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At the Gate - Wednesday
 
 
 

Zenyatta trainer John Shirreffs summed it up well on Monday, asking, “Where else do you go?”

 

The answer to that question is to the breeding shed, as it seems very unlikely Zenyatta will race again after her electrifying performance on Saturday in the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

 

The showdown between Rachel Alexandra and Zenyatta will not be settled on the track, but instead at the ballot box.

 

Rachel Alexandra seemed a lock to win the Eclipse Award for Horse of the Year regardless of the outcome of the Classic, but Rachel Alexandra has been on the bench for months and the brilliant performance of Zenyatta is fresh on the mind of each and every voter.

 

In just over two minutes on Saturday, the race for Horse of the year went from a slam dunk to possible counting chads.

 

I know Rachel Alexandra has the better resume, but she failed to show up on what most consider the championship day for the sport.

 

I went into this year’s Breeders’ Cup thinking we would have to see something magical for Rachel not to win top honors, and I bet heavily that it would not happen.

 

It did.

 

I jumped ship, I am in love with Zenyatta, Pro Ride and all.

 

To purchase my full card report for Aqueduct that includes analysis, selections, fair odds, and wagering recommendations for today click here.

 

Here is today's opening race from Aqueduct to get our day off to a good start:

 

AQU Race 1 Clm $16,000 (12:30 ET)

#6 Only a Vision   2/1

#4 Glitter's Forum   3/1

#5 French Song   4/1

#7 Crazy Thing   6/1

 

Analysis:  #6 Only a Vision steps up another notch in class here seeking her fourth win in a row. The mare beat $12.5K foes last out, beating a pair that come back to face her here. The fifth place finisher in the race was Baroness, who returned to beat $7.5K claimers in her next outing on Nov. 8. The mare owns a solid pace profile throughout and looks like she should get a good pace set up here as she should be able to sit just off the front and pounce turning for home much like she has done in her recent wins. She also is proven over a wet track and there is a 50% chance of seeing some rain today.

 

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#4 Glitter's Forum
set the early fractions and weakened to finish fifth last out against $20 claimers for non winners of two races in six months. She ships in for a potent barn and she will be part of the early mix here. She seldom runs  a bad one, winning 7 of her 21 career starts and landing in the money in 14 outings.

 

Wagering

WIN: #6 to win at 9/5 or better.

EX: 4,6 / 4,5,6,7

TRI:  4,6 / 4,5,6,7 / 3,4,5,6,7

 

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

 

AQU Race 7 Alw $46,000N1X (3:16 ET)

#4 Paracaidas   5/1

#8 Gran Appeal   3/1

#9 Dawn Chorus   6/1

#3 Crazy Catlady   7/2

 

Analysis: #4 Paracaidas was a good second in her debut, which was her lone go on turf and returns to the green (unless Mother Nature interferes) in her second start against winners. Last out she tracked the early pace while down along the inside and faded to finish a non threatening fifth on the main track at the Spa. The winner of the race was Acronym, who beat Alw-2 optional claimers in her next start. The third place finisher Mother Ruth beat Alw-1 foes in her next start, then ran a good second in the Poker Night Stakes on Nov. 1 here. I like her pedigree, she is by War Chant out of a Jade Hunter mare and I am hoping this race sticks to the turf.

 

#8 Gran Appeal made a good move around the far turn to get into the mix and finished a good second despite drifting inward and brushing with the eventual winner in the stretch. The winner Changing Skies came back to finish second against ALw-2 foes while the third place finisher Proud Lisa beat Alw-1 company on Oct. 30 at Keeneland.

 

Wagering

WIN: #4 to win at 7/2 or better.

EX: 4,8 / 4,5,8,9

TRI: 4,8 / 3,4,8,9 / 1,3,4,8,9

 

Live Longshots:

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

 

Aqueduct

R2: #5 Goodness Greycious   10/1

R3: #7 Thoroughly Holy   12/1

R4: #2 Lemon Mambo   12/1

R5: #1 Sergeant Karakorum / #1a Smarty Karakorum   8/1

R5: #3 Coach Fruscio   8/1

R6: #7 First and Foremost   12/1

R6: #12 Best Decision   12/1

R8: #5 Tranquil Manner   10/1

R9: #6 Tom Kitten   8/1

 

Good luck today!

  
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MORE HEADLINES
 
  HORSE RACING EXPERT
 
  Mike Dempsey
Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year round as well as Keeneland, Churchill Downs, the Triple Crown, and the Breeders’ Cup.

For the third time in the last five years VI subscribers using Mike’s Reports had the winner of the Kentucky Derby. In 2011 Mike nailed Animal Kingdom with his top pick, the upset winner paying $43.20 to win, $19.60 to place & $13.00 to show!

In the 2010 Kentucky Derby, Mike hit Super Saver with his top pick, the winner returning $18.00, $8.80, and $6.00.

Street Sense was his top pick in 2007, the winner returning $11.80, $6.40, and $4.60.

No handicapper in the industry works harder to bring you analysis that produces profits at the track!

Mike’s Reports include his selections, detailed analysis, a fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for the entire card.

Join Mike each day with daily picks from Aqueduct or his Weekend Best Plays Report in his Multi-Track package or sit at the track with him for 30 Days with his Monthly Horse Package!

 
 
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Jerry "Shots" Sessa has been involved in horse racing for over 30 years. He now brings his meticulous handicapping style to VegasInsider.com. When Jerry posts picks you are getting his best bets...when you win, he wins.

Jerry's debut on Friday 5/30/08 on VI resulted in 7 out of 10 winners at Mountaineer! His Best Bet in the 6th race cashed in for $25 on a $2 bet.

Jerry looks forward to working with everyone and making money for anyone who invests in his picks on a daily basis.

Join Jerry everyday with daily picks from Aqueduct or choose a package that contains selections from Multiple Tracks for the LOW PRICE of $14.95! Or better yet, how about 30 Days of horse racing picks with his Monthly Racing Package for ONLY $99.95!
 
 
  
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