WS Betting Recap
October 30, 2012
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It was a shocking end to the 2012 Major League Baseball season as the San Francisco Giants swept away the favored Detroit Tigers to win the franchise's second title in three seasons. Overall, the Giants were great for the book.
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The Giants became the first team to sweep a World Series since the 2007 Boston Red Sox did the trick against the Colorado Rockies. It was the first sweep by a National League team since the 1990 Cincinnati Reds took out the Oakland A's in four games. Does home-field advantage now mean more than ever? The National League has won the All-Star Game the past three seasons after being on a 13-game winless streak before that. With the All-Star Game win comes home-field advantage in the World Series. And now the NL has won the Fall Classic three straight years as well. It's the first time the NL has won three straight World Series since the Senior Circuit won four straight from 1979 to 1982.
Detroit opened the series as the -180 favorite with San Francisco at +150. The book was exposed on the series line, which would close before Game 4 with the Giants at -265 and Detroit at +225. The Tigers were moneyline favorites in all four games and the book came out on the winning end of all but the finale.
The Tigers were most heavily favored in Game 1 at -178 behind ace Justin Verlander. However, the Giants roughed up Verlander, touching the 2011 AL MVP and Cy Young winner for five runs in four innings in an 8-3 victory. Verlander became just the third American League pitcher to lose his first three career World Series starts (other two in 2006) and first since 1919. Detroit took more than 69 percent of the action on the moneyline in that game and almost 60 percent of the lean at minus-1.5 runs (-110).
That Game 1 essentially won the Giants' Pablo Sandoval the World Series MVP award - he was +1200 to do so before the series and the book wasn't too exposed there. "Kung Fu Panda" went yard three times in the opener, becoming the fourth player to hit three home runs in a World Series game, joining Babe Ruth (1926 and 1928), Reggie Jackson (1977) and Albert Pujols (2011).
Sandoval was the first player to hit home runs in each of his first three plate appearances in a Fall Classic game and also the first to go deep three times in Game 1 of any playoff series. Verlander was 8/1 to win the World Series MVP and the book was exposed on him. He didn't pitch again in the series. Verlander finishing with under 7.5 strikeouts in that start was one of the book's top player prop wins of the series.
Bettors' top World Series game result was the Game 4 clincher. The Tigers did take a nearly 56 percent lean on the run line (minus-1.5 at +140), but the Giants took more than 60 percent at +130 on the moneyline behind ace Matt Cain. Bettors also hit big on Detroit pitcher Max Scherzer over 6.5 strikeouts in the game; he finished with eight.
The Giants winning the World Series in a sweep was the longest shot on the board at 18/1 and the book wasn't exposed there at all. Detroit in five games was the 7/2 favorite and the book had some exposure. The book also fared well on over/under 5.5 total World Series games (under +135) but not on under 4.5 games (+600). That the series lasted only four games paid out at +600 on the number of games prop, also the longest shot. The Giants paid at -290 at plus-2.5 games on the series spread and at -135 on plus-1.5 games.
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7-1 Y'day, 20-8 G-Plays, +8,568 TY
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 15-6 L7 Days
5-0 +599 Run, +2,568 This Year
6-1 L3 Days, 27-13 +1,730 L40
15-5 L20 Totals, +2,499 This Year
18-7 L25 Guarantees, +1,795 TY
2-0 Yesterday, +2,059 Totals TY
7-4 L11 Totals, +2,095 TY
7-3, +449 L10 Guaranteed Plays
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