Ballpark Figures – Week 3

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

Big Leads
The Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and New York Mets have already opened up divisional leads of three or more games. Obviously we have a long time to go in the season. The Angels are doing a lot of their damage on the road, going 9-1 in 10 games away from the Big A. The Red Sox have done a lot of their winning inside the division, going 11-2. They're also an impressive 5-1 on the road, and 8-1 at the Fens. The Mets have been filthy on the road, as they're 6-0 in their past six on the road, while going 8-0 inside the NL East. For the Diamondbacks, they're an impressive 9-3 in their 12 games inside the division.

Scuffling at Home
The home folks are going to demand their season ticket money back in Cincinnati, Kansas City and Tampa Bay. The Reds have struggled everywhere, but they're a dismal 1-7 in their eight games this season at Great American Ball Park, and they're 0-6 in their six outings against NL East foes. The Rays are an awful 1-6 in their seven at Tropicana Field, and they're 1-8 in their first nine inside the division. For the Royals, they're an uncharacteristic 1-7 in their eight games at Kauffman Stadium.


Looking Ahead

Monday, April 16
The Cardinals will battle the Cubs in Wrigley Field as rivals take the field, and the Cards look to stay hot on the road. They're 5-0 in their past five on the road, and 4-0 in their past four inside the division. In addition, they're 4-1 in Adam Wainwright's past five road outings, and 7-3 over his past 10 starts. The Cardinals are 11-4 in Wainwright's past 15 against the Cubs, and 13-5 in his past 18 assignments at the Friendly Confines.

For the Cubbies, they're 9-3 in their past 12 series openers, while going 15-7 in the past 22 inside the NL Central. However, they're 0-5 in their past five at home against right-handed starters. The under is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings at Wrigley, with the under 6-1 in Waino's past seven starts against the Cubs. However, check the wind in the weather report below.

Philly has won six in a row, and they're 4-0 in their past four games against a right-handed starter. However, the Phillies are 0-5 in Aaron Nola's past five road starts, and 1-5 in his past six inside the division. They're also 6-13 in Nola's past 19 attempts against a winning side.

Atlanta usually has a case of the Mondays, going 1-10 in their past 11 games on the first day of the week. Julio Teheran doesn't like Monday, either, as Atlanta is 1-7 over his past eight starts on the first day. However, he is working on six days of rest, and the Braves are 10-1 over his past 11 starts on six days. They're also 4-0 in his past four against teams with a winning overall mark. The Braves are 9-3 in Teheran's past 12 against the Phillies, and 5-2 in his past seven at home against them. The Phils are 2-6 in their past eight against the Bravos.

In SoCal, the Dodgers and Padres hook up. L.A. is 3-7 in their past 10 overall, and they're 1-5 in their past six on the road. L.A. is also 1-6 in Hyun-Jin Ryu's past seven outings, and 0-5 in his past five inside the division. However, L.A. is 4-1 in Ryu's past five against the Padres. The Padres haven't had much better luck with Robbie Erlin, as they're 1-6 in his past seven starts and 1-5 in his past six inside the division. 

The 'over' might be the play in Los Angeles-San Diego, as it is 9-2-2 in the past 13 meetings at Petco and 16-5-2 in the past 23 overall.

Weather Report
The game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox in Fenway Park has already been postponed due to rain.

The forecast doesn't look much better for around first pitch in the Bronx for the game between the Miami Marlins and New York Yankees, with temperatures in the low 50's and better than a 40 percent chance of rain. Obviously the same holds true for the game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets at Citi Field.

There isn't much chance of rain, but the wind will be blowing out to right field at 14-16 mph at Wrigley Field for Monday's game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs. Usually, not always, that's a recipe for 'over' results. There will be no precipitation, but the wind will be blowing out at 15-19 mph at SunTrust Park for the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves.

Tuesday, April 17
The Orioles and Tigers hook up in the Motor City. Baltimore enters the series just 7-23 in their past 30 against right-handed starting pitching, and 1-5 in their past six against AL Central foes. They're also 0-6 in Kevin Gausman's past six against Central foes. The Tigers haven't fared much better lately, going 3-9 in Jordan Zimmermann's past 12 against losing teams, and they're just 2-7 in their past nine against AL East opponents. Rest hasn't been a friend to Zimmermann, as the Tigers are 1-9 in his past 10 when working on five days of rest. They're also 0-5 in his past five home starts, and 1-5 in his past six overall.

Sal Romano and Junior Guerra will face off in Cream City between the pitiful Reds and so-so Brewers. Cincinnati enters the series 0-5 in their past five inside the division, and 0-4 in their past four road games vs. RHP. They're also 1-4 in Romano's past five outings. The Brewers are also 1-4 in Guerra's past five assignments, and 1-4 in his past five inside the division. The over is 15-5-1 in the past 21 meetings between the divisional foes at Miller Park.

The Giants and Diamondbacks meet in the desert. The over has hit in six straight starts by Patrick Corbin against the Giants, while going 12-4 in the past 16 meetings in Arizona. The Diamondbacks are just 1-4 in Corbin's past five against the Giants, however, and San Francisco has won just once in their past eight trips to Chase Field.

Weather Report
On Tuesday, the good news is that there appears to be no preciptation trouble spots. However, wind will be blowing out to the power alley in right-center field at a 12-15 mph clip for the Marlins-Yankees game. The wind will also be blowing 12-15 mph to left field at Comerica for the Orioles-Tigers tilt. And if you like wind, the Rockies-Pirates will see wind from 12-15 mph blowing to left field.

In late-night action, the wind will be blowing anywhere from 14-20 mph at the Big A for the Red Sox-Angels battle at 10:07pm ET. Winds will be kicking up at 18-22 mph at Petco for the rivalry game between the Dodgers and Padres.

Wednesday, April 18

Weather Report
The afternoon contest between the Cardinals and Cubs has a good chance of being washed out, or at the very least delayed, with better than a 50 percent chance of precipitation. If the game is played, the wind will be blowing in at a 17-21 mph clip, which 'under' bettors might enjoy. The end of the Orioles-Tigers game could be interrupted by rain which isn't supposed to let up for several hours, although it's possible the game will go long enough to be official before the tarpaulin makes an appearance.

In the Twin Cities there is a 30 percent chance of snow showers during the game between the Indians and Twins, although the teams might end up playing through what should amount to flurries or very light snow.

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