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Horse Racing

At the Gate – Sunday

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
7 minute read
My head is still spinning from all the action yesterday with Breeders’ Cup Challenge races at three different tracks and despite having three televisions in my office I still managed to miss one of the races.

Somehow the Santa Anita Sprint Championship (G1) went off without me, and we hit the exacta cold for $27.80 with the favorite Roy H ($4.00) toping Distinctive B. I got nada.

We saw a couple of bombs come in yesterday including Knicks Go pulling off the upset in the $500,000 Breeders’ Futurity (G1) to the tune of $142.00. That knocked me out of the Pick 5 after having Bucchero ($8.40) on top in the Woodford (G2), my second choice Golden Mischief ($11.00) winning the TCA (G2) and my top choice A Raving Beauty ($8.40) winning the First Lady (G1).

It would have been all for nothing anyway as I did not use Next Shares in the Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), the winner paying $48.80.

We had a couple of nice winners at Belmont Park, Tiergan returning $14.40 in the third race and Saratoga Treasure won the nightcap as my top pick paying $14.60. We also had Wow Cat at a puny $4.60 in the Beldame (G1).

We have six more Breeders’ Cup Challenge races on tap today, three each at Keeneland and Belmont Park and they are all included in today’s Best Plays Report.

Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package for just $99.95. It gives you a month of Belmont Park daily, my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday and my two-day Breeders’ Cup Report.

My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Belmont Park and Keeneland including all the stakes action.

To purchase my Belmont Park and Best Plays Reports for Sunday click here.

Here is the opener from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Md $30,000 (1:30 ET)
#4 The Glominator 5-1
#3 Lone Pioneer 6-5
#1 Golden Brew / 1a Eliav 8-5
#5 Three Outlaws 10-1

Analysis: The Glominator showed speed in his first two starts on turf and now drops in for a tag and switches to the main track. He faded to finish a well beaten eighth in his debut going nine furlongs and then cut back to 5 1/2 last out where he pressed the early pace and tired to finish seventh. He is out of a Brunswick mare that has dropped five winners and may be better suited pedigree wise for the main track. He lands with the Weaver barn that is 29% winners dropping runners from maiden special to maiden claiming.

Lone Pioneer debuts for the Pletcher barn that is 26% winners with first timers. however, over the past three months Pletcher is showing a 1 for 27 mark with juvie firsters in New York. This guy was a $250,000 Keeneland purchase, by Pioneerof the Nile out of a Macho Uno mare that has dropped one winner. Decent works and he catches a weak looking group.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 3,4 / 1,3,4
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 7 The Frizette G1 (4:46 ET)
#4 Nonna Madeline 6-1
#6 Covfefe 8-5
#2 Jaywalk 5-1
#5 Graceful Princess 3-1

Analysis: Nonna Madeline was fifth in the Spinaway (G1) last out for the Pletcher barn. The filly was bumped coming out of the gate a couple of times, went up to duel for the early lead, still had a small lead as they headed for home and came outward and bumped a foe and weakened in the final furlong. She caught a racing strip that was kind to outside stalkers and closers that day. The runner up Restless Rider came back to win the Alcibiades (G1) at Keeneland on Friday. Two back in the Schuylerville (G3) our top pick was off a beat slow, tracked the early pace and was unable to get to the gate to wire winner over a racing strip that was splaying to speed that day. The fourth-place finisher Serengeti Empress came back to win the Ellis Park Debutante by 13 1/2 lengths and then the Pocahontas (G2) by 19 12 lengths in her next two starts. She should be better with the extra ground, by Candy Ride out of Storm Cat mare that has dropped four other winners including stakes winner Nonna Mela ($286,670). We have been fading Pletcher runners on a regular basis the past couple of months as the barn is just not hitting on all cylinders, but this gal looks likely to be a fair price.

Covfefe was a good-looking gate to wire winner at Churchill Downs last out for the Cox barn, drawing off to win by 9 1/4 lengths and she got hammered in the betting. She earned the top last out speed fig and it was one of the most impressive efforts we have seen by a juvenile filly this season. She has enough pedigree to handle a one turn mile, by Into Mischief out of an Unbridled mare. The barn is 29% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from sprint to route. Castellano picks up the call and the only real knock on this gal is going to be the light price.

Jaywalk tracked the early pace and made a good late rally to win the White Clay Creek at Delaware Park going 5 1/2 furlongs in her third career start. Three she beat that day came back to win next out including fourth place finisher Start the Show who won the restricted Small Wonder in her next start at Delaware Park on Sept. 29. She is in good hands with the Servis barn that is 23% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from sprint to route.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 4,6 / 2,4,5,6 / 2,4,5,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:

KEE Race 9 The Spinster G1 (5:45 ET)
#4 Eskimo Kisses 5-2
#10 Pacific Wind 5-1
#11 Blue Prize 7-2
#8 Champagne Problems 8-1

Analysis: Eskimo Kisses faces older for the first time here after earning a career top winning the Alabama (G1) at the Spa by 6 1/2 lengths. The filly was rallied from 15 lengths back and drew off over a racing strip that was kind to inside speed that day. The runner up She's a Julie came back to win the Remington Park Oaks (G3) and the third-place finisher Midnight Bisou won the Cotillion (G1) at Philly thanks to a DQ. She ran second in the Ashland (G1) over the main track here at the spring meeting behind Monomoy Girl. Three-year-old historically are up against it in this race but this gal appears to be coming in here in the best form of her career and should get a good pace set up.

Pacific Wind is sent out by the Brown barn and she makes her first start since a fifth in the Shuvee (G3) at the Spa. The runner up Wow Cat came back with an impressive win in the Beldame (G1) yesterday at Belmont Park. Our second choice won the Ruffian (G2) three back going a one turn mile at Belmont Park. She was fourth two back behind Abel Tasman in the Ogden Phipps (G1). She is better than her last outing and she seems likely to bounce back with a much better effort. The barn is 27% winners with runners coming back off a 46-90-day break.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,10 / 4,8,10,11
TRI: 4,10 / 4,8,10,11 / 4,7,8,10,11

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #5 Three Outlaws 10-1
R2: #11 Codrington 10-1
R3: #6 Clyde’s Runner 8-1
R5: #1 Neutral Zone / 1a Time Expired 10-1
R6: #2 Joyful Heart 8-1
R6: #1 Neverland Rock 10-1
R8: #4 Tricky Escape 8-1
R9: #10 Party With Friends 8-1

Good luck today!

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