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Wells Fargo - Best Bets
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Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club – 7,554 yards – Par 71

A week before the unofficial “fifth” major tees off with the PLAYERS Championship, the PGA Tour finds itself back at Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina for the second time in 9 months after this was the site of last year's PGA Championship. This course returns to its normal spot on the PGA Tour schedule this week for the Wells Fargo Championship, but it's nowhere near the same course past winners of this event have experienced. That's why if you are a guy that's big into course history, taking a look at how the 2017 PGA Championship leaderboard finished – an event Justin Thomas won – is probably a better starting point.

Quail Hollow shouldn't be nearly as tough as the conditions the PGA Championship brought – it was rated the hardest course on Tour in 2017 – as the rough will be trimmed down and course set up won't be turned up to 11 on the dial being a non-major again. Still, this is a long track that has favored longer hitters in the past, and with the new layout on the front nine we saw at the PGA Championship, having length here is never a bad option.

Justin Thomas (+1000) used his length to win the final Major of 2017 here and comes in to this week's event as one of the favorites to win here again. Only past Wells Fargo champion Rory McIlroy (+700) has better odds, but there are guys who were close behind Thomas last year who are chasing him down on the odds list again. They include Rickie Fowler (+1000), who finished with a T5 here last August, Jason Day (+1800), who had a T9, Patrick Reed (+2000), finished T2, and Hideki Matsuyama (+2200), who was T5 as well.

And while there is one guy in that list who does make my golfers to watch list this week, I do believe there is some other value down the board as well. So let's get right to it and hopefully back this week's eventual winner.

Odds per -

Golfers to Watch

Jason Day (+1800) – Day may have finished T9 at the PGA last year, but he was really in control for the first 53 holes. A moronic brain cramp saw Day make mistake after mistake and compound the issue on #18 on Saturday in shooting a 3rd round 77, taking him out of the lead and basically out of the tournament. But while that one bad hole with multiple bad decisions cost him a shot at his 2nd Major, you've got to believe he's learned from those mistakes and is excited to have another crack at this track.

Day has all the length you need to excel at this course, proved he could score well in it's toughest conditions, and just has to avoid the blowout hole(s) this week to have a shot. There is much less pressure this time around given it's not a Major tournament, and +1800 odds for a guy that should have been leading after 54 holes here, I've got no problem backing him at the same (but easier) venue nine months later.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2800) – Fleetwood stormed onto the US Tour scene a year ago, and while he didn't exactly have the best finish here nine months ago (T61), a softening of conditions should suit his game quite well. Fleetwood is a great ball striker in the approach game and that's what you need to score at this course now, especially from distance. Nine of the 11 Par 4's on this course are 450+ yards, and with him filling up the strokes gained stats across the board outside of putting – he's Top 10 in strokes gained off the tee, around the green, tee to green, and total – this course could play right into Fleetwood's strengths if he's able to get the putter going.

Ollie Schniederjans (+8000) – Schniederjans did not play in the PGA Championship here last year, and getting cut in his only other appearance at the “old” Quail Hollow back in 2016 doesn't really hurt him either. Coming into this course with a fresh view isn't going to be a bad thing, especially when you consider it could actually be an advantage over many who have extensive experience at this event but also missed out on teeing it up at the 2017 PGA, ie Tiger Woods say....

Schniederjans isn't exactly the longest guy in the field which may hurt him a bit, but when you consider the 2017 PGA had guys like Francesco Molinari, Louis Oosthuizen, and Patrick Reed who aren't really known for their length, all finish T2, being a bomber might actually be a little overrated this week. If Schniederjans can find a way to pick it up off the tee, he's great at pretty much every other part of the game this year and that should be a strength at this event. In a tournament where the winning score should be in the -10 to -15 range, Schniederjans could find himself in contention on Sunday afternoon if everything goes well. At 80-1 odds, there are worse bets out there.

Odds to win Wells Fargo Championship - per
Rory McIlroy 7/1
Justin Thomas 10/1
Rickie Fowler 10/1
Jason Day 18/1
Patrick Reed 20/1
Phil Mickelson 22/1
Hideki Matsuyama 22/1
Tiger Woods 20/1
Paul Casey 22/1
Tony Finau 25/1
Tommy Fleetwood 28/1
Louis Oosthuizen 33/1
Webb Simpson 33/1
Chesson Hadley 33/1
Kevin Kisner 40/1
Alex Noren 40/1
Brooks Koepka 50/1
Bryson Dechambeau 50/1
Ryan Moore 50/1
Brian Harman 50/1
Daniel Berger 50/1
Byeong Hun An 66/1
Luke List 66/1
Russell Henley 66/1
Emiliano Grillo 66/1
Francesco Molinari 66/1
Adam Hadwin 66/1
Tyrrell Hatton 66/1
Kevin Streelman 66/1
Jason Dufner 66/1
Adam Scott 66/1
Gary Woodland 66/1
Xander Schauffele 66/1
Beau Hossler 80/1
Charles Howell III 80/1
Jamie Lovemark 80/1
Ollie Schniederjans 80/1
Sean OHair 80/1
Andrew Landry 80/1
Charl Schwartzel 80/1
J B Holmes 100/1
Bud Cauley 100/1
Shane Lowry 100/1
Kyle Stanley 100/1
Keegan Bradley 100/1
Dylan Frittelli 100/1
Grayson Murray 100/1
James Hahn 100/1
Bill Haas 100/1
Trey Mullinax 100/1
Lucas Glover 100/1

Odds Subject to Change

· News: Odds to win 2019 Masters
· Reed brings in Leadbetter for his swing
· Garrigus suspended for drug test
· Casey shares early lead at Innisbrook
· Pieters takes halfway lead at Maybank
· Na Yeon Choi shares Founders Cup lead
· Dahmen, Straka share lead at Innisbrook
· George W. Bush gets ace at Dallas course
· Fraser and Elvira share Maybank lead
Golf Expert Sports Picks - THE PLAYERS Championship
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