+4000) – It's surprising to see Sergio's odds the same as Oosthuizen's, but when everyone remembers that he broke his putter in rage two weeks ago, chances are he's going to be on most people's “fade list” this week.

Sergio has had a tremendously draining year since he won the Masters, and breaking that putter in the 3rd round at TPC Boston might have actually been a great thing for him. It allowed him to vent in a way that had some real consequences, made him look a little foolish, and in turn set up a bit of a redemption story for him this week. The week off had to have helped as well, and at 34th in the FedEx Cup standings, Sergio is going to need to push forward to make it to next week.

There is no denying that Garcia has all the talent in the world when his game is on, and the bounce back round of 67 he had in the final round two weeks ago was a nice sign. With the tremendous years guys like Spieth, DJ, and Justin Thomas have had, Garcia's become a bit lost in the shuffle there and there is no better way to remind people of how great his year has been then with a victory this week.

BMW Championship -
Jordan Spieth +600
Dustin Johnson +700
Justin Thomas +1000
Rickie Fowler +1200
Jon Rahm +1200
Hideki Matsuyama +1400
Jason Day +1600
Paul Casey +1800
Rory McIlroy +2200
Henrik Stenson +2500
Brooks Koepka +2500
Patrick Reed +2800
Justin Rose +2800
Matt Kuchar +3300
Marc Leishman +4000
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
Sergio Garcia +4000
Patrick Cantlay +5000
Gary Woodland +5000
Kevin Chappell +6600
Daniel Berger +6600
Phil Mickelson +6600
Charley Hoffman +6600
Kevin Na +6600
Webb Simpson +6600
Zach Johnson +8000
Rafael Cabrera Bello +8000
Charl Schwartzel +10000
Francesco Molinari +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Tony Finau +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Jason Dufner +10000
Pat Perez +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Bill Haas +12500
Kyle Stanley +12500
Jhonattan Vegas +12500
Xander Schauffele +12500
Ian Poulter +12500

Odds Subject to Change

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