User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
More
Betting Tools
 
Joe Nelson - Blogs

Bio Page
EARLY REACTION ON NFL WIN TOTALS: 'OVERS'

By Joe Nelson
Posted 05/23/2012 at 03:03 PM

This week Cantor Gaming has opened the doors on NFL win total wagering for the 2012 season. This may be the earliest that NFL win totals have ever been released, a welcome change from the extremely late release last season with the impact of the lockout. While there certainly will be pricing adjustments to the requisite juice involved, books are pretty hesitant to move the core numbers. A lot can change before opening kickoff in September but as of late May here are five teams that Iíd be inclined to consider the Ďoverí on this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OVER 6): The Bucs finished 4-12 in 2011 but this is a team that opened the year 4-2 and then in the next four weeks played very competitive games with some of the best teams in the league, suffering close losses to Chicago, New Orleans, and Green Bay. The losing took its toll and coupled with injuries this is a team that clearly quit on the season, eventually costing Coach Morris his job. Greg Schiano inherits a decent amount of returning talent and the Bucs have been aggressive this offseason with some nice additions. The NFC South could be a bit down this season with the issues in New Orleans, an Atlanta team that appears to have hit a plateau, and a Carolina team facing a brutal schedule that could lead to a sophomore slump for Cam Newton. Tampa Bay faces no home games outside of the division against teams that made the playoffs last year and Bucs only play two games against teams that had a winning record last year in the first ten games of the season.

St. Louis Rams (OVER 6): The Rams were considered playoff sleepers entering last season as in 2010 St. Louis produced an encouraging 7-9 season. 2011 was nothing short of a disaster at 2-14 and the team cleaned house with veteran coach Jeff Fisher taking over. The Rams had an absolutely brutal first half schedule last season and a much better start should be possible with this yearís slate. St. Louis will only play one 2011 playoff team in the first six games of the season and drawing Washington and Tampa Bay as part of the fourth place schedule also gives the Rams a big edge over the match-ups that the rest of the division will face. The division as a whole should also be one of the weaker divisions in the league. Some regression should be expected from San Francisco and there are still huge question marks for Seattle and Arizona, particularly at QB. Five losses came by seven or fewer points last season and it wonít take much to deliver a greatly improved record in St. Louis.

Buffalo Bills (OVER 7): The Bills started out hot last season before fizzling and eventually finishing 6-10. Buffalo will get to play a fourth place schedule again this season which means they draw Cleveland and Kansas City in addition to the four AFC South teams. That makes for five winnable games alone on the schedule for Buffalo and this is a team that went just 1-5 in the division last season with that win coming against the Patriots. A slight improvement in the division standings and splitting the four games with the NFC West teams and the Bills have a pretty promising outlook for the 2012 season. Not to mention that Buffalo made some massive upgrades on defense and also should have Fred Jackson healthy again as well as more experience for an emerging offense. New England certainly looks like the team to beat in the East and perhaps the AFC but the Jets and Dolphins certainly do not look like significantly improved teams and both could certainly get derailed by QB controversies, leaving an opportunity for the Bills.

Atlanta Falcons (OVER 9): Not too many people associated with the Falcons would have a lot of positive things to say looking back at last season yet the Falcons were 10-6 and made the playoffs, losing to the eventual Super Bowl champions. Atlanta was a solid defensive team last year particularly against the run and there is great balance on offense even though the running game had a disappointing year. The Falcons went just 3-3 in the division last year and had to face a first place schedule following the strong 2010 season. The schedule is much more favorable this season. The Falcons get to play the four teams in a very mediocre AFC West as well as the four teams in what was a mediocre NFC East. The Falcons also avoid Green Bay and San Francisco, the top two teams in the NFC last season. The division looks solid top to bottom but New Orleans could certainly struggle given the rocky offseason and Carolina and Tampa Bay certainly have question marks. Atlanta wonít play a team that had a winning record last season until week 10 so this is a team that could definitely get on an early season roll.

Pittsburgh Steelers (OVER 10): The early exit from the playoffs at the hands of Tim Tebow is the lasting memory of the 2011 season for Pittsburgh but donít forget that this team went 12-4 in the regular season. They lost both regular season meetings with Baltimore for the first time since 2006 and the other two losses came in tight games against two of the best teams in the league Houston and San Francisco. Statistically Pittsburgh had the best pass defense in the NFL, something critically important in this day and age and the offense was a lot more productive than the teamís reputation suggests. The benefit of finishing second in the division last year is that the Steelers donít play Houston or New England, a pretty huge advantage given that those two teams will be two of the AFC favorites. Pittsburgh gets to play all four AFC West teams as well as all four NFC East teams, a group of eight teams that featured one team with a winning record last season. Cincinnati feels like a team that will step back this season and the Browns donít figure to make a big jump, so a strong division record is again likely and the Steelers could emerge as one of the top seeds in the AFC.

 

BLOG ARCHIVES
08/25/2014 at 01:51 PM
Between the Lines - Aug. 25

08/25/2014 at 01:50 PM
4th Quarter Covers Ė Preseason Week 3:

08/20/2014 at 06:16 PM
NCAA Playoff Prediction

08/05/2014 at 07:20 PM
Between the Lines - Aug. 5

06/25/2014 at 01:19 PM
MLB Second Half Contenders

04/13/2014 at 12:18 PM
Early Look at the B1G in 2014-15

04/07/2014 at 12:21 PM
NCAA Championship Keys

04/04/2014 at 04:49 PM
NIT Provides Springboard to NCAA Success

03/24/2014 at 05:18 PM
MLB 2014 Win Totals Bets

01/13/2014 at 05:35 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 13

01/06/2014 at 03:16 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 6

12/30/2013 at 05:48 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 30

12/23/2013 at 06:33 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 23

12/09/2013 at 05:33 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 9

12/02/2013 at 06:26 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 2

11/25/2013 at 05:49 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 25

11/20/2013 at 10:21 AM
Between the Lines - Nov. 18

11/11/2013 at 06:08 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 11

11/04/2013 at 06:33 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 4

10/28/2013 at 06:28 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 28

10/21/2013 at 05:16 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 21

10/15/2013 at 05:00 PM
Between the Lines: Oct. 14

10/10/2013 at 03:54 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 7

10/01/2013 at 06:26 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 30

09/23/2013 at 04:10 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 23

09/10/2013 at 02:33 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 9

09/03/2013 at 11:24 AM
Between the Lines - Sep. 2

08/30/2013 at 04:44 PM
Between the Lines - Aug. 26

08/15/2013 at 01:52 PM
Pretender or Contender: Arizona Diamondbacks

08/06/2013 at 05:46 PM
Pretender or Contender: Kansas City Royals

07/26/2013 at 09:29 AM
Pretender of Contender: Baltimore Orioles

07/23/2013 at 03:30 PM
Pretender or Contender: Philadelphia Phillies

07/19/2013 at 11:38 PM
Pretender or Contender: Cleveland Indians

04/12/2013 at 05:18 PM
Hot MLB Starts: AL Pretender or Contender?

03/27/2013 at 01:28 PM
2013 MLB Season Win Total Best Bets

03/14/2013 at 12:11 PM
Big Ten Tournament Snapshot

03/07/2013 at 02:02 PM
NCAA Tournament Long Shots

01/21/2013 at 06:35 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 21

01/17/2013 at 12:24 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 14

01/07/2013 at 06:31 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 7

12/18/2012 at 02:16 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 17

12/10/2012 at 06:08 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 10

12/03/2012 at 06:41 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 3

11/26/2012 at 06:11 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 26

11/20/2012 at 01:06 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 19

11/12/2012 at 06:32 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 12

11/06/2012 at 12:17 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 5

10/30/2012 at 04:31 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 29

10/23/2012 at 12:41 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 22

10/17/2012 at 04:45 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 15

10/09/2012 at 01:51 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 8

10/01/2012 at 05:15 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 1

09/25/2012 at 03:28 PM
Packers/Seahawks

09/24/2012 at 05:42 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 24

09/19/2012 at 05:52 PM
Between the Lins - Sep. 17

09/10/2012 at 07:10 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 10

09/03/2012 at 04:12 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 3

08/28/2012 at 02:28 PM
Between the Lines Aug. 27

08/21/2012 at 04:10 PM
Between the Lines - Aug. 20

08/16/2012 at 04:58 PM
Late Season MLB Sleepers

07/17/2012 at 04:46 PM
Four to Fade: American League

07/15/2012 at 09:04 PM
Four to Fade: National League

07/09/2012 at 05:08 PM
First Half MLB Awards

06/26/2012 at 01:09 PM
Hidden MLB Contenders

06/12/2012 at 04:44 PM
Big XII Football Early Look

05/26/2012 at 12:34 PM
Lucroy All Star Hurdles

05/24/2012 at 10:56 AM
Early Reaction on NFL Win Totals: 'UNDERS'

05/23/2012 at 03:03 PM
Early Reaction on NFL Win Totals: 'OVERS'

05/22/2012 at 03:14 PM
SEC West Football Early Look

05/17/2012 at 04:48 PM
SEC East Football: Early Look

02/28/2012 at 06:05 PM
NCAA Tournament Bid Thieves - Feb. 23

01/28/2012 at 12:56 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 30

01/16/2012 at 04:19 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 16

01/10/2012 at 04:42 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 10

01/03/2012 at 05:28 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 3

12/27/2011 at 04:13 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 26

12/14/2011 at 02:42 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 12

12/06/2011 at 04:55 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 5

11/14/2011 at 06:14 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 14

11/10/2011 at 11:11 AM
Between the Lines - Nov. 7

11/02/2011 at 02:38 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 31

10/10/2011 at 06:58 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 10

10/04/2011 at 06:17 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 3

09/27/2011 at 11:21 AM
Between the Lines - Sep. 26

09/19/2011 at 07:11 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 19

09/12/2011 at 06:31 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 12

09/05/2011 at 03:29 PM
Cincinnati Bengals Over 5.5

09/05/2011 at 03:29 PM
Cleveland Browns Over 6.5

09/04/2011 at 12:02 PM
Kansas City Chiefs Under 7.5

09/04/2011 at 11:57 AM
Washington Redskins Over 6.5

09/01/2011 at 05:13 PM
Thursday NCAA Trends

09/01/2011 at 01:05 PM
St. Louis Rames Under 7.5

09/01/2011 at 12:59 PM
New York Giants Under 9.5

08/23/2011 at 04:24 PM
Thome's Final Destination?

08/18/2011 at 11:40 AM
Thursday Preseason QB Rotations

08/09/2011 at 02:21 PM
Yankees/Red Sox Race

08/08/2011 at 06:13 PM
White Sox Opportunity

08/04/2011 at 01:14 PM
TIgers Pull Away in AL Central

08/03/2011 at 03:03 PM
Raising Arizona: D-Backs into 1st place

07/29/2011 at 09:28 AM
NFL Free Agent WR Options

07/25/2011 at 04:18 PM
NFC West Schedule Outlook

07/18/2011 at 05:09 PM
NFC East Schedule Outlook

07/13/2011 at 03:37 PM
2011 MLB Free Agent Steals

07/08/2011 at 03:17 PM
Conference USA West Schedule Outlook

07/05/2011 at 04:27 PM
2011 NL All Star Snubs

07/03/2011 at 02:00 PM
2011 AL All Star Snubs

07/01/2011 at 02:30 PM
Early NL MVP Candidates

06/29/2011 at 03:52 PM
Conference USA East Schedule Outlook

06/28/2011 at 05:15 PM
Mountain West Schedule Outlook

06/22/2011 at 03:53 PM
Big East Schedule Outlook

06/21/2011 at 02:55 PM
NL Cy Young Favorites

03/20/2011 at 08:49 PM
Charmed Life for Arizona

03/11/2011 at 02:03 PM
Conference Tournament Reaction

01/17/2011 at 05:33 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 17

01/13/2011 at 03:46 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 10

01/06/2011 at 01:29 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 3

12/27/2010 at 05:04 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 27

12/21/2010 at 03:26 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 20

12/14/2010 at 01:07 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 13

12/06/2010 at 11:03 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 6

11/30/2010 at 12:52 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 29

11/23/2010 at 02:47 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 22

11/16/2010 at 02:23 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 15

11/08/2010 at 10:47 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 8

11/02/2010 at 03:13 PM
Between the Lines - Nov. 1

10/26/2010 at 01:24 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 25

10/19/2010 at 06:40 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 18

10/12/2010 at 11:04 AM
Between the Lines - Oct. 11

10/05/2010 at 12:42 PM
Between the Lines - Oct. 4

09/28/2010 at 11:57 AM
Between the Lines - Sep. 27

09/20/2010 at 07:15 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 20

09/14/2010 at 11:43 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 12

09/07/2010 at 06:29 PM
Between the Lines - Sep. 6

06/10/2010 at 01:17 PM
Upon Further Review...

06/03/2010 at 12:08 PM
Replay Time

04/15/2010 at 03:38 PM
NBA Series Wagers Round 1

03/20/2010 at 11:14 AM
Conference Strength Questions

03/18/2010 at 05:32 PM
Great Start to the NCAA Tournament

01/20/2010 at 03:44 PM
Football Final Four

01/11/2010 at 04:35 PM
Kicking Woes

12/08/2009 at 01:46 PM
BCS Match-Ups

12/02/2009 at 04:20 PM
AFC Playoff Chase

11/27/2009 at 12:20 PM
Between the Lines

11/20/2009 at 05:11 PM
4th and 2, up 6

11/11/2009 at 04:13 PM
Time to Score

10/21/2009 at 05:41 PM
BCS Reaction

10/15/2009 at 01:02 PM
Bronco Boom

09/25/2009 at 01:16 PM
Between the Lines

09/14/2009 at 05:50 PM
Big XII Bust

09/14/2009 at 05:49 PM
Big Ten Disaster?

08/19/2009 at 06:12 PM
Favre Scores for Minnesota

07/30/2009 at 03:28 PM
Time for Replay in Baseball

06/16/2009 at 03:20 PM
Championship Losers

06/10/2009 at 03:33 PM
Home Teams Shine

05/27/2009 at 03:01 PM
All-Star Manny

05/21/2009 at 03:52 PM
NBA Lotto

05/12/2009 at 04:22 PM
Early Big Ten Thoughts

05/07/2009 at 03:54 PM
Another Legend Falls

04/28/2009 at 02:58 PM
18-game NFL Schedule?

04/23/2009 at 02:54 PM
Early Season MLB Surprises

04/14/2009 at 01:44 PM
Early Season AL Thoughts

04/07/2009 at 12:55 PM
What was Izzo thinking?

04/01/2009 at 04:15 PM
West vs. East in the NBA

03/31/2009 at 04:48 PM
End of Madness

03/21/2009 at 11:58 AM
Familiar Upsets

03/12/2009 at 05:10 PM
Early Postseason Surprises

03/11/2009 at 05:31 PM
Impact of Conference Tourney Upsets

03/03/2009 at 12:21 PM
Celebrate Hockey

02/27/2009 at 04:41 PM
Spring Training

02/16/2009 at 03:06 PM
ACC Letdown in March

02/06/2009 at 02:09 PM
Dream Week at the Garden

02/02/2009 at 11:23 AM
Super Joke?

01/27/2009 at 03:43 PM
Best NBA team in '09?

01/23/2009 at 04:50 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 23

01/19/2009 at 03:36 PM
Super Bowl Long Shot?

01/12/2009 at 05:10 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 12

01/09/2009 at 06:24 PM
BCS Championship Thoughts

01/07/2009 at 12:35 PM
Between the Lines - Jan. 5

12/30/2008 at 06:51 PM
Between the Lines - Dec. 30

12/21/2008 at 04:11 PM
Between the Lines 12/19

12/15/2008 at 04:07 PM
Between the Lines 12/15

12/08/2008 at 06:06 PM
Between the Lines 12/8

12/03/2008 at 05:14 PM
Feeling Minnesota

12/01/2008 at 06:13 PM
Between the Lines 12/1

11/25/2008 at 01:23 PM
Between the Lines 11/24

11/19/2008 at 12:39 PM
Between the Lines 11/17

11/12/2008 at 03:22 PM
Between the Lines 11/10

11/03/2008 at 06:28 PM
Between the Lines 11/3

10/27/2008 at 06:52 PM
Between the Lines 10/27

10/20/2008 at 06:09 PM
Between the Lines 10/20

10/15/2008 at 01:09 PM
Between the Lines 10/13

10/09/2008 at 04:13 PM
Errors Dominate Dvision Series Games

10/06/2008 at 05:30 PM
Between the Lines 10/6

09/29/2008 at 05:06 PM
Between the Lines 9/29

09/24/2008 at 05:31 PM
Between the Lines 9/22

09/18/2008 at 11:27 PM
Huge Win for the Twins

09/17/2008 at 12:14 PM
Between the Lines

09/13/2008 at 09:57 AM
Big East Victory?

09/07/2008 at 01:04 PM
Puzzling Box Scores

09/02/2008 at 04:56 PM
Redemption for UCLA

08/25/2008 at 06:25 PM
K-Rod to 50

08/19/2008 at 03:23 PM
Opportunity in the AFC?

08/13/2008 at 01:38 PM
Great Playoff Chase Ahead

08/10/2008 at 09:23 PM
No Woods, No Problem

08/04/2008 at 02:51 PM
Manny Mania in LA

07/30/2008 at 03:21 PM
Twins & Cards Keep Fighting

07/18/2008 at 12:02 PM
Royal Birkdale Miracle

07/12/2008 at 11:44 AM
Trouble in Titletown

07/10/2008 at 12:15 PM
NL Central Arms Race

06/25/2008 at 02:09 PM
AL Continues to Shine

06/20/2008 at 05:01 PM
American League Wins Again...

06/10/2008 at 12:26 PM
Huge NBA Finals Spread

06/03/2008 at 01:34 PM
Joba to the Rescue?

05/23/2008 at 02:07 PM
Draft Lottery or League Mockery?

05/15/2008 at 02:36 PM
1st Quarter MLB Outlook

05/12/2008 at 01:17 PM
Pass the Mayo

04/30/2008 at 12:57 PM
NBA Playoff Surprises

04/24/2008 at 01:46 PM
Cheer for the D-League

04/15/2008 at 02:24 PM
4-Way tie in the West?

04/09/2008 at 12:31 PM
Fantastic NCAA Final, MLB Surprises

03/31/2008 at 11:31 AM
Whirlwind Weekend

03/28/2008 at 02:27 PM
Sweet 16

03/24/2008 at 06:29 PM
Weekend Recap

03/20/2008 at 07:18 PM
Thursday Day Games

03/17/2008 at 03:32 PM
Concerns About UCLA

03/12/2008 at 03:21 PM
Bubble Picture

03/10/2008 at 07:18 PM
The Legend Finally Ends

03/03/2008 at 04:39 PM
Early Conference Tournament Edge

02/27/2008 at 02:50 PM
State of Basketball

02/25/2008 at 05:03 PM
#1 Upset Coming, Again?

02/18/2008 at 12:18 PM
Kidd Deal Finally Done?

02/13/2008 at 06:45 PM
Overtime Nightmare

02/07/2008 at 04:30 PM
Devils and Badgers Earn Big Road Wins

02/04/2008 at 01:25 PM
Super Bowl for the Ages

01/31/2008 at 02:28 PM
#2 Falls + NBA Trade Rumors

01/30/2008 at 12:46 PM
Stealing an Ace

01/29/2008 at 02:25 PM
UConn on a Roll, Hornets Keep Winning

01/28/2008 at 01:43 PM
Big East Displays Dominance

01/24/2008 at 02:13 PM
The Diminishing Weight of Retiring Numbers

01/21/2008 at 12:00 PM
Championship Recap

01/16/2008 at 02:41 PM
The Beginning of the End for Dallas?

01/14/2008 at 05:09 PM
Peyton Back to Normal?

01/04/2008 at 02:23 PM
Big Ten vs. the SEC

01/03/2008 at 10:28 AM
The Decline of the Sooners

01/02/2008 at 10:41 AM
New Year's Day - just not what it used to be.

12/21/2007 at 08:00 PM
Between the Lines 12/21...

12/17/2007 at 03:40 PM
Between the Lines 12/17

12/03/2007 at 05:37 PM
Between the Lines 12/3

11/29/2007 at 06:56 PM
Between the Lines...11/26

11/12/2007 at 06:12 PM
Between the Lines... 11/12

11/03/2007 at 11:30 AM
Between the Lines 10/29

10/26/2007 at 01:30 PM
Between the Lines 10/22

10/19/2007 at 12:07 PM
Between the Lines 10/15...

10/12/2007 at 01:38 PM
Between the Lines 10/8...

10/05/2007 at 06:49 PM
Between the Lines 10/1

09/26/2007 at 02:28 PM
Between the Lines 9/24

09/21/2007 at 01:15 PM
Between the Lines 9/17

09/13/2007 at 11:50 AM
Between the Lines 9/10

09/05/2007 at 03:13 PM
9/3 Between the Lines...

08/23/2007 at 05:05 PM
Draft Day for the rest of us.

08/15/2007 at 04:24 PM
NL Central Heats Up?

08/08/2007 at 06:00 PM
756, finally.