Over the next two days at Pimlico we have 28 races to wager on, 15 of those races stakes, starting with six on Friday’s 14-race card that gets underway at 11:30 am ET.
The highlight on Friday’s card is the $250,000 Black Eyed Susan (G2) for three-year-old fillies that drew a well-matched field of 11.
I landed on Summer Luck, who did not get much pace to run at in a fifth-place finish in the Ashland (G1) at Keeneland in her last outing. The Mark Casse trainee has jockey Javier Castellano aboard and her 5-1 morning line looks fair enough.
The 10th race is the $100,000 Jim McKay Turf Sprint and the 11-year-old Ben’s Cat is seeking his fifth straight win in the race and sixth overall.
Trained by King T. Leatherbury, the old timer has won 32 of his 61 career starts and has earned $2.6 million in his career.
The gelding is one of the most popular racehorses in Maryland and I have a hunch he will go off at less than his 6-1 morning line. He came back off a seven-month layoff with a fifth-place finish in allowance company, not getting much room to run in the stretch.
The $150,000 Miss Preakness (G3) for three-year-old fillies drew a full field of 14 along with one also-eligible. Our Majesty is the 7-2 morning line favorite coming off a sharp win against first level allowance company at Keeneland.
The $300,000 Pimlico Special (G3) will be run for the 47th time and has bene won by some great ones including War Admiral, Seabiscuit, Whirlaway, Citation, Cigar, Skip Away and Real Quiet.
This year’s edition goes through Santa Anita Handicap (G1) winner Shaman Ghost, who is the 4-5 morning line favorite.
Terra Promessa is the 6-5 morning line favorite for the $150,000 Allaire Dupont Distaff (G3) and the $100,000 Hilltop drew a competitive field of 13 three-year-old fillies that will go a mile on turf.
To purchase my Preakness Package for Friday and Saturday click here.
Now would be a good time to get my Monthly Package, which includes my Preakness Day and Belmont Stakes Day Reports as well as my daily Belmont Park Reports and Best Plays each weekend.
Here is the opening race from Pimlico to get the day off to a good start:
Analysis: Zippity Zoom is back on the main track here after tracking the early pace and weakening to finish fifth at this level over good turf. The mare w beaten just a neck two back on the main track at Laurel Park in a game effort behind our third choice in here. The Rice barn is 31% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners form turf to dirt. The barn has been very live the past few months and has picked up a win and a second from her first three starters. The surface switch should suit this gal.
Everlasting Secret set the early fractions, opened up a lead heading for home and got run down late, settling for the runner up spot at this level last July at Laurel Park. She passed her first allowance condition two back which was off a seven-month layoff. The Eppler barn has won with 3 of 11 coming back off a +180 day layoff. She has worked quickly for her return with a couple of bullet works on the morning tab.
WIN: #5 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 3,5 / 2,3,4,5
TRI: 3,5 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Pimlico:
PIM Race 11 The Black Eyed Susan G2 (4:50 ET) #9 Summer Luck 5-1 #7 Moana 4-1 #3 Dancing Rags 4-1 #1 Shimmering Aspen 9-2
Analysis: Summer Luck raced at the back of the pack early and made up some ground late to finish fifth last out in the Ashland (G1) at Keeneland, not getting much early pace to run into. Two back the filly came with a good late rally to finish a close up third in the Davona Dale (G2) at Gulfstream Park. The winner Miss Sky Warrior came back to win the gazelle (G2) at Aqueduct in her next outing on April 8. The Casse trainee is going to get some pace to run at in this spot and the extra ground as she stretches out to nine furlongs for the it time.
Moana is one of two in here sent out by the Pletcher barn that has won this race three times, most recently with Stopchargingmaria in 2014. This $300,000 Ocala purchase faces winners for the first time after a good looking maiden score last out at Keeneland going two turns in her second career start. She is by Uncle Mo out of a stakes placed More Than Ready mare and still looks as if she has a ton of upside.
Dancing Rags was off poorly last out in the seven furlong Beaumont (G3) at Keeneland in her first start off a five-month layoff. She won the Alcibiades (G1) at Keeneland last fall and then was not a threat in an eighth-place finish in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1). The Motion barn is 17% winners moving runners from sprint to route. She should move forward with a better break and the stretch out.
WIN: #9 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 7,9 / 1,3,7,9
TRI: 7,9 / 1,3,7,9 / 1,3,7,9,11
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Mike DempseyMike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year round as well as Keeneland, Churchill Downs, the Triple Crown, and the Breeders' Cup. The 2015 Triple Crown saw Mike correctly predict American Pharoah to win both the Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes. Mike nailed the Exacta and Trifecta in the Belmont Stakes. Mike had a solid 2014 Triple Crown race season, correctly picking the winning horse in 2 of 3 races. He selected I'll Have another to win The Preakness, and nailed Union Rags to win the Belmont Stakes as his top pick. Mike also had past succes in the Kentucky Derby, winning with Animal Kingdom in 2011 and rode his top picks, Super Saver and Street Sense, to the finish line in 2010 and 2007 respectively. No handicapper in the industry works harder to bring you analysis that produces profits at the track! Mike's Reports include his selections, detailed analysis, a fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for the entire card. Join Mike daily with top picks from Aqueduct. Breeders' Cup-->. You can also get his Weekend Best Plays Report in his Multi-Track package or sit at the track with him for 30 Days with his Monthly Horse Package!
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Jerry SessaJerry "Shots" Sessa has been involved in horse racing for over 30 years. He now brings his meticulous handicapping style to VegasInsider.com. When Jerry posts picks you are getting his best bets...when you win, he wins. Jerry opened the 2016 Triple Crown season by hitting his Derby Day best bet, Nyquist. He also nailed the Derby exacta for a $30.60 payout. On 4/16/16 at Keeneland, Jerry hit an $819 exacta that led to a $38k Trifecta & a $300k Super.
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