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Thursday's Action

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Braves at Marlins – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
ATL: Santana (3-0, 1.95 ERA)
MIA: Alvarez (1-2, 2.73 ERA)


Series recap: The Marlins have dominated the Braves through the first two games of this set, outscoring Atlanta, 18-3. Last night, Miami cashed as an underdog in a 9-3 triumph, hitting the ‘over’ for the second straight night after the two teams finished ‘under’ the total in all three games at Turner Field last week.

Current form: Miami has won five consecutive games at Marlins Park, but the Fish are 1-4 in Alvarez’s five starts this season. The Braves own a perfect 4-0 record when Santana starts, while Atlanta is trying to avoid its first sweep of the season.

Brewers at Reds – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
MIL: Estrada (2-1, 2.87 ERA)
CIN: Bailey (1-2, 6.15 ERA)


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Previous series review:
The Brewers suffered just their second road loss of the season in a 9-3 defeat at St. Louis. Milwaukee managed to grab two of three at Busch Stadium, compiling a terrific 11-2 record on the highway. The Reds split a pair of games with the Cubs, capped off by Wednesday’s 9-4 setback as a -170 home favorite.

Current form: Cincinnati has lost four its past five games, while posting a 1-3 record in series openers at the Great American Ballpark. Milwaukee owns a 4-1 mark when Estrada starts, including a 3-0 ledger in the underdog role. The Brewers have dominated on the road this season, while putting together a 9-1 mark to the ‘over’ the last 10 contests away from Miller Park.

Mariners at Yankees – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
SEA: Elias (1-2, 3.54 ERA)
NYY: Kuroda (2-2, 5.38 ERA)


Series recap: The two teams took a seat last night due to rain in the Bronx, as the Mariners look to win the series after Tuesday’s 6-3 triumph in Robinson Cano’s return to New York. Seattle cashed as +155 road underdogs, the third straight victory at Yankee Stadium since last season.

Current form: Following an eight-game skid, the M’s have quietly won four of their last five contests, while cashing the ‘over’ in each of the last four games. Since starting 0-2, the Yankees are 7-2 the last nine games off a loss, but New York has lost each of Kuroda’s past two starts, as the team has been outscored, 24-6 in those defeats.

Blue Jays at Royals – 8:10 PM EST

Probable Starters:
TOR: Buehrle (4-1, 2.16 ERA)
KC: Guthrie (2-1, 4.22 ERA)


Series recap: The Royals improved to 8-3 at home after picking up their second win in as many nights over the Blue Jays, 4-2. In both victories over Toronto, the Royals scored late runs for home favorite triumphs, while Kansas City moved to 3-1 in home Game 2’s this season.

Current form: Kansas City has compiled a terrific 13-5 record in the favorite role this season, while seeking their first home sweep of 2014. The Jays have lost six of their last seven games, but Toronto is 3-0 in Buehrle’s three road starts. The Royals have scored seven runs in each of Guthrie’s two home starts, hitting the ‘over’ each time.

Mets at Rockies – 8:40 PM EST

Probable Starters:
NYM: Colon (2-3, 4.50 ERA)
COL: Nicasio (2-1, 5.67 ERA)


Previous series review: The Mets won their only game at Philadelphia, 6-1 on Tuesday as a road underdog, while Wednesday’s contest was wiped out due to rain. The Rockies return home after blowing a late 4-2 lead in last night’s extra-innings loss at Arizona, but Colorado did take two of three in that series.

Current form: Both these teams are playing well at the moment, as the Mets have won seven of their past nine games, including four straight road victories. Colorado is riding a 6-0-1 mark to the ‘over’ the last seven contests, while winning all four series openers at Coors Field this season. The Rockies have hit the ‘over’ in four of Nicasio’s five starts, including all three at home.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

  
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Sportsbook: Monday's Top Action
Feist: 1st-Half Breakdown
Nelson: NL Value Starters
Nelson: AL Value Starters
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