User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools
 
Joe Nelson - Blogs

Bio Page
BETWEEN THE LINES - SEP. 12

By Joe Nelson
Posted 09/12/2011 at 06:31 PM

With two games to go in the first week of the NFL season we have had three kick return touchdowns. The rule change moving kickoffs to the 35-yard line certainly created many more touchbacks with the intention of eliminating kickoff returns and the potential for injury on the high speed collision plays but all three return touchdowns were taken out of the end zone. Last season there were 23 kickoff return touchdowns but only seven came from out of the end zone for more than 100 yard returns. The unintended consequence of the new rule may actually create more of the epic end zone to end zone plays as coverage teams may anticipate touchbacks more frequently and there will be more room to maneuver on the plays when the kick returner takes the ball out of the end zone. It may have been a fluke result in week 1 and there may be adjustments to be made as teams become accustomed to the changes but more exciting kick return touchdowns is certainly not a bad thing from an entertainment standpoint.

 

The increase in touchbacks was expected to decrease scoring with teams forced to go longer distances on average but it also takes less time off the clock. The week 1 results produced an overwhelming run on the ‘over’ with 10 of the first 14 games playing ‘over’ the total. Three of the four ‘under’ games stayed below the closing number by less than four points and 30 points was the lowest score of any of the 14 games in the grind between Tennessee and Jacksonville. Only three teams failed to score double-digit points and surprisingly they were all division winners from last season. The most points were scored by the Super Bowl champion Packers but the biggest margin of victory belonged to the Buffalo Bills. Another surprise of the opening week was that in eight of 13 games where it applied, the team that had the worse record in 2010 won in the opening week.  On the early week lines, betting on the team that had the worse 2010 record would have left you with an 10-2-1 ATS record (Pittsburgh & Baltimore was the only match-up of teams that had the same 2010 record).

 

New head coaches also struggled with only Jim Harbaugh winning in a debut game on Sunday as the first year leaders went 1-5 S/U in six tries. On Monday night Denver and Oakland will give another mark in each column for the first year coaches with their new teams, though John Fox is a re-tread in Denver and several of the coaches did have interim games on their resume. Rookie QBs had a good showing with Andy Dalton playing well before leaving the game with an injury and Cincinnati was a winner. Cam Newton also impressed in a loss against Arizona as that game pushed on the spread. Veterans on new teams were less impressive with Kerry Collins, Donavan McNabb, Tarvaris Jackson, and Matt Hasselbeck all posting very poor games statistically and all being on the losing end of the final scoreboard. The lockout and the limited time to prepare with their new teams certainly makes sense as a compelling reason for the rough early transitions.

 

After one week there is no reason to overreact however. Last year Atlanta lost its opener but went 13-3. The Eagles lost but still won the NFC East and the Jets also started 0-1 before an AFC championship game run. Seven teams that went 8-8 or worse last season won in the opening week. The Titans, Giants, Seahawks, Redskins, and Texans had arguably the most impressive week 1 wins in 2010 and only Seattle at 7-9 made the postseason

 

The college schedule was without any huge national title implication games but there was certainly some excitement and the Notre Dame/Michigan finish will go down as one of the all-time greats. Alabama’s title hopes stayed on course passing an early season test at Penn State and the SEC featured two incredibly entertaining games as Auburn held off Mississippi State and South Carolina narrowly beat Georgia. There is a huge game this Saturday between Oklahoma and Florida State this week that will create waves at the top of the polls and couple of other top ten teams face games where there could be an upset risk, notably LSU, Stanford, Wisconsin, Boise State and Nebraska. It does not have the allure it had last season but Ohio State and Miami will face off in a primetime non-conference game and there will certainly be plenty of awkward things to talk about. On to this week’s slate….

BLOG ARCHIVES
04/13/2014 at 12:18 PM
Early Look at the B1G in 2014-15

04/07/2014 at 12:21 PM
NCAA Championship Keys

04/04/2014 at 04:49 PM
NIT Provides Springboard to NCAA Success

03/24/2014 at 05:18 PM
MLB 2014 Win Totals Bets

01/13/2014 at 05:35 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 13

01/06/2014 at 03:16 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 6

12/30/2013 at 05:48 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 30

12/23/2013 at 06:33 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 23

12/09/2013 at 05:33 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 9

12/02/2013 at 06:26 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 2

11/25/2013 at 05:49 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 25

11/20/2013 at 10:21 AM
Between the Lines - Nov. 18

11/11/2013 at 06:08 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 11

11/04/2013 at 06:33 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 4

10/28/2013 at 06:28 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 28

10/21/2013 at 05:16 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 21

10/15/2013 at 05:00 PM
Between the Lines: Oct. 14

10/10/2013 at 03:54 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 7

10/01/2013 at 06:26 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 30

09/23/2013 at 04:10 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 23

09/10/2013 at 02:33 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 9

09/03/2013 at 11:24 AM
Between the Lines - Sep. 2

08/30/2013 at 04:44 PM
Between the Lines - Aug. 26

08/15/2013 at 01:52 PM
Pretender or Contender: Arizona Diamondbacks

08/06/2013 at 05:46 PM
Pretender or Contender: Kansas City Royals

07/26/2013 at 09:29 AM
Pretender of Contender: Baltimore Orioles

07/23/2013 at 03:30 PM
Pretender or Contender: Philadelphia Phillies

07/19/2013 at 11:38 PM
Pretender or Contender: Cleveland Indians

04/12/2013 at 05:18 PM
Hot MLB Starts: AL Pretender or Contender?

03/27/2013 at 01:28 PM
2013 MLB Season Win Total Best Bets

03/14/2013 at 12:11 PM
Big Ten Tournament Snapshot

03/07/2013 at 02:02 PM
NCAA Tournament Long Shots

01/21/2013 at 06:35 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 21

01/17/2013 at 12:24 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 14

01/07/2013 at 06:31 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 7

12/18/2012 at 02:16 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 17

12/10/2012 at 06:08 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 10

12/03/2012 at 06:41 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 3

11/26/2012 at 06:11 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 26

11/20/2012 at 01:06 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 19

11/12/2012 at 06:32 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 12

11/06/2012 at 12:17 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 5

10/30/2012 at 04:31 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 29

10/23/2012 at 12:41 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 22

10/17/2012 at 04:45 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 15

10/09/2012 at 01:51 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 8

10/01/2012 at 05:15 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 1

09/25/2012 at 03:28 PM
Packers/Seahawks

09/24/2012 at 05:42 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 24

09/19/2012 at 05:52 PM
Between the Lins - Sep. 17

09/10/2012 at 07:10 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 10

09/03/2012 at 04:12 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 3

08/28/2012 at 02:28 PM
Between the Lines Aug. 27

08/21/2012 at 04:10 PM
Between the Lines - Aug. 20

08/16/2012 at 04:58 PM
Late Season MLB Sleepers

07/17/2012 at 04:46 PM
Four to Fade: American League

07/15/2012 at 09:04 PM
Four to Fade: National League

07/09/2012 at 05:08 PM
First Half MLB Awards

06/26/2012 at 01:09 PM
Hidden MLB Contenders

06/12/2012 at 04:44 PM
Big XII Football Early Look

05/26/2012 at 12:34 PM
Lucroy All Star Hurdles

05/24/2012 at 10:56 AM
Early Reaction on NFL Win Totals: 'UNDERS'

05/23/2012 at 03:03 PM
Early Reaction on NFL Win Totals: 'OVERS'

05/22/2012 at 03:14 PM
SEC West Football Early Look

05/17/2012 at 04:48 PM
SEC East Football: Early Look

02/28/2012 at 06:05 PM
NCAA Tournament Bid Thieves - Feb. 23

01/28/2012 at 12:56 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 30

01/16/2012 at 04:19 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 16

01/10/2012 at 04:42 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 10

01/03/2012 at 05:28 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 3

12/27/2011 at 04:13 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 26

12/14/2011 at 02:42 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 12

12/06/2011 at 04:55 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 5

11/14/2011 at 06:14 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 14

11/10/2011 at 11:11 AM
Between the Lines - Nov. 7

11/02/2011 at 02:38 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 31

10/10/2011 at 06:58 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 10

10/04/2011 at 06:17 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 3

09/27/2011 at 11:21 AM
Between the Lines - Sep. 26

09/19/2011 at 07:11 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 19

09/12/2011 at 06:31 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 12

09/05/2011 at 03:29 PM
Cincinnati Bengals Over 5.5

09/05/2011 at 03:29 PM
Cleveland Browns Over 6.5

09/04/2011 at 12:02 PM
Kansas City Chiefs Under 7.5

09/04/2011 at 11:57 AM
Washington Redskins Over 6.5

09/01/2011 at 05:13 PM
Thursday NCAA Trends

09/01/2011 at 01:05 PM
St. Louis Rames Under 7.5

09/01/2011 at 12:59 PM
New York Giants Under 9.5

08/23/2011 at 04:24 PM
Thome's Final Destination?

08/18/2011 at 11:40 AM
Thursday Preseason QB Rotations

08/09/2011 at 02:21 PM
Yankees/Red Sox Race

08/08/2011 at 06:13 PM
White Sox Opportunity

08/04/2011 at 01:14 PM
TIgers Pull Away in AL Central

08/03/2011 at 03:03 PM
Raising Arizona: D-Backs into 1st place

07/29/2011 at 09:28 AM
NFL Free Agent WR Options

07/25/2011 at 04:18 PM
NFC West Schedule Outlook

07/18/2011 at 05:09 PM
NFC East Schedule Outlook

07/13/2011 at 03:37 PM
2011 MLB Free Agent Steals

07/08/2011 at 03:17 PM
Conference USA West Schedule Outlook

07/05/2011 at 04:27 PM
2011 NL All Star Snubs

07/03/2011 at 02:00 PM
2011 AL All Star Snubs

07/01/2011 at 02:30 PM
Early NL MVP Candidates

06/29/2011 at 03:52 PM
Conference USA East Schedule Outlook

06/28/2011 at 05:15 PM
Mountain West Schedule Outlook

06/22/2011 at 03:53 PM
Big East Schedule Outlook

06/21/2011 at 02:55 PM
NL Cy Young Favorites

03/20/2011 at 08:49 PM
Charmed Life for Arizona

03/11/2011 at 02:03 PM
Conference Tournament Reaction

01/17/2011 at 05:33 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 17

01/13/2011 at 03:46 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 10

01/06/2011 at 01:29 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 3

12/27/2010 at 05:04 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 27

12/21/2010 at 03:26 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 20

12/14/2010 at 01:07 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 13

12/06/2010 at 11:03 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 6

11/30/2010 at 12:52 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 29

11/23/2010 at 02:47 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 22

11/16/2010 at 02:23 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 15

11/08/2010 at 10:47 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 8

11/02/2010 at 03:13 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 1

10/26/2010 at 01:24 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 25

10/19/2010 at 06:40 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 18

10/12/2010 at 11:04 AM
Between the Lines - Oct. 11

10/05/2010 at 12:42 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 4

09/28/2010 at 11:57 AM
Between the Lines - Sep. 27

09/20/2010 at 07:15 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 20

09/14/2010 at 11:43 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 12

09/07/2010 at 06:29 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 6

06/10/2010 at 01:17 PM
Upon Further Review...

06/03/2010 at 12:08 PM
Replay Time

04/15/2010 at 03:38 PM
NBA Series Wagers Round 1

03/20/2010 at 11:14 AM
Conference Strength Questions

03/18/2010 at 05:32 PM
Great Start to the NCAA Tournament

01/20/2010 at 03:44 PM
Football Final Four

01/11/2010 at 04:35 PM
Kicking Woes

12/08/2009 at 01:46 PM
BCS Match-Ups

12/02/2009 at 04:20 PM
AFC Playoff Chase

11/27/2009 at 12:20 PM
Between the Lines

11/20/2009 at 05:11 PM
4th and 2, up 6

11/11/2009 at 04:13 PM
Time to Score

10/21/2009 at 05:41 PM
BCS Reaction

10/15/2009 at 01:02 PM
Bronco Boom

09/25/2009 at 01:16 PM
Between the Lines

09/14/2009 at 05:50 PM
Big XII Bust

09/14/2009 at 05:49 PM
Big Ten Disaster?

08/19/2009 at 06:12 PM
Favre Scores for Minnesota

07/30/2009 at 03:28 PM
Time for Replay in Baseball

06/16/2009 at 03:20 PM
Championship Losers

06/10/2009 at 03:33 PM
Home Teams Shine

05/27/2009 at 03:01 PM
All-Star Manny

05/21/2009 at 03:52 PM
NBA Lotto

05/12/2009 at 04:22 PM
Early Big Ten Thoughts

05/07/2009 at 03:54 PM
Another Legend Falls

04/28/2009 at 02:58 PM
18-game NFL Schedule?

04/23/2009 at 02:54 PM
Early Season MLB Surprises

04/14/2009 at 01:44 PM
Early Season AL Thoughts

04/07/2009 at 12:55 PM
What was Izzo thinking?

04/01/2009 at 04:15 PM
West vs. East in the NBA

03/31/2009 at 04:48 PM
End of Madness

03/21/2009 at 11:58 AM
Familiar Upsets

03/12/2009 at 05:10 PM
Early Postseason Surprises

03/11/2009 at 05:31 PM
Impact of Conference Tourney Upsets

03/03/2009 at 12:21 PM
Celebrate Hockey

02/27/2009 at 04:41 PM
Spring Training

02/16/2009 at 03:06 PM
ACC Letdown in March

02/06/2009 at 02:09 PM
Dream Week at the Garden

02/02/2009 at 11:23 AM
Super Joke?

01/27/2009 at 03:43 PM
Best NBA team in '09?

01/23/2009 at 04:50 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 23

01/19/2009 at 03:36 PM
Super Bowl Long Shot?

01/12/2009 at 05:10 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 12

01/09/2009 at 06:24 PM
BCS Championship Thoughts

01/07/2009 at 12:35 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 5

12/30/2008 at 06:51 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 30

12/21/2008 at 04:11 PM
Between the Lines 12/19

12/15/2008 at 04:07 PM
Between the Lines 12/15

12/08/2008 at 06:06 PM
Between the Lines 12/8

12/03/2008 at 05:14 PM
Feeling Minnesota

12/01/2008 at 06:13 PM
Between the Lines 12/1

11/25/2008 at 01:23 PM
Between the Lines 11/24

11/19/2008 at 12:39 PM
Between the Lines 11/17

11/12/2008 at 03:22 PM
Between the Lines 11/10

11/03/2008 at 06:28 PM
Between the Lines 11/3

10/27/2008 at 06:52 PM
Between the Lines 10/27

10/20/2008 at 06:09 PM
Between the Lines 10/20

10/15/2008 at 01:09 PM
Between the Lines 10/13

10/09/2008 at 04:13 PM
Errors Dominate Dvision Series Games

10/06/2008 at 05:30 PM
Between the Lines 10/6

09/29/2008 at 05:06 PM
Between the Lines 9/29

09/24/2008 at 05:31 PM
Between the Lines 9/22

09/18/2008 at 11:27 PM
Huge Win for the Twins

09/17/2008 at 12:14 PM
Between the Lines

09/13/2008 at 09:57 AM
Big East Victory?

09/07/2008 at 01:04 PM
Puzzling Box Scores

09/02/2008 at 04:56 PM
Redemption for UCLA

08/25/2008 at 06:25 PM
K-Rod to 50

08/19/2008 at 03:23 PM
Opportunity in the AFC?

08/13/2008 at 01:38 PM
Great Playoff Chase Ahead

08/10/2008 at 09:23 PM
No Woods, No Problem

08/04/2008 at 02:51 PM
Manny Mania in LA

07/30/2008 at 03:21 PM
Twins & Cards Keep Fighting

07/18/2008 at 12:02 PM
Royal Birkdale Miracle

07/12/2008 at 11:44 AM
Trouble in Titletown

07/10/2008 at 12:15 PM
NL Central Arms Race

06/25/2008 at 02:09 PM
AL Continues to Shine

06/20/2008 at 05:01 PM
American League Wins Again...

06/10/2008 at 12:26 PM
Huge NBA Finals Spread

06/03/2008 at 01:34 PM
Joba to the Rescue?

05/23/2008 at 02:07 PM
Draft Lottery or League Mockery?

05/15/2008 at 02:36 PM
1st Quarter MLB Outlook

05/12/2008 at 01:17 PM
Pass the Mayo

04/30/2008 at 12:57 PM
NBA Playoff Surprises

04/24/2008 at 01:46 PM
Cheer for the D-League

04/15/2008 at 02:24 PM
4-Way tie in the West?

04/09/2008 at 12:31 PM
Fantastic NCAA Final, MLB Surprises

03/31/2008 at 11:31 AM
Whirlwind Weekend

03/28/2008 at 02:27 PM
Sweet 16

03/24/2008 at 06:29 PM
Weekend Recap

03/20/2008 at 07:18 PM
Thursday Day Games

03/17/2008 at 03:32 PM
Concerns About UCLA

03/12/2008 at 03:21 PM
Bubble Picture

03/10/2008 at 07:18 PM
The Legend Finally Ends

03/03/2008 at 04:39 PM
Early Conference Tournament Edge

02/27/2008 at 02:50 PM
State of Basketball

02/25/2008 at 05:03 PM
#1 Upset Coming, Again?

02/18/2008 at 12:18 PM
Kidd Deal Finally Done?

02/13/2008 at 06:45 PM
Overtime Nightmare

02/07/2008 at 04:30 PM
Devils and Badgers Earn Big Road Wins

02/04/2008 at 01:25 PM
Super Bowl for the Ages

01/31/2008 at 02:28 PM
#2 Falls + NBA Trade Rumors

01/30/2008 at 12:46 PM
Stealing an Ace

01/29/2008 at 02:25 PM
UConn on a Roll, Hornets Keep Winning

01/28/2008 at 01:43 PM
Big East Displays Dominance

01/24/2008 at 02:13 PM
The Diminishing Weight of Retiring Numbers

01/21/2008 at 12:00 PM
Championship Recap

01/16/2008 at 02:41 PM
The Beginning of the End for Dallas?

01/14/2008 at 05:09 PM
Peyton Back to Normal?

01/04/2008 at 02:23 PM
Big Ten vs. the SEC

01/03/2008 at 10:28 AM
The Decline of the Sooners

01/02/2008 at 10:41 AM
New Year's Day - just not what it used to be.

12/21/2007 at 08:00 PM
Between the Lines 12/21...

12/17/2007 at 03:40 PM
Between the Lines 12/17

12/03/2007 at 05:37 PM
Between the Lines 12/3

11/29/2007 at 06:56 PM
Between the Lines...11/26

11/12/2007 at 06:12 PM
Between the Lines... 11/12

11/03/2007 at 11:30 AM
Between the Lines 10/29

10/26/2007 at 01:30 PM
Between the Lines 10/22

10/19/2007 at 12:07 PM
Between the Lines 10/15...

10/12/2007 at 01:38 PM
Between the Lines 10/8...

10/05/2007 at 06:49 PM
Between the Lines 10/1

09/26/2007 at 02:28 PM
Between the Lines 9/24

09/21/2007 at 01:15 PM
Between the Lines 9/17

09/13/2007 at 11:50 AM
Between the Lines 9/10

09/05/2007 at 03:13 PM
9/3 Between the Lines...

08/23/2007 at 05:05 PM
Draft Day for the rest of us.

08/15/2007 at 04:24 PM
NL Central Heats Up?

08/08/2007 at 06:00 PM
756, finally.