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Micah Roberts - About Me

Micah Roberts has been in the Las Vegas Race and Sports Book Industry for over 18 years. While working for the Sports Books, Roberts set odds and made lines for all the sports. His ability to understand what was about to happen from the bettors, both the public and sharps, kept his sports books holding one of the highest percentages annually in the state.

That same type of analysis he offered his sports books is also beneficial in finding soft spots in the line from the other side of the counter. No matter how good any bookmaker is, he’ll always be at a disadvantage because he has to offer every game while the bettor only has to choose a few. Those few games found -- that may be off -- is where money can be made by the bettor on a consistent basis. Identifying those spots is the hard part, but it’s where Roberts assistance may help.

While no major revelations have been made in the Las Vegas sports book industry’s top betting sports for some time, Roberts can say he had an impact on how we all see NASCAR wagered upon today world wide. He was one of the first to offer an extremely low theoretic hold of NASCAR weekly odds to win because his opinion was correct most of the time with the top three drivers, which in turn he shaded lower and raised everyone else’s odds higher creating perceived value.

Roberts also began taking driver vs. driver matchups and wild propositions on any of the statistical categories that a NASCAR race box score had like cautions, lap leaders and winning car numbers that became very popular. His vast database of driver tendencies and probabilities for each of them at a particular track gave his book a weekly edge every week over the betting public.

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NEW BLOG UPDATE

By Micah Roberts
Posted 11/19/2012 at 01:40 PM

Bettors could have had Brad Keselowski at 20-to-1 to win the NASCAR Sprint Cup Championship at the beginning of the season and 8-to-1 prior to the Chase. For 2013, bettors might be able to find odds on him to repeat at a higher number than most defending champions just because of the changes that will be occurring at Penske Racing. It’s hard enough to repeat as champ -- unless you’re Jimmie Johnson, but it’s even harder to perform well for teams changing over manufacturers and engines. Dodge took the championship and closed up their NASCAR program forcing Penske to operate with two Fords next season. They’ll run Roush-Yates engines, but the combination of a new style of car that debuts next season, and then the changes internally add to Keselowski’s difficulty of repeating. Everyone will be in the same boat with the changes, but just like we saw with Hendrick Motorsports when the Car of Tomorrow debuted, they’ll have a huge edge in technology and money over the rest of the teams. Keselowski will be pressed with questions about next season when he’s in Las Vegas at the Wynn for the NASCAR award ceremonies. He’ll be doing an hour on the NASCAR Live radio program in the Wynn sports book at 4 pm.

FULL STORY

NEW BLOG UPDATE

By Micah Roberts
Posted 11/17/2012 at 04:56 PM

Kasey Kahne: Crew chief Kenny Francis and the #5 team will unload Hendrick Motorsports Chassis No. 5-729. Kahne has raced this car three times this season, notably scoring third-place finish at Michigan in August and a top-10 result at Charlotte in October. In eight Cup starts at Homestead, Kahne has earned one top-five finish, four top-10s and two pole positions. Kahne is the only driver with eight starts or more at Homestead to have an average starting position inside the top-10 (7.2). He enters Sunday's race with back-to-back top-10 finishes at the 1.5-mile oval. ---------------------- Matt Kenseth: will run primary chassis RK-826 at Homestead, which last ran at Kansas and won. Kenseth has an average starting position of 19.6 and an average finishing position of 17.6 at Homestead. Kenseth has achieved one win, three top-five, and five top-10 finishes at Homestead in the Cup series. Kenseth has completed 2,921 of 3,209 laps (91.0 percent) at Homestead and led for a total of 303 laps. This weekend at Homestead, Kenseth will pilot the No. 17 Best Buy Ford Fusion. ------------------------ Kevin Harvick: will pilot Chassis No.378 from the Richard Childress Racing NASCAR Sprint Cup Series stable at Homestead. The #29 Budweiser team utilized this car twice during the 2011 season at Chicagoland Speedway in September (started-30th, finished-second) and Kansas Speedway in October (started-14th, finished-sixth). Harvick drove this Chevrolet in 2012 to a sixth-place finish at Kansas Speedway in April, a 10th-place result at Michigan International Speedway in June, fifth-place finish at Atlanta Motor Speedway in September and most recently he finished 11th at Kansas Speedway in October. ----------------------- Jimmie Johnson: Chassis No. 728 serves as the primary for Johnson at Homestead. This chassis last ran at Kansas in October, finishing 9th. Also ran at both Dover races (won in June and 4th in September), Chicago in Sept, finishing 2nd and won at Indy in July. Chassis No. 720 serves as the backup and has won two races in 2012: at Texas in November and the All-Star race in May.

FULL STORY

MICAH ROBERTS HEADLINES
Roberts: Citizen Soldier 400
Roberts: Books roll in Week 3
Roberts: Top-Five Predictions
Roberts: SNF - Bears at Cowboys
Roberts: Vegas Money Moves - Week 3
MORE M. ROBERTS HEADLINES
ACCOLADES AND DOCUMENTED RECORDS
2013-2014 NFL #3 Member Leader: 60%
2012-2013 NFL #3 Money Leader: +2,184
2012-2013 NFL Totals Leader: +1,959
2012-2013 NFL Member Leader: +2,621
2011-2012 NCAA BK #2 Percent Leader: 56%
2011-2012 NCAA FB #2 Member Leader: +1,337
2011 MLB Favorites Leader: +4,479
2011 MLB #3 Guaranteed Leader: +1,848


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Period: 08/29/2016 to 09/29/2016
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Record: 25-29-1 ( 46.3% , -720)
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11/19/2012 at 01:40 PM
Can Keselowski Repeat?

11/17/2012 at 04:56 PM
Top Listed Chassis for Homestead

11/08/2012 at 11:41 PM
Top Listed Chassis for Phoenix

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