Midseason AL Predictions
July 5, 2018
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Hard to believe, but we are now officially into the second half of the 2018 MLB season, which means that the All-Star Break and the trade deadline are just around the corner.
This is traditionally the time of year when the lesser teams start moving their better players to the big guns, and that can very often lead to some rather dramatic reversals of fortune in the second half. It’s the perfect time to dust off the old crystal ball and take a look into the future.
We will cover both leagues over the next couple of days, but let’s get started with the American League, the existing odds listed at YouWager.eu to win the Conference and what the future may hold for the teams in there.
American League Pennant 2018 - Odds to Win
-- Baltimore Orioles: +40000
-- Boston Red Sox: +350
-- Cleveland Indians: +700
-- Detroit Tigers: +20000
-- Houston Astros: +180
-- Los Angeles Angels: +3000
-- Minnesota Twins: +12500
-- New York Yankees: +180
-- Oakland Athletics: +12000
-- Seattle Mariners: +1200
-- Tampa Bay Rays: +30000
-- Toronto Blue Jays: +30000
AL Division Winners
The biggest battle in baseball right now is going on in the AL East, where the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox are going toe to toe. Given the lead that these two have opened up on the rest of the division, it will be one of these teams that wins it.
The Red Sox have a 1-game lead over their bitter rivals right now, but I think it will be the Yankees who get the better of the second half, winning the division in the final few days of the season.
The AL Central is the worst division in the league, if not the entire MLB. The Cleveland Indians are the only team above .500 in there, and they already have an unassailable 11 ½ game lead at the top. This thing will be over with plenty of time to spare.
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The defending World Series champions, the Houston Astros, have the lead in the AL West, but they are being pushed surprisingly hard by the Seattle Mariners.
The Mariners deserve some real credit for making this division a contest this season, but they are ultimately going to fall short. The Astros are maddeningly consistent, whereas the Mariners are prone to up and down streaks. Houston will win it comfortably in the end.
AL Wild Card
We cane safely rule out all teams in the Central, as there is no way they are going to be able to do enough in the second half to get into the Wild Card picture.
Given how the Yankees and Red Sox are playing, it’s a rather safe assumption that both of them will be in the postseason.
Since I have the Yankees winning the East, it will be the Red Sox in the Wild Card. The Mariners also look like a solid bet to be in the WC, as no other team in the West is really making a serious push.
AL Playoff Predictions
Assuming that the predictions made here are correct, the big question now is in regards who will represent the AL in the World Series. Repeating as a World Series winner is incredibly difficult, as there are a lot of things that need to go right for that to happen.
That said, my pick to win it all before the season began was the Houston Astros. They look as though they are going to be dominant for a few years, and I think they are a solid bet to get their second title in as many years.
7-1 L4 Days, 19-6 Run, 5-0 G-Plays
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6-2 +438 L4 Days, +2,472 TY
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6-3 L9, 16-7 Run, +2,347 Overall
8-4 L12, 27-12 +1,484 L39 G-Plays
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4-2 L6, 8-4 +427 L12 Picks
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