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At the Gate - Sunday
 
 
 

Watch out Rachel Alexandra, there is a new filly in town.

 

Careless Jewel steamrolled a field of eight in Saturday’s $600,000 Alabama Stakes (G1) at Saratoga, winning by eleven lengths.

 

The filly is owned by Donver Stable and trained by Josie Carroll.

 

She made her stakes debut and her first start on conventional dirt last month in the Delaware Oaks (G2), wiring the field by 7 ¼ lengths, and showed yesterday that victory was no fluke.  She has now won her last four starts by a combined 29 lengths.

 

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That might not put a scare into the Rachel Alexandra camp as they continue to hope for a showdown with Zenyatta, but Careless Jewel looks like she is the real deal.

 

She earned $360,000 for her victory, bringing her career earnings to date to $582,846, not bad for a filly that was purchased at the 2007 Keeneland September yearling sale for just $40,000.

 

The track at Saratoga was listed as muddy early Sunday morning, with the turf course labeled soft. Races 2, 6, and 10 have been moved to the main track.

 

To purchase my full card report for Saratoga that includes analysis, selections, fair odds, and wagering recommendations for today click here.

 

Here is today's opener from Saratoga to get our day off to a good start:

 

SAR Race 1 Clm $25,000B (1:00 ET)

#6 Dr. Nick   6/1

#5 Icetate   8/5

#2 Volos   3/1

#1 Missile / #1a Woodacre   7/2

 

Analysis: #6 Dr. Nick invades from Prairie Meadows and lands back with Romans, who has sent out 8 of 11 runners here at the meet to land in the money. This colt exits a couple of Alw-2 optional claimers and it appears this guy has been facing a bit tougher than he faces here. He was fourth last out with the top two finishers coming back to finish one-two again in their next start against Alw-2 optional claimers. two back our top pick was fourth behind Ez Dreamer, who returned to win the $125K Iowa Sprint with a 105 Beyer on June 27. The colt finished second in the Bashford Manor (G3) back in '07 while under the care of Romans before his form went south. He looks like a good fit here facing $25K non winners of three.

 

#5 Icetate set the early fractions and could not hold off the winner late in a game runner up finish for a $35K tag (non winners of three or straight three year olds) in a race taken off the turf. The five year old makes his third start of his current form cycle and his third go for Maker. He has done his best running on wet tracks (4-2-1-1) and there is more rain in the forecast for today.

 

Wagering

WIN: #6 to win at 3/1 or better.

EX: 5,6 / 1,2,5,6

TRI: 5,6 / 1,2,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6

 

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

 

SAR Race 9 Yaddo Hcp. (5:30 ET)

#3 Remarkable Remy   10/1

#6 You Go West Girl   4/1

#7 Nehantic Kat   3/1

#5 Chestoria   7/2

 

Analysis: #3 Remarkable Remy did not care for his stay in Canada, finishing off the board in all three trips, twice in stakes company on the turf ands last out on poly in a race taken off the turf. The filly returns to the Kimmel barn and put in a decent looking drill over the turf here on August 17. She has won 2 of 3 over the Spa turf including taking an open stakes here last summer going a mile. The return to the NY bred ranks just may wake him up here at a decent price.

 

#6 You Go West Girl bobbled coming out of the gate and raced evenly in a third place finish over the poly at Arlington Park in stakes company. The mare made a good late run to finish third two back in the paceless state bred Mt Vernon two back. The mare missed winning this last year over yielding turf in a  photo. I like her effort two back when she was a close up third in a deep field of allowance foes at Keeneland. The winner of that race was Ariege, a G2 winner.  She has been tough when in against NY breds and she is in good hands with the underrated Proctor barn.

 

Wagering

WIN: #3 to win at 9/2 or better.

EX: 3,6 / 3,5,6,7

TRI: 3,6 / 3,5,6,7 / 1,3,5,6,7

 

Live Longshots:

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

 

Saratoga

R3: #7 Beam of Love   8/1

R4: #7 Barcola   8/1

R5: #1 Papers to Prove It / #1a Pretty Drink   12/1

R5:#2 Dickie B   12/1

R5: #7 Forty Prayers   8/1

R7: #5 Kitty in a Tizzy   8/1

R8: #4 Hold the Cruiser   10/1

R9: #3 Remarkable Remy   10/1

 

Good luck today!

  
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Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year round as well as Keeneland, Churchill Downs, the Triple Crown, and the Breeders’ Cup.

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