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At the Gate - Sunday
Jockey Javier Castellano dominated the action on Saturday at Aqueduct, picking up six wins from seven mounts and he shot to the top of the jockey standings with 11 winners from just 28 mounts so far at the meeting.
It was a chalkfest on Saturday, with the betting favorite winning each of the first seven races on the card. Then Inimitable Romanee took the field gate to wire to win the Long Island Handicap (G3), paying $58.50.
Castellano was aboard the chalk for his first five wins. He won the early double aboard Coup de Grace ($3.00) and Jeter ($6.50), and then Becky’s Kitten ($6.60), One Red Cat ($2.90), and Watsdachances ($4.20) in races four through six. He won the nightcap aboard North Star Bay, who paid $15.00.
The day could have been better. Two of his mounts were late scratches, and they were both the morning line favorites: Clever Story in the third race and Anjaz in the Long Island Handicap.
Things were going along pretty good for us as well, as we had four winners on top and my second choice won three others through seven races. We had five recommended exactas as well.
However, I did not have Inimitable Romanee and in the finale North Star Bay (my fourth choice) beat my top pick Mr. Jenney by a head.
In case you have not heard, longtime turf scribe Paul Moran passed away on Saturday after a long bout with lung cancer.
Moran covered horse racing for Newsday for more than two decades, and won a pair of media Eclipse Awards as well as a Red Smith Award.
He retired in 2008 but has been a columnist for, his last column titled “Evolution of the Breeders Cup”, which was published on Oct. 28.
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Here is today’s opening from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:20 ET)
1 Marie Antoinette   5-2
2 Mobilize   5-1
4 Truly Mizzed   7-2
9 Camryn's Gem   12-1
Analysis: Marie Antoinette put in a solid effort in her debut, tracking the early pace and battling on gamely until late, coming up just 3/4 of a length shy of the top spot going long over turf labeled as good. She should be tighter second off the bench and will catch firmer footing here. The Pletcher barn is 36% winners with second out maidens. The filly has a couple of sibs that are winners including stakes winner Crimson China ($159,393).
Mobilize stretches out to a route after a good runner up finish last out going seven furlongs on the turf at Belmont Park as the beaten favorite. He improved second out after checking in fifth in her debut on the main track. She returns off a two-month break here for the Shug barn that brings them along slower than most. She has enough pedigree to handle the extra ground.
WIN: #1 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,4,9
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,4,9 / 1,2,3,4,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $20,000SAL (3:43 ET)
8 Tummel   5-1
11 Start Jumping   4-1
4 Abra   7-2
5 Road Agent   6-1
Analysis: Tummel pressed the early pace and weakened inside the final furlong to finish third last out against $16,000 starter optional claimers. The colt was claimed by the Friedman barn three back for $25,000 out of a restricted race where he ran second and then landed in the bottom of the exacta two back in his first go for the barn, catching a muddy surface. The colt owns solid early and mid pace numbers and should get a good trip sitting just off the pace here. His last win came back in February versus straight three year olds for a $40,000 tag at Santa Anita.
Start Jumping stalked the early pace, made a good middle move and headed home with the lead but could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish against $25,000 starter optional claimers. The gelding beat $35,000 non-winners of two or three-year-olds earning a career top two back in his first go off the claim by the Jacobson barn. The third place finisher in that race was Cool Under Fire, who came back to beat Alw-1 optional claimers in his next outing on Sept. 22 at Belmont Park. The cut back to six furlongs should suit here for a barn that is off to a quick start at the meeting, winning with eight of his first 23 starters.
WIN: #8 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 8,11 / 4,5,8,11
TRI: 8,11 / 4,5,8,11 / 2,4,5,8,11
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
CD Race 9 Alw $43,000N1X (4:37 ET)
5 Tapit's World   3-1
6 Blue Violet   7-2
12 Moon Angel   10-1
3 Two to Tango   3-1
Analysis: Tapit's World came off a 2 1/2 month break with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out over poly at Keeneland against Alw-2L foes. All three of this guy's starts have been on the fake stuff but he put in a good morning drill over the surface here and it appears he will like the surface switch and has enough pedigree to handle his first trip going around two turns.
Blue Violet makes her first start since spring where she faced graded stakes company in her first two starts after breaking her maiden. She put in a good effort in a third place finish in the Rachel Alexandra (G3) and then faded to finish sixth in the Fair Grounds Oaks (G2) in her last outing. The Jones barn is 19% winners with runners coming back off a +180 day layoff and the filly will appreciate the class relief here as she returns off the bench.
WIN: #5 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 3,5,6,12
TRI: 5,6 / 3,5,6,12 / 2,3,5,6,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
R1: #9 Camryn’s Gem   12-1
R2: #4 Blue Ballerina   8-1
R3: #1 ONecats Chance   8-1
R3: #2 Shot to Win   8-1
R4: #4 Running Wild   12-1
R5: #5 Dancing for Glory   8-1
R5: #13 Yes It’s Pink   8-1
R6: #7 Light Weight   8-1
R7: #8 Speaking of Which   10-1
R9: #11 Giant Jo   10-1
R9: #3 Maybrys Challlenge   12-1
Good luck today!

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Mike Dempsey Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year round as well as Keeneland, Churchill Downs, the Triple Crown, and the Breeders' Cup.
The 2015 Triple Crown saw Mike correctly predict American Pharoah to win both the Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes. Mike nailed the Exacta and Trifecta in the Belmont Stakes.

Mike had a solid 2014 Triple Crown race season, correctly picking the winning horse in 2 of 3 races. He selected I'll Have another to win The Preakness, and nailed Union Rags to win the Belmont Stakes as his top pick.

Mike also had past succes in the Kentucky Derby, winning with Animal Kingdom in 2011 and rode his top picks, Super Saver and Street Sense, to the finish line in 2010 and 2007 respectively.

No handicapper in the industry works harder to bring you analysis that produces profits at the track!

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Jerry Sessa Jerry "Shots" Sessa has been involved in horse racing for over 30 years. He now brings his meticulous handicapping style to When Jerry posts picks you are getting his best bets...when you win, he wins.
Jerry opened the 2016 Triple Crown season by hitting his Derby Day best bet, Nyquist. He also nailed the Derby exacta for a $30.60 payout. On 4/16/16 at Keeneland, Jerry hit an $819 exacta that led to a $38k Trifecta & a $300k Super.

In the 2015 Belmont Stakes Jerry dominated races 8-11 by hitting a $4,400 Pick 4, 3 Daily Doubles, 2 Pick 3's and calling American Pharoah as the first Triple Crown winner in 36 years.

Jerry is always looking to repeat his 2012 Triple Crown success, when he selected the winning horses for The Preakness and The Belmont Stakes.

Jerry looks forward to working with everyone and making money for anyone who invests in his picks on a daily basis.

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