August 11, 2017
By Micah Roberts
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Chicago Cubs (59-54) at Arizona (64-50)
Scheduled rotation: Lackey (9-9) vs. Walker (6-5), Lester (8-6) vs. Corbin (8-11), Arrieta (11-8) vs. Godley (5-4)
Series price: Cubs -125, Diamondbacks -105
The Cubs have lost their past three series after it appeared they were on the right track to winning the NL Central. The Cubs had won 14 of their first 17 games since the break, but the Diamondbacks fought back at Wrigley Field to win the final two of a three game set. The the Nationals took two of three and then they lost two of three to start a road trip in San Francisco. Still, the Cubs have won 12 of their last 15 on the road. The Diamondbacks come off two losses to the Dodgers, which was kind of surprising since Arizona is 41-20 in their last 61 at Chase Field. The Cubs have won nine of the past 13 meetings.
San Diego (50-64) at L.A. Dodgers (81-33)
Scheduled rotation: Richard (5-12) vs. Hill (8-4), Chacin (11-8) vs. Ryu (4-6), Perdomo (6-6) vs. Maeda (10-4)
Series price: Dodgers -700, Padres +500
These Dodgers are amazing and they deserve to be a massive -700 favorite to win this series at Station Casinos sports books. They're 46-8 over their past 54 games. They have the best record in baseball, most money won (+31.3 units), best starting pitching and best relievers. The Dodgers +1.8 margin of victory is also the best in baseball. They've also won 51 of the past 74 meetings against the Padres who come in losing six of their last eight.. The Dodgers have won seven of nine against them this season.
San Francisco (46-70) at Washington (68-45)
Scheduled rotation: Stratton (0-2) vs. Jackson (2-2), Samardzija (7-11) vs. Scherzer (12-5), Moore (3-12) vs. Strasburg (10-3)
Series price: Nationals -400, Giants +300
Both teams come in winning four of their last five and both teams come in having won two of three from the Cubs in the last week. The Nationals get some good news that Stephen Strasburg is back, but it will still be interesting to see how he fares on Sunday. They can't win it all without him. Washington swept the Giants at AT&T Park in May. They won all three by at least two runs and two of the games stayed Under the total which has been a common theme between these two. The Under is 16-4-1 in the past 21 meetings. Something to think about for Friday's Game 1 is that the Giants are 13-23 in the first game of a series this season and the Nationals are 23-14.
Colorado (65-49) at Miami (53-60)
Scheduled rotation: Gray (4-2) vs. Urena (10-5), Hoffman (6-3) vs. Nicolino (0-1), Marquez (9-4) vs. Worley (2-2)
Series price: Rockies -125, Marlins -105
The Rockies come out firing in the first game of a series this season by going 24-12. It's the main reason why the Rockies are +18.1 units on the season. Their pitching has been quite good with the bullpen actually shutting things down at Coors Field like never seen before. Greg Holland has made the biggest difference. They get high totals because of the altitude in Denver, but the number has been too big all season. Colorado is 60-48-6 to the Under this season, including their last three games. This will be the first meeting this season. Miami comes off losing three of four at Washington. The Rockies are currently on a 6-18 run in their last 24 road games.
Boston at N.Y. Yankees (60-53)
Scheduled rotation: Rodriguez (4-3) vs. Garcia (5-8), Pomeranz (11-4) vs. Severino (9-4), Sale (14-4) vs. TBA
Series price: Yankees -115, Red Sox -115
Boston is smoking hot now riding an eight game win streak, but they've only won three in the past 12 meetings with the Yankees. Boston has a 4.5-game lead in the AL East over the Yankees. The Yankees had spent 62 days in first this season, but the last time was July 31. Since then it's been all Red Sox and Aaron Judge has dropped off his first-half pace considerably. The league is catching up with him. Once a triple-crown leader, he's now batting .294 and struck out 149 times in 476 at-bats. Starlin Castro and Matt Holliday are both on the 10-day disabled list. Eight of the past 11 meetings have stayed Under.
Minnesota (57-56) at Detroit (52-62)
Scheduled rotation: Gibson (6-9) vs. Sanchez (3-2), Berrios (10-5) vs. Zimmermann (7-9), Santana (12-7) vs. Boyd (5-6)
Series price: Tigers -125, Twins +105
The Twins got themselves four games under .500 thanks to a lousy 3-9 run shortly after the All-Star break. They traded their closer and and signed Bartolo Colon for some reason. But just when we thought they were finally dead after thrilling us all summer as the underdog that could, there is still a heart beating. They've won five straight and Brian Dozier's bat has heated up just like it did in the second-half last season. They're now one game over .500 and face the Tigers who gave up long ago. The road is where most their success has been, going 30-23. However, history hasn't been kind to Minnesota in this battle. Detroit is 21-7 in the past 28 meetings.
Houston (71-43) at Texas (54-59)
Scheduled rotation: Morton (9-4) vs. Hamels (6-1), Fiers (7-6) vs. TBA, Keuchel (9-2) vs. Cashner (7-8)
Series price: Astros -145, Rangers +115
The Astros have been stumbling since the All-Star break going 11-14. Their latest series was the worst product Houston has displayed all season as they got swept on the south side by the White Sox. Is this the end of the Astros? Dallas Keuchel just lost to the White Sox. I expect them to rebound at some point, but you knew it would happen. They're bored right now witha 13 game lead in the AL West. Houston has taken seven of 10 from Texas this season improving their 35-75 record in the past 110 meetings. The Astros have been at their best on the road averaging seven runs a game. They've gone 38-17 in their last 55 road games and have gone 34-16-5 to the Over. That's a nice combo to play on this weekend. If one thing happens the other is more likely.
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