Valero Open - Matchup Bets
April 3, 2019
By Joe Williams
The PGA TOUR moves along to the Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio this week after the WGC-Dell Championship Match Play event and Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship las weekend.
Each week we'll take a look at the best round matchups to try and build up a nice bankroll.
Jason Kokrak (-125) vs. Jordan Spieth (-105): Spieth has been limping along and just hasn't been himself, while Kokrak made the cut in each of his 11 events this season, including three top-10 showings in each of his past four tournaments. He was 11th in this tournament in 2015, and 14th in 2013. Kokrak just seems to have a comfort level at this event, and he is playing much better lately, too.
Luke List (-135) vs. Lucas Bjerregaard (+105): List is a bomber off the tee, and that's an area which will help him at TPC San Antonio. He is third overall on the PGA Tour in Driving Distance at 313.2 yards, and a respectable 59th in Par 4 Scoring. Those two areas are key for success at the Par 72, 7,435-yard setup, especially if the winds are gusting on the wide-open course. You're going to need golfers with a little extra oomph.
Ryan Palmer (-110) vs. Daniel Berger (-120): Palmer missed the cut in his most recent showing at THE PLAYERS Championship. However, he has been very comfortable at TPC San Antonio in the past, including a sixth-place showing in 2017, a fourth-place finish in 2016 and an impressive sixth-place finish in the 2015 installment. Par 4 Scoring (3.93) is very important at this event, and he ranks sixth on Tour in that department, too. Palmer is a good bet.
Last event (Valspar): 4-0 (+400)
This season: 5-8-2 (-350)
Top 20 Finish - Jason Kokrak (+115): Kokrak has been a beast this season, going 11-for-11 on cuts made this season. He has been extremely consistent in the past at TPC San Antonio, making the cut in his past his past six appearance, including an 11th-place run in 2015.
Top 20 Finish - Ryan Palmer (+225): As mentioned above, Palmer has finished sixth or better in three of his past four finishes at this event.
Top 10 Finish - Ryan Palmer (+550): Palmer is worth a roll of the dice for a top-10 finish at this event, especially given his outstanding Birdie Average (4.72) and Par 4 Scoring Average this season.
Last week: 2-4 (+90)
This season: 6-12 (-273)
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