User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
Fading Teams

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

Let's take a look at a couple of 1st place teams in baseball and assess how they got there and where they're going. Milwaukee and Detroit got off to fantastic starts this season but are currently trending downward are 'play against' teams right now. We see this situation arise every year when teams such as these start well and then become over-valued by the public. The Brewers and Tigers are currently valued like elite (1st place) teams, but are not really playing well of late even though the rest of the division has not been able to pass them up (yet).

Advertisement
Detroit is 6-16 their last 22 games after starting 27-12 and they were favored by -120 or more in 11 of those 16 most recent losses. That run has left the "Tiger-backers" with some empty wallets. Another sign Detroit is not as good as most people think is their record against top level opponents. The Tigers are just 11-13 against teams in our Top 10 Power Rating.

Much like Detroit, Milwaukee started the season 20-7, but have gone just 19-20 since, with seven losses as a favorite of -120 or more since May 1. Again, like Detroit the Brewers are just 2-5 against Top 10 teams this season.

Diminishing starting pitching has been a key factor for each club as four out of their five starters have much worse numbers since their first 6 starts of the season. Another reason both teams remain over-priced is the fact that both pitching rotations still have good overall season statistics and each has several established starters. Bullpens have been shaky of late as well, Detroit owns a 6.12 bullpen ERA in the last 10 games, Milwaukee at 4.40 in the last 10 games.

Milwaukee Brewers Starting Pitchers:
Lohse 1st 6 ERA: 2.70 Since: 3.60
Estrada 1st 6 ERA: 3.13 Since: 5.83
Gallardo 1st 6 ERA: 1.91 Since: 5.40
Peralta 1st 6 ERA: 2.04 Since: 3.73

Exception to the rule:
Garza 1st 6 ERA: 5.00 Since: 3.95

Detroit Tigers Starting Pitchers:
Scherzer 1st 6 ERA: 2.08 Since: 4.47
Verlander 1st 6 ERA: 2.48 Since: 6.27
Porcello 1st 6 ERA: 3.49 Since: 4.62
Smyly 1st 6 ERA: 2.96 Since: 4.67

Exception to the rule:
Sanchez 1st 6 ERA: 2.89 Since: 1.59

Both teams have a few tough series coming up and could provide some great opportunities to play against them. Detroit kicks off a difficult stretch of series' against Minnesota, Kansas City, Cleveland, and Texas. The Tigers have a losing record against three of those four opponents this year, besting only Kansas City. They are just 4-10 against Minnesota, Cleveland, and Texas combined.

On Friday Milwaukee starts a three game series against Cincinnati. They already dropped three of four against the Reds in early May in the only series between the division rivals so far. The Brew Crew never scored more than three runs in any of those four games. They also have series' coming up against Arizona (1-2 vs. Diamondbacks this year) and Washington (10-3 in their last 10).

  
HEADLINES
Lawrence: August Pitchers Report
Rose: Who's Hot - NL Edition
Price, Lester traded in deadline flurry
Red Sox trade Lackey to Cardinals
D-backs send OF Parra to Brewers
M's acquire OF Denorfia from Padres
Tony Gwynn Day declared in California
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
MLB Pro Baseball Handicapper Sports Picks Records
MLB Hot Streaks
7-1 Y'day, 20-8 G-Plays, +8,568 TY
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 15-6 L7 Days
5-0 +599 Run, +2,568 This Year
6-1 L3 Days, 27-13 +1,730 L40
15-5 L20 Totals, +2,499 This Year
15-7 +918 L22, +2,573 TY
18-7 L25 Guarantees, +1,795 TY
7-3 L10 Over/Under Plays
2-0 Yesterday, +2,059 Totals TY
7-4 L11 Totals, +2,095 TY
25-14 Last 39 Selections
7-3, +449 L10 Guaranteed Plays
MLB Pro Baseball Expert Sports Picks - Antony Dinero
2014 MLB SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 8568
John Fisher + 2573
Dave Cokin + 2568
Underdog Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 3259
James Manos + 2542
Dave Cokin + 1776
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 2464
Matt Zylbert + 2059
Tony Stoffo + 1322
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Dave Cokin + 1448
Doc's Sports + 1237
Kyle Hunter + 976
Favorite Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 3889
Doc's Sports + 1607
Kevin Rogers + 1364
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mike Rose + 2292
The Gold Sheet + 1052
Bruce Marshall + 946
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!