Posted 10/17/2012 at 04:45 PM
The NFC continues to dominate the AFC, now 19-9 S/U in head-to-head match-ups. Heading into Monday night there are only three winning AFC teams compared to seven in the NFC. Last week the AFC got wins from Baltimore and Miami despite badly losing the yardage battle in those games and in the big Sunday night showcase game Houston was dismantled by the 3-3 Packers. Through six weeks only Atlanta is left undefeated and the Browns got into the win column as there will be no 0-16 alert this season.
Underdogs continue to dominate in the NFL with a 56-32-2 ATS record for nearly 64% winners. Dogs were 11-2 last week heading into Monday night as only the Jets and Buccaneers were able to win and cover as favorites. Road favorites were 0-4 S/U and ATS last week and road favorites are just 14-18 S/U this season. Home underdogs have cashed at a nearly 68 percent clip so far this season ATS.
Only five of last year’s 12 NFL playoff teams currently sits with a winning record as the typical NFL turnover continues. The two teams with highest season win total marks, New England and Green Bay, both posted at 12, both sit at 3-3 and anyone on the over will need a 10-0 finish from those squads to cash those tickets. While Cleveland and Jacksonville are struggling among the teams that had the lowest expectations, teams like St. Louis, Minnesota, Indianapolis, and Tampa Bay all appear in line for improved seasons based on the early returns.
The first BCS standings offered no real surprises as Florida was going to get great computer numbers with a 5-0 SEC start. There will be continued attrition among the unbeaten teams in the SEC with South Carolina falling last week. Alabama and Mississippi State play in two weeks and Florida has extremely tough games the next two weeks with SEC East rivals South Carolina and Georgia. While four SEC teams are in the top seven of the initial BCS standings it is pretty unlikely that we’ll have another SEC vs. SEC championship game.
It will be impossible for more than one SEC team to end up undefeated and it might be unlikely for any team to make it. Alabama has not been tested yet and will be going through very tough games the next few weeks and the East champion will have a good shot to win this year despite being the lesser division in recent years. The Pac-12 and Big XII both appear poised to put either an undefeated team or a viable one-loss team in the mix this season.
Notre Dame has been a fun story this year but it is very unlikely that the Irish can stay unbeaten with some very tough games coming up after the narrow escape last week. Don’t forget about Florida State in the ACC as the Seminoles should cruise through the rest of the conference slate and will have a chance to get a ratings boost late if they can beat Florida. Best of Luck, on to this week’s slate…