Posted 07/18/2016 at 07:05 PM
Most offshore books sent out odds for several UFC 202 bouts this past weekend. 5Dimes opened Demian Maia as a -130 favorite vs. Carlos Condit, who is coming off a split-decision loss to Robbie Lawler that remains a prime candidate for Fight of the Year honors.
The number on Maia quickly shot up to -185, but it was back down at -130 one-half hour later and remained there Monday afternoon. 'The Natural Born Killer' is available at a -110 price.
Maia will bring a five-fight winning streak into the Octagon to face Condit, who is currently ranked fifth in the loop. The third-ranked Maia is off a third-round submission win over Matt Brown at UFC 198.
Stephen 'Wonderboy' Thompson is first in line for the next shot at the belt currently held by Robbie Lawler, who defends his strap in the UFC 201 main event at Philips Arena in Atlanta on July 30. The Condit-Maia winner will be next on the doorstep of a shot at the welterweight championship.
The 202 show at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Aug. 20 will be headlined by McGregor-Diaz II. Conor McGregor's odds have moved from -115 or -120 up to -130 or -135 at most offshores in the last two weeks. Gamblers can get a +110 return on Nate at William Hill and a few other spots.
Diaz submitted 'The Notorious' in the second round of their first meeting at UFC 196. They will collide at welterweight again like the first encounter when Diaz took the fight on less than two weeks of notice.
Donald 'Cowboy' Cerrone is fighting at 170 pounds for a third straight time on the main card of UFC 202. He is a -185 'chalk' against Rick 'The Horror' Story, who is the +145 underdog (risk $100 to win $145). The total is 2.5 rounds shaded heavily to the 'over,' which sparks my interest in the 'under' for a +140 return.
Cerrone has won back-to-back fights at welterweight since moving up after his loss to Rafael dos Anjos for the lightweight strap at UFC Orlando last December. He has bagged a pair of Performance of the Night bonuses in wins over Alex Oliveira by first-round submission and Patrick Cote via third-round TKO.