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At the Gate - Wednesday
October 15, 2008
By Mike Dempsey VegasInsider.com
For all of your horse wagering needs, be sure to visit allhorseracing.com!
T here was good news and bad news over the past couple of days regarding the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
The bad news was Big Brown was retired after suffering an injury on Monday during a workout on the grass at Aqueduct.
The Kentucky Derby and Preakness champion grabbed a quarter and ripped off a chunk of his right front foot, eliminating any hopes of fans seeing a Big Brown-Curlin matchup in the Classic.
The good news is Curlin’s majority owner Jess Jackson announced on Tuesday that Curlin would indeed be pre entered in the Classic.
The 2007 Horse of the Year put in his first serious work over the Pro Ride surface on Monday in between the fourth and fifth races on the Santa Anita card.
The colt went five furlongs in 59:12 in a work rated as breezing.
“I’m extremely pleased with the way he worked and galloped out,” said trainer Steve Asmussen. “Carlos (exercise rider Carlos Rosas) let him gallop out a quarter mile and let him pull up. He was strong at every pole.
“I just checked him at the barn, and he seems good. He’s breathing well, and to this point we’re extremely pleased.”
The Breeders’ Cup is sneaking up to us quickly. While pre entries have to be in today, they will not be announce until Thursday, which will give us just over a week to handicap the races.
It’s a light day today. Belmont Park ran on Monday and is dark today.
To purchase my full card reports for Keeneland that includes analysis, selections, fair odds, recommendations for today, click here.
Here is the opening race from Keeneland to get our day off to a good start:
KEE Race 1 Md $40,000 (1:10 et) #6 Classic Gait 5/1 #5 Clique 4/1 #1 Black Magic 8/1 #4 Reckless Betty 5/1
Analysis: #6 Classic Gait is making her debut here for the Reed barn that is 15% winners with first time starters. The filly is by win early sire Mutakddim (18% winners with debut runners) out the stakes placed Bridal Gate ($101K) who has dropped four foals to race, a pair of winners, top earner Johnny Utah ($44K). Solid works on the morning tab including a bullet drill over the poly here on 9/20.
#5 Clique stalked the early pace from the outside and faded to finish seventh last out in her debut for Amoss, sent off at a chilly 13/1. The barn is better second time out, hitting at a 22% clip and this filly drops in for a tag. She is by Cape Town out of a Broad Brush mare that has dropped one other foal to race, 2 for 8 Spokalu ($25K). The trainer is 3 for 9 (with a +ROI) moving runners from maiden special to maiden claiming.
Wagering WIN: #6 to win at 3/1 or better. EX: 5,6 / 1,4,5,6 TRI: 5,6 / 1,4,5,6 / 1,4,5,6,8,11
Today’s Featured Race From Keeneland:
KEE Race 8 Alw $52,000N1X (4:40 et) #10 Innovative 6/1 #4 Banker's Choice 6/1 #1 Majestic Feline 8/1 #2 Saxxy Rose Lee 5/1
Analysis: #10 Innovative was not a threat last out over the Tapeta at PI in a fifth place finish in her first go against winners. She graduated easily two back at Colonial Downs going five furlongs on the grass. The $250K buy is by Johannesburg out of a Carson City mare, her first foal to race. She figures to move forward with the switch back to the grass and the stretch out to a mile. She is in good hands with the Motion barn that is 26% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from sprint to route.
#4 Banker's Choice was a game maiden winner last out over the poly at Turfway in her first go around two turns. She was fifth in her lone turf try, catching yielding footing at the Spa and she was only beaten 1 1/4 lengths for the top spot. She has two sibs and they have both won on grass.
Wagering WIN: #10 to win at 7/2 or better. EX: 4,10 / 1,2,4,10 TRI: 4,10 / 1,2,4,10 / 1,2,3,4,6,10
Live Longshots: These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Keeneland R1: #1 Black Magic 8/1 R2: #5 Jennifer Moon 12/1 R2: #4 Slew City Rouge 20/1 R4: #11 Nurture 8/1 R4: #3 Doctor Carina 12/1 R6: #1 Mac N mayo 8/1 R7: #9 Stargleam 10/1 R8: #1 Majestic Feline 8/1
Good luck today!
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