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Dave Cokin - About Me

Smokin' Dave Cokin continues to make history as one of the nation's top sports gaming analysts of all time. Dave's reputation as the ultimate college sports insider expands by the year. His coveted Sunday night early college football plays literally move the number as soon as they're released and there are few analysts who can equal his big play record over the years.

"The Cat in the Hat" also has the loftiest media credentials in the handicapping industry. Dave was voted as the 2004 and 2006 Nevada Sportscaster of the Year by the National Sportswriters and Sportscasters Association. He's been a radio/TV fixture in Las Vegas as well as nationally since the mid 1980's. Dave has co-hosted national network sports shows with such luminaries as Pete Rose, Bill Raftery, Matt Guokas, Dick Versace and Johnny Orr, just to name a few.

Dave is presently heard weekdays from 12-3 PM on ESPN1100 in Las Vegas, and recently enjoyed an exclusive interview with newly elected President Barack Obama. Cokin is a featured columnist in several national publications and is regularly in demand as a gaming insider on numerous sports talk shows throughout the land. No wonder Dave Cokin was tagged by noted author Martin Mendelsohn as the "Ted Williams of the sports service industry." Perhaps the only difference is that Dave occasionally tips his cap.

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NEW BLOG UPDATE

By Dave Cokin
Posted 01/18/2010 at 09:00 AM

"Unclutch" is defined as to open, as something closely shut. Also, mechanically, to disengage, as a clutch. It's time to add a photo to the definition for illustration purposes. I have in mind a team picture of the San Diego Chargers. They're about as "unclutch" as it gets.

The Chargers are headed to an earlier than desired vacation thanks to a miserable performance in a 17-14 Sunday loss to the amazing New York Jets. San Diego has its scapegoat in placekicker Nate Kaeding, who missed as many field goal attempts yesterday as he did throughout the entire regular season. Indeed, Kaeding was awful. He badly missed two very ordinary three-pointers, as well as a very long attempt just prior to halftime. Had Kaeding done his job, the Chargers might well be game planning for an AFC Championship clash at Indianapolis. But Kaeding was far from the only chump wearing a San Diego uniform in this debacle. Fact is, the entire team was horrendous, both from a physical and mental standpoint.

The Chargers let the Jets hang around in this game thanks to some inane play calling along with a succession of moronic penalties that absolutely killed them in the end. Needless blocks in the back, a head butt, kicking a challenge flag. An insistence on trying to get the ball into the hands of LaDainian Tomlinson, who is little more than a short yardage runner at this point. Tomlinson had 15 touches for a grand total of 24 net yards. They'd have been almost as well served to simply take a knee rather than get L.T. the ball. What amazes me is that the San Diego brain trust kept calling his number in the second half, despite it being obvious there was nothing in his tank.

The penalties absorbed by the Chargers boggled the mind. Numerous false starts early, and later on, a succession of mindless infractions that helped seal their fate. That's a lack of focus, plain and simple, and it's inexcusable in a playoff game.

Poor coaching decisions played a role as well. San Diego head coach Norv Turner was foolish to have Kaeding attempt a very long field goal right before the half. The Chargers had no timeouts, but they also had six seconds still on the clock. They would have better served to try and grab a few extra yards with a quick sideline pass, or they could have simply gone for the Hail Mary and tried to get lucky. Either would have been a better choice than sending Kaeding out to try a kick he had virtually no chance of making.

Down 17-7 in the fourth quarter, and faced with a fourth and short at the Jets 23, Kaeding was sent out to try and close the gap to one score. I know I'm not the only one who was willing to bet big bucks he would miss the 40-yard attempt. I know the Chargers needed a three someplace to try and get to overtime, so the book says kick the field goal in this situation. Sometimes it's better to toss the book away. I'd have gambled on getting the roughly one yard needed for the first down and worried about the field goal later.

The Chargers eventually did score a TD to make it 17-14, and with 2:06 remaining an with one time out still in their stash, Turner and company again made what I felt was the wrong call. With the Jets forced to defend against an onside kick, I would have kicked it deep and played defense in the hopes of gaining reasonable field position for a desperation drive and a possible tie. Instead, they left the Jets with a short field and even had San Diego gotten the football back, they'd have had to negotiate most of the field with no time outs to get one more try for Kaeding. As it turned out, the Jets were able to convert a fourth and short and simply ran out the clock. Had they been operating close to their own end zone, the result might have been different. That is something we will never know.

I'm not going to disparage anything the New York Jets are doing right now. Yes, they were phenomenally lucky to eke out the final AFC playoff spot. The schedule maker was more than kind as the Jets somehow were fortunate enough to play the Colts and Bengals in the last two weeks of the regular season. Basically, those two entries simply handed victories to the Jets. But hey, the Jets still had to win those games, and the bottom line is they found their way into the post-season extravaganza. And now the Jets are incredibly just one win away from what might well be the most improbable Super Bowl appearance ever. But the bottom line is that this team is making plays and winning games. And they're still playing.

The Chargers, however, are done for another year, and one cannot help but wonder if it might be time to think about an overhaul. Sure, they're a solid team, but when it comes to the big games, San Diego just doesn't get the job done. The argument can be made that the Chargers have as much talent from top to bottom as any team in the NFL. But when you're as "unclutch" as this outfit is, all the talent in the world doesn't matter.

FULL STORY

NEW BLOG UPDATE

By Dave Cokin
Posted 01/11/2010 at 03:44 AM

One of the great runs in NFL history has come to a close. The days of dominance for the New England Patriots are now officially finished. Any lingering doubts were emphatically erased on Sunday as the Patriots were totally humiliated on their home turf by the Baltimore Ravens. The game was basically over shortly after the coin toss, and there’s no question in my mind that this powerhouse organization will now be shifting into rebuilding mode for at least the near future. I’m not generally big on making long range predictions. But barring something completely unforeseen between now and next September, I’ll offer the opinion that the Patriots will be no better than a .500 team and maybe less than that.

In the interests of full disclosure, I thought New England would win their wild card matchup with Baltimore. But that was based more on history than present reality and I never had a chance of cashing that ticket. Fortunately, I also had the Jets, Cowboys and Cardinals this weekend, so I’m very pleased with the overall results. But I really should have trusted my instincts on the Patriots and faded them, as I’ve been saying all season that this is a team that’s simply no longer dominant.

Why am I so down on the Patriots? Fact is, I don’t know where the strengths are on this team at this point. Tom Brady is still a solid QB, but he’s not the same as he was prior to the knee injury. He’s gone from being beyond elite to human, and there’s no guarantee he’ll ever get back to where he was. The New England running game was ordinary all season, and there’s clearly no one on this roster right now that strikes fear into the hearts of opposition defenders. Randy Moss is no longer the ultra-explosive threat at wideout and his days in New England may well be numbered. The Patriots are now a team with a bevy of possession receivers, but no one to stretch the field. The offensive line is proving that virtually nothing ages gracefully in the National Football League.

It gets worse on defense. There are substantial weaknesses at linebacker and in the secondary. The front line is still solid enough, but age will be a growing concern. And let’s not forget that Head Coach Bill Belichick had such little faith in this unit’s ability to get stops that he became a riverboat gambler in some crucial fourth down situations this year.

In spite of the problems on paper, the Patriots were still deemed a threat in this year’s playoffs. That aura of invincibility still existed, especially in front of the Foxboro faithful. After what transpired against the Ravens, that’s now gone as well. The fear factor simply is not going to be there anymore.

I don’t want to make it sound like I’m suggesting the Patriots are about to suddenly become the Detroit Lions. But not only is the roster showing appearances of heading into a transition period, it also has to be noted that the organization has undergone a major transformation over the last couple years and I’m not at all sure the Belichick supporting cast is up to past standards.

Add it all up, and I cannot see how the Patriots can get back to serious Super Bowl contention next season and my belief is that they’re about to become just another NFL team for at least the next couple of campaigns. Make no mistake, however, this was a decade for the ages for New England, especially given the volatility that exists in the NFL.

FULL STORY

DAVE COKIN HEADLINES
Cokin: Distance Doesn't Matter
MORE D. COKIN HEADLINES
ACCOLADES AND DOCUMENTED RECORDS
2011-2012 #3 NFL Money Leader: +1,873
2011-2012 NFL Percent Leader: 62%
2011-2012 NFL Member Leader: +1,480
2011 MLB Money Leader: +4,295
2011 MLB #3 Totals Leader: +1,223
2010-2011 NCAA FB #3 Member Leader: +652
2010 MLB Money Leader: +5,164
2010 MLB Favorites Leader: +2,627
2010 MLB #2 Underdog Leader: +2,596
2010 MLB #2 Member Leader: +2,023
2009-2010 NCAA FB #2 Percent Leader: 63%
2008-2009 NCAA BK #3 Member Leader: +990
PICK RECORD
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Dave Cokin's NFL Picks
Period: 01/09/2012 to 02/09/2012
Pick Type: All Picks
Record: 5-1-0 ( 83.3% , +390)
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BLOG ARCHIVES
01/18/2010 at 09:00 AM
Chargers Freeze When It Matters....Again!

01/11/2010 at 03:44 AM
Dave Cokin's Hardcore Football

12/30/2009 at 04:50 AM
Dave Cokin's Hardcore Football 12/30/09

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