Ballpark Figures – Week 11

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

New York Minute
The New York Mets and New York Yankees completed their Subway Series with a 2-0 pitcher's duel on Sunday night, going in favor of Seth Lugo and the home team. The Mets managed a total of six runs in the three-game set, while the Yankees scratched out just eight runs. The biggest winners have been those taking New York 'under' bets at the window, as both the Mets and Yankees have hit the under in each of their past six heading into the new week. 'Over' plays might be the way to go as the Mets hit the road, as they start a series in Atlanta on Tuesday. The 'over' was 2-1 in a three-game set from May 28-30 in Atlanta, with the Mets outscoring the Braves 18-13 in the battle between divisional foes.

Carlito's Way?
The Cleveland Indians will kick off a series against the division rival Chicago White Sox on Monday night at Guaranteed Rate Field (yeah, I know - what a silly stadium name). Carlos Carrasco toes the slab, and has yet to face the White Sox this season. Since the start of the 2015 season, however, he is a dismal 4-5 with a 4.10 ERA and a .249 opponent batting average across 63 2/3 innings over 12 starts with one complete game. Of course, if you look at just his 2017 numbers against the Pale Hose, they're awfully impressive. He was 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA in four starts, with one complete game. In other words, he struggles against the ChiSox when they resembled a major league team in the past, but against the current version he has exceled.


Looking Ahead

Monday, June 11
The Blue Jays hit the road for St. Petersburg, looking to stay hot against the scuffling Rays. Toronto enters play with a 4-0 mark in their past four games inside the American League East, while going 5-0 in the past five against teams with a losing record. They're also 6-1 in the past seven games on Mondays, for whatever that's worth. However, the Blue Jays have been a different team on the road, posting a 1-5 mark in the past six contests away from home while going 0-6 in their past six tries on the road against a left-handed starter. Overall, Toronto is 5-16 in the past 21 vs. LHP. The Rays are 5-1 in their past six against losing teams, and 5-0 in their past five on Mondays. However, they are 1-6 in the past seven vs. RHP while going 4-9 in the past 13 at home. There hasn't been a lot of separation head-to-head, but total bettors will like the fact the 'under' is 2-0-2 in the past four meetings, and also 2-0-2 in the past four meetings at Tropicana Field.

The Cubs will head up Interstate 94 to Cream City to battle the Brewers. The Cubs have been successful away from the Friendly Confines, winning their past four on the road. They're also 8-2 in the past 10 overall while going 4-1 in the past five vs. RHP. Chicago is also 6-2 in their past eight inside the division. They have rallied behind Jose Quintana, too, going 4-1 in his past five road assignments while going 8-3 in his past 11 starts overall. The Brewers have been hot at Miller Park, winning 16 of the past 21 at home. They're 11-5 across the past 16 against a winning team, too, but just 2-8 in the past 10 home games against the Cubbies. Under bettors will like the fact the under is 4-0 in Q's past four starts against Milwaukee, and the under is 16-5 in the past 21 meetings overall in this series. The under is 10-2-2 in the past 14 for the Brewers at home vs. LHP, and 4-0 in Junior Guerra's past four starts. The under is also 5-1-1 in his past seven starts at home.

Weather Report
There are just eight games on tap for Monday, and there are no weather trouble spots or wind concerns in the three parks with outdoor stadiums. The other venues have four stadiums with retractable roofs and one fixed dome. Enjoy!

Tuesday, June 12
The Padres and Cardinals will do battle at Busch Stadium II, and San Diego looks to stay hot against right-handed pitching. They're 6-0 over the past six vs. RHP, while going 9-3 in the past 12 games overall. The Cards have struggled on Tuesday, winning just once in their past five on the day. But they have Miles Mikolas on the bump, and that usually means good things. The Cards are 6-1 over Mikolas' past seven starts, and 4-1 in his past five at home. They're also 6-0 in his past six against teams with a losing overall mark. St. Louis hasn't been friendly to San Diego over the years, as the Padres are 16-45 in their past 61 trips to the Lou, and 5-12 in the past 17 meetings overall.

The Astros and A's continue their series with Lance McCullers Jr. facing Daniel Mengden, who has that bicycle handlebar mustache thing going. Houston rolls into play on Monday with a five-game winning streak in tow, and they're 19-7 in the past 26 games on the road. They're also 12-5 in the past 17 road outings vs. RHP, while going 36-16 in their past 52, including a four-game sweep of the Lone Star State rival Texas Rangers over the weekend. The 'Stros are 7-3 in McCullers' past 10 starts, and 5-2 in his past seven against teams iwth a winning overall mark. The A's have won four of their past five at home, but they're just 1-8 in the past nine tries against divisional foes heading into Monday. Oakland has performed well with Mengden on the bump, winning five of his past six home starts, and four of his past five overall. But their just 2-13 in the past 15 starts against AL West foes with Mengden on the hill.

Weather Report
The winds will be blowing from 9-12 mph out to left field for Tuesday's interleague battle between the Washington Nationals and New York Yankees, but the good news is that precipitation will not be an issue.

It's the spring, and the weather is always touch and go in Atlanta. Tuesday will be no exception with scattered thunderstorms and chances of rain hovering around 50 percent. If the precipitation is on the higher end, don't be surprised to see this game canceled early since the teams meet rather frequently and there are no scheduling problems as far as doubleheaders down the road.

Atlanta is the only place with precip issues. In Oakland, the Houston Astros and Oakland Athletics will be battling gusty winds blowing from 12-15 mph out from home field to the right-center field power alley.

VegasInsider Staff

More from VegasInsider Staff