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Micah Roberts - About Me

Micah Roberts has been in the Las Vegas Race and Sports Book Industry for over 18 years. While working for the Sports Books, Roberts set odds and made lines for all the sports. His ability to understand what was about to happen from the bettors, both the public and sharps, kept his sports books holding one of the highest percentages annually in the state.

That same type of analysis he offered his sports books is also beneficial in finding soft spots in the line from the other side of the counter. No matter how good any bookmaker is, he’ll always be at a disadvantage because he has to offer every game while the bettor only has to choose a few. Those few games found -- that may be off -- is where money can be made by the bettor on a consistent basis. Identifying those spots is the hard part, but it’s where Roberts assistance may help.

While no major revelations have been made in the Las Vegas sports book industry’s top betting sports for some time, Roberts can say he had an impact on how we all see NASCAR wagered upon today world wide. He was one of the first to offer an extremely low theoretic hold of NASCAR weekly odds to win because his opinion was correct most of the time with the top three drivers, which in turn he shaded lower and raised everyone else’s odds higher creating perceived value.

Roberts also began taking driver vs. driver matchups and wild propositions on any of the statistical categories that a NASCAR race box score had like cautions, lap leaders and winning car numbers that became very popular. His vast database of driver tendencies and probabilities for each of them at a particular track gave his book a weekly edge every week over the betting public.
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NEW BLOG UPDATE

By Micah Roberts
Posted 05/26/2012 at 03:51 PM

Brad Keselowski continued his strong morning practice session with the fastest lap (183.692 mph) during Charlotte’s final practice session. The conditions for the final session were much hotter than what we’ll see in tomorrow’s Coca-Cola 600, which made some teams a little weary about tinkering with set-ups that ran well in the earlier session. *********** Three drivers, such as Marcos Ambrose who starts second tomorrow, didn’t even attempt a lap because they felt there was nothing to gain. *********** Most of the drivers who were fast in the earlier session were again during the final 60-minute practice. Carl Edwards was third earlier in the day and followed that up with the second fastest lap. *********** Mark Martin was third fastest after being 12th earlier. Martin also had the best average speed among all drivers who ran at least 10 laps. Martin ran 29 laps with little differential in lap speeds compared to the other drivers and it wouldn‘t be a shock to see him get his fifth Charlotte win and first since 2002. ************ The Michael Waltrip Racing group of Martin, Martin Truex Jr. and Clint Bowyer should all be considered drivers to run well Sunday night. Truex Jr. finished with the 10th fastest lap, but was spectacular earlier in single lap times and average speeds. Bowyer is using his Las Vegas chassis this week that finished sixth, one of his better runs of the season. ********** Jimmie Johnson finished with the fourth fastest lap and looks to have the car to beat. He had the fastest 10-consecutive average here after being great earlier in the day. Not only does Johnson have a great Charlotte history, look great in practice -- which haven’t said much this season, but he also momentum in his favor. The cherry on top is that Johnson is using his runner-up Texas chassis. ********** Tony Stewart ran the third most laps (32) of the session and shot up the field to sixth fastest after being 18th in the earlier practice. Of all the drivers from the final practice, Stewart’s performance might carry the most weight. The car alone should be respected. Stewart’s chassis this week won win at Fontana and is a clone to the winning Las Vegas car. ************ Showing a big improvement in the final practice was Joey Logano who ran the fifth fastest lap at 182.921 mph. This should be expected just because of how well his teammates Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin ran in the important session. Busch ran only 12 laps and his best was 16th fastest while Hamlin was 20th with the second best 10-consecutive lap average. *********** The Roush-Fenway drivers all look fine despite the cloud of last weeks engine problems looming above their stable. Kenseth finished seventh and Biffle 15th. All three of the Roush cars look like a real team in their red, white and blue Fastenol colors. Despite nothing spectacular out of Biffle in either of today’s practices, his chassis should garner respect just because the same car won at Texas. ************** Based on a formula that considers Saturday’s early practice as 50% of the equation, Johnson is the driver to beat. The drivers who look to have a best chance to beat him are Keselowski, Truex Jr, Martin and Kyle Busch.

FULL STORY

NEW BLOG UPDATE

By Micah Roberts
Posted 05/26/2012 at 12:26 PM

Not a lot changed after the first five minutes of Saturday’s early practice session at Charlotte Motor Speedway in preparation for Sunday’s Coca-Cola 600. Denny Hamlin topped the charts with the fastest lap of 186.239 mph early on when the temperatures were cool. For the remainder of the 55-minute session the leader board appeared as though it stood still. **************** The only driver within the top-30 speeds that bettered their first few laps was Kurt Busch -- in a back-up car -- who found speed on the 18th of his 20 laps run, which put him 29th fastest. *************** Paul Menard was second fastest (186.123) followed by Carl Edwards (186.021) and Kyle Busch (185.021). For both Edwards and Busch, they have to be ecstatic about being fast in this session after struggling most of the season trying to find speed on the fast tracks. *************** A few of the teams commented that this early practice was the most important session of the weekend to get their car ideally set. In the final practice, set to begin at 1 pm (ET), the track will be blazing hot and greasy, both conditions that won’t be applicable when the race begins a 6:18 pm (ET) Sunday evening. ****************** Continuing his trend of being very fast in practice was Martin Truex Jr. who had the fifth fastest single lap as well as having the best 10-consecutive lap average. Just like Hamlin, Truex Jr. gained his top speed on his very first lap. ********************* Hamlin ran 33 laps while Truex Jr ran 45. The lap leader on the day was Kyle Busch with 53, apparently showing they have no worries about extra mileage on their engine before they're about to run 600 miles. Busch also ran the most laps in Thursday’s practice, a session most teams used only for qualifying set-ups. *************** Perhaps those extra race runs Thursday allowed Busch’s team to be right where they needed to be for today’s early session and better their chances Sunday. Hamlin ran quite a few laps Thursday as well, as did Joey Logano. The additional time may also have helped Hamlin's team be prepared early, but not so much for Logano who finished with 22nd fastest lap. *************** No one is hotter right now than Jimmie Johnson who won at Darlington two weeks ago and took last week’s All-Star race, which may be bad news for the rest of the field. We’ve seen Chad Knaus and that No. 48 team look like they were going through lulls over the last decade and then break out with an unbelievable run that usually ended up with a Championship trophy. ************* "The company," Johnson said Thursday, "is still on a high from the 200th win and the All-Star win just kicked it up another notch." *************** Johnson and his team once again look dialed in as he ran the sixth fastest lap, which was good enough to keep JJ as the favorite in Las Vegas sports books to win on Sunday which would be the seventh of his career at Charlotte. **************** Brad Kesleowski hasn’t fared well on the tracks similar to Charlotte this season, but did run well enough to get a runner-up finish last week and practices indicate he may be a driver to contend on Sunday. In addition to having the second best 10-consecutive lap averages, Keselowski also had the seventh fastest individual lap at 185.631 mph.

FULL STORY

MICAH ROBERTS HEADLINES
Roberts: Practice Notes - Charlotte
Roberts: NFL Win Total Betting Updates
Roberts: Indy 500 & Coca-Cola 600 preview
Roberts: Triple Crown heats up books
Roberts: Public backing San Antonio
MORE M. ROBERTS HEADLINES
ACCOLADES AND DOCUMENTED RECORDS
2011-2012 NCAA FB #2 Member Leader: +1,337
2011 MLB Favorites Leader: +4,479
2011 MLB #3 Guarantee Leader: +1,848
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BLOG ARCHIVES
05/26/2012 at 03:51 PM
Coca-Cola 600 Practice Notes: Johnson is Superbad

05/26/2012 at 12:26 PM
Cola-Cola 600 Practice Notes: Hamlin Fastest in Important Second Session

05/25/2012 at 09:57 AM
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